hawkeye_wx Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 A couple of American model runs juiced up to as much as 0.40" of precip here, very likely too wet, but most runs have been in the 0.20-0.30" range. That still may be too wet. The euro has been drier, and even dropped down to only 0.11" with the latest run. DVN has a general 1-2" of snow across most of the area, which looks pretty reasonable. Of course, this is yet another night snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 looking good Not really It's weaker but axis is still across I-88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 12km and 4km NAM trying to focus on 2 main impact areas, N. Illinois and 70 in Ohio between Dayton and Columbus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Not really It's weaker but axis is still across I-88 HRRR backs that up. SREF would suggest a 2-3" event from the WI stateline to Kankakee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 WI state line will see 6 flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Maybe the first over performer around these parts since the first week of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 2.8" SREF mean @ DKB. Seems reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 So what you're saying is it will snow just enough to screw up my flight into MDW tomorrow morning. Nuisance March snow that melts a day later FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 2, 2016 Author Share Posted March 2, 2016 Keep an eye on the initially very dry low levels...seemed to take a bite out of the last storm in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 2, 2016 Author Share Posted March 2, 2016 SREF ratios look wacky...has like 7:1 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Keep an eye on the initially very dry low levels...seemed to take a bite out of the last storm in some areas. The euro is coming in bone dry, dropping only about 0.07" of precip on Cedar Rapids. Compare that to the GFS's 0.40". I'd certainly lean toward the euro given the dry atmosphere that will need to be overcome, but is it really going to be THAT dry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 HRRR has been trending north the last few runs. EURO looks like 1"-2.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 The euro is coming in bone dry, dropping only about 0.07" of precip on Cedar Rapids. Compare that to the GFS's 0.40". I'd certainly lean toward the euro given the dry atmosphere that will need to be overcome, but is it really going to be THAT dry? probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 If I could get Chicago Storm on board with my call I'd feel much more confident.Under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 High res models not backing down yet... Even the EURO has a 0.25" bulls eye over the southern metro - Kankakee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Winter finally getting going right at the end around the great lakes it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 NAM weaker again geos shutout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 2, 2016 Author Share Posted March 2, 2016 Southward nudge on the 18z NAM. My guess for here would be like 3", maybe a hair more if things break right. Temps actually look a little sketchy during the day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Southward nudge on the 18z NAM. My guess for here would be like 3", maybe a hair more if things break right. Temps actually look a little sketchy during the day tomorrow. what else is new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 DAB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 NAM weaker again geos shutout Toss. HRRR is probably in the right neighborhood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Nice radar returns and some nice dry air. That's a good mix right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 2, 2016 Author Share Posted March 2, 2016 what else is new Yeah, thinking back on this winter it seems like a huge majority of my snow has come with temps somewhere near freezing. Guess it shouldn't be surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 NAM weaker again geos shutout for winter 2015/16 that's a solid event. Hopefully I can get in on some of those lighter shades of blue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 DAB. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 257 PM CST WED MAR 2 2016 ILZ012>014-020>022-INZ001-002-030500- /O.NEW.KLOT.WW.Y.0007.160303T0500Z-160303T2000Z/ KANE-DUPAGE-COOK-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-LAKE IN-PORTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO...OSWEGO... MORRIS...JOLIET...GARY...VALPARAISO 257 PM CST WED MAR 2 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM CST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM CST THURSDAY. * TIMING...EXPECTING SNOW TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND THEN DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY. * PRECIPITATION RATES...THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN THE EARLY AND MID MORNING HOURS ON THURSDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE MILE AT TIMES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 WWA up for 2-4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 ZZZzzzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 257 PM CST WED MAR 2 2016 ILZ012>014-020>022-INZ001-002-030500- /O.NEW.KLOT.WW.Y.0007.160303T0500Z-160303T2000Z/ KANE-DUPAGE-COOK-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-LAKE IN-PORTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO...OSWEGO... MORRIS...JOLIET...GARY...VALPARAISO 257 PM CST WED MAR 2 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM CST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM CST THURSDAY. * TIMING...EXPECTING SNOW TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND THEN DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY. * PRECIPITATION RATES...THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN THE EARLY AND MID MORNING HOURS ON THURSDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE MILE AT TIMES. Cook is a big county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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