codfishsnowman Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 lol at people patting themselves on the back for making wild guesses at long lead times. correct...with this one anyways first bad sign was certain enthusiastic and well informed snow loving members who were checked out on this threat from way back next bad sign was the handful of solutions which gave big snows for mostly se and in a few cases central and eastern sections...not far enough west even on the wilder solutions and far too few amped solutions overall next bad sign...seasonal pattern and overall pattern favoring coastal/se areas over the last decade next bad sign....all the hullabalo about the cold pattern shaping up for later feb and early march reduced to a couple normal/slightly below normal days and the multiple threats hinging on ridiculous fate parameters and all that thread the needle stuff...with zero blocking the models did tell us for well over a week there would be a storm...and there will be...and that it will be a bomb and it will...it will just be well offshore and outside of a handful of snowier on land solutions that vast majority of runs were ots and way ots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 I said 2 or 3 (or maybe 4) weeks ago that this would be a wiff. ...I might have even mentioned it about a year ago. You mean days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Well I called for this winter to be a ratter....before I cancelled that call in January, then went back to it, and then cancelled it again before spiking the football in early March. So beat that. I'm awesome. Although codfish might have just beat you, except he was serious. Decadal trend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Well I called for this winter to be a ratter....before I cancelled that call in January, then went back to it, and then cancelled it again before spiking the football in early March. So beat that. I'm awesome. God that sounds so familiar..........Who says things like that around these parts?????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 You mean days? keep reading Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 keep reading Yeah sorry...I am expecting the gulf stream to overhwlem model parameters and bring this back over KACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Yeah sorry...I am expecting the gulf stream to overhwlem model parameters and bring this back over KACK.He said he mentioned it a year ago lolAnd yes the models are underestimating the gulf stream and the NAM will be the first to catch on at 12z next Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Yeah sorry...I am expecting the gulf stream to overhwlem model parameters and bring this back over KACK. oh yeah i read about that in the nyc and mid atlantic thread lol,but not here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 all the terrible ratters in the 31 years I have been keeping records have featured some kind of at least modest late season snow event 88-89 march 21st 3 inches central ct 01-02 march 20th 3 inches central ct 94-95 early april 3 inches central ct 06-07 march 17-18? 6 inches plus 2 inches ip spfd ma 97-98 march 19-20? 3-4 inches central ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 all the terrible ratters in the 31 years I have been keeping records have featured some kind of at least modest late season snow event 88-89 march 21st 3 inches central ct 01-02 march 20th 3 inches central ct 94-95 early april 3 inches central ct 06-07 march 17-18? 6 inches plus 2 inches ip spfd ma 97-98 march 19-20? 3-4 inches central ct 11-12 mid march 80s and sunshine for a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Lots of melts in here today..lol..classic stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 And meanwhile the EPS is still 1-4" south of the pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Well I called for this winter to be a ratter....before I cancelled that call in January, then went back to it, and then cancelled it again before spiking the football in early March. So beat that. I'm awesome. lol. Yeah, a bunch of you official red taggers...and even the self proclaimed met from high a top of Mt. Tolland called this back int the fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 You mean days? I see that your sarcasm detector is turned off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Congrats Jimmy Winter Storm Watch in effect from March 4, 12:00 PM EST until March 5, 05:00 AM EST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 <p> Congrats Jimmy Winter Storm Watch in effect from March 4, 12:00 PM EST until March 5, 05:00 AM EST Must be riding the RPM hard. EPS argues for a WWA at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Box bumped up their forecast. I just need a little bump to get one last little feel of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Box bumped up their forecast. I just need a little bump to get one last little feel of winter. looks like the EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 looks like the EPS I'm riding the max potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 I'm riding the max potential.Go with the NAM it's usually overly generous with qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 2 inches in CT?? Lol. Might not be 2 flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 2 inches in CT?? Lol. Might not be 2 flakes Might not be. Or might be 2". That must drive you mad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Might not be. Or might be 2". That must drive you mad. NWS BOX should have done the public a much better service by claiming no more measurable snow for the season anywhere in SNE, then "locking in" 2-4" south of the pike, and then recanting that forecast a day later. It would have been a lot clearer to everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 NWS BOX should have done the public a much better service by claiming no more measurable snow for the season anywhere in SNE, then "locking in" 2-4" south of the pike, and then recanting that forecast a day later. It would have been a lot clearer to everyone. EPS kind of surprised me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 EPS kind of surprised me Are they going with the overrunning more, or are there a couple crazy members with the coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Lots of melts in here today..lol..classic stuff The only one who appeared to melt was you with your ridiculous forecast of 2-4" to the Pike followed a few hours later by 2-4 flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Are they going with the overrunning more, or are there a couple crazy members with the coastal? They seem to be pretty similar, I think its a function of the strong flow over the ocean over a cold airmass. Probably doesn't mean much at this time frame. The occasional RPM juiced up run aside seems an inch or so IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Just go with the max potential. Worst case scenario, this will be last time you're disappointed this winter. Shooting for 3-4" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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