snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Just snizzle/light snow flakes. The track and especially the speed of the system concern me. The HRRR has the best rates in a 3-4 hour period (8 pm to midnight or 1 am). Also, the HRRR and RAP hint at some sleet in the early evening which may limit snow amounts. Let's see what happens and hope for the best. Hopefully the HRRR is out to lunch with the sleet. I'd wish you luck with your call but we know that's not the truth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 The 19z HRRR is rolling out and so far (up to 01z) the sleet /freezing rain is confined to the Niagara region. All snow for the GTA. Hopefully this is the start of a positive trend for the GTA as the HRRR gets into its wheelhouse (within the first 6 hours of the run). The HRRR on pivotwx is weird. It shows returns over the city starting at 23z, the p-type as snow for the duration, yet its snowfall map doesn't start to fill in over us until about 2z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 From the Royal Ontario Museum. Was there supposed to be a pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 The HRRR on pivotwx is weird. It shows returns over the city starting at 23z, the p-type as snow for the duration, yet its snowfall map doesn't start to fill in over us until about 2z. Pretty weird. Also there is a heavier return on the composite radar between 3z and 4z and the precip type changes to sleet. It quickly changes back to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFan Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Yes. Sorry posting on phone. Not doing much at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 The London synoptic snow shield has performed admirably. Not really going to be upset with any low totals as I have switched weather modes and picked up some golf equipment this morning at a local retailer's annual sale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFan Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Here's the picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 The London synoptic snow shield has performed admirably. Not really going to be upset with any low totals as I have switched weather modes and picked up some golf equipment this morning at a local retailer's annual sale. Should get more than enough to push around with the shovel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Wrapping up with 5.3". Biggest event since the sleet storm. Seasonal total 40.2" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Def not bailing on this storm yet. Could still be some surprises in store and either way it's going to be the best event of the season. Time to stop forecasting and just enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Wrapping up with 5.3". Biggest event since the sleet storm. Seasonal total 40.2" now. Not bad given everything. Somewhere around 2.5" in the Ville. We should have made an actual bet - like that cool shovel of yours or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binovc Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Starting to see the back edge, so far 6" measured and 0.42 melted in the rain gauge here in Grand Rapids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Heavy Sleet/Freezing Rain here right now, Trying to switch over to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Wrapping up with 5.3". Biggest event since the sleet storm. Seasonal total 40.2" now. Call your report in, RC didn't get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Not bad given everything. Somewhere around 2.5" in the Ville. We should have made an actual bet - like that cool shovel of yours or something. I would have lost this one. I fell a bit short of the warning criteria call. I think Kenosha and points west hit 6". Heavy Sleet/Freezing Rain here right now, Trying to switch over to snow. You should flip really soon. CAA is in full force on the backside of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Wrapping up with 5.3". Biggest event since the sleet storm. Seasonal total 40.2" now.40 inches, not bad. Id guess over in Will county we have had maybe 12 inches this winter. Times are tough, glad to see you got some snow todaySent from my XT1526 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Call your report in, RC didn't get it. I'll call in and see if they got the one I posted at 2:45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 1, 2016 Author Share Posted March 1, 2016 Dual pol shows mixing. Looks like we aren't going to overperform so aim low for the totals. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Continuing to get heavy sleet here. How are things Downriver? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Wrapping up with 5.3". Biggest event since the sleet storm. Seasonal total 40.2" now. Wow, the gradient between your location and mine for the winter total is insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Continuing to get heavy sleet here. How are things Downriver? Mixing just ended over here. Hope you guys have it stop soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 With the hi-res models not really backing down, I'm going to cut my totals expected totals for Toronto back to 6-9". We could still over-perform but just to hedge my bets. I'll go with 8". Some of the recent trends concern me, but hopefully we'll get into some heavy precipitation. Environment Canada going with 6-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 40 inches, not bad. Id guess over in Will county we have had maybe 12 inches this winter. Times are tough, glad to see you got some snow today Sent from my XT1526 using Tapatalk Now if you're talking DJF total, then it looks pretty lousy. haha 23.6" Alright Ricky got the report in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Canuck, it looks like the precipitation is just about to arrive in London. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Wow, the gradient between your location and mine for the winter total is insane. Two words: November snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Two words: November snowstorm. It's closer to around 25" though, which is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Canuck, it looks like the precipitation is just about to arrive in London. Few random flakes just starting which would be the first ones of this event here. I am about 5 mi. from him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Band swinging into my area seems to be getting a little better organized. Looks like a quick mover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Canuck, it looks like the precipitation is just about to arrive in London. Yeah, we're getting some --PL/ZR right now. Just enough to notice on the windshield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 1, 2016 Author Share Posted March 1, 2016 It's POSSIBLE that we'll be flipping over shortly. The sky has that "melted snowflakes" look to it, the 1300m thickness line is now SE of us and the 850mb line is currently overhead, slowly moving SE. It's just a matter of getting back under decent returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Snow should recommence in Toronto in about 1 hour. Maybe a bit longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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