ohiocat5908 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 GEFS temps. Just gets colder after this. Also plenty of precip for the lower lakes after this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 GGEM Kuchera snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 EURO staying its course it looks like so far. Low approaches STL at 108 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 0z Euro looks like GFS track wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 ECMWF is north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Oh, nice. Better than the 12z, I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Low ends up over Detroit. It's almost like the high just dies and allows the low to cut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Snow map thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 I have a subscription now to eurowx... yeah it is similar to GFS, but a little south still, especially west of IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Snow map thus far. Wow, I'll take that and run. Model porn with this storm has been top notch the past few nights for the QCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Wow, I'll take that and run. Model porn with this storm has been top notch the past few nights for the QCA. Indeed it has. Now, if we can keep this going right through the event, we'll be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Snow map thus far. How does anyone in Ohio see snowfall with that track let alone that much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 How does anyone in Ohio see snowfall with that track let alone that much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 How does anyone in Ohio see snowfall with that track let alone that much? Backside dumps on you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 GFS/EURO/UKMET/CMC all seem to be in fairly good agreement with storm track. Impressive for 5 days out. Most likely will be correct too since I'll be in the warm sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 I got to thinking while looking at the track and placement of this system it reminded me of the November system. I did some digging and found this map of the EURO 4 days beforehand. A lot of resemblance. Anyone know is this system in the analogs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Backside dumps on you guys. Explains a lot. 18z GFS had something similar but higher totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Looks like the 12Z JMA. Never going to happen but that would be '78 like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 All three models in range are within 100 miles of each other. That's pretty good 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 EPS just started rolling. Expecting it to show something very similar to the op run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Total moisture from the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 More spread on the 00z EPS members vs the 12z run with respect to timing and track, which results in a more strung out SLP mean. Still some amped up members either on a more northern or southern track, but none is very similar to the op. Control is most similar to the op run. Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 More spread on the 00z EPS members vs the 12z run with respect to timing and track, which results in a more strung out SLP mean. Still some amped up members either on a more northern or southern track, but none is very similar to the op. Control is most similar to the op run. Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Yep, the members are all over the place. Some members looked kinda like glorified clippers where the northern stream was dominant. Some the hp crashed down into the lakes causing the low to get strung out and then blow up in the OV. Some looked like the op run but only a few. A lot of spread for being only 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Hour 84 of the NAM fwiw. Vs. the 0Z GFS for same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 I know the LOLGaps doesn't have a snowfall map, but verbatim, its solution would easily translate to 2-3 FEET in the heavy snow corridor based on QPF amounts, including Detroit. :weenie: :weenie: The first 1/2 of the storm features long duration WAA snows, and then it transitions to full blown blizzard conditions under the TROWAL / deformation axis for the second 1/2 of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 6Z took a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 26, 2016 Author Share Posted February 26, 2016 It's a completely different scenario^ Phases with the wave rotating around the main PV and barely saves itself and turns into a decent surface low as it becomes negatively tilted crossing the Mississippi River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 I know the LOLGaps doesn't have a snowfall map, but verbatim, its solution would easily translate to 2-3 FEET in the heavy snow corridor based on QPF amounts, including Detroit. :weenie: :weenie: The first 1/2 of the storm features long duration WAA snows, and then it transitions to full blown blizzard conditions under the TROWAL / deformation axis for the second 1/2 of the storm. Do you mind if I ask where I could view this beaut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Do you mind if I ask where I could view this beaut? http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NOGAPS_0z/nogapsloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Do you mind if I ask where I could view this beaut? It's also called the NAVGEM. I posted a couple screenshots up the page. Or you can view on tropicaltidbits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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