Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2016 Author Share Posted February 25, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 That snowmap is very different compared to weatherbell's. Any idea why that is? Weatherbell is probably 10:1 and this one is Kuchera? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Need that low to go about another 50-75 miles south for us here in NW OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2016 Author Share Posted February 25, 2016 Weatherbell is probably 10:1 and this one is Kuchera? Yes looks like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Weatherbell is probably 10:1 and this one is Kuchera? It's strange because usually EUROWX map is more conservative. IDK. Looking at 850 temps and surface temps would lead me to believe weatherbell is more accurate for NW OH in this instance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 I think that map that is posted is including a few inches from today's left over snow across NW OH Could be wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 The air mass to the north is much colder than last's nights 0z run and colder than now with the departing storm. 10:1 ratio map doesn't do justice completely. Blizzard conditions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Here you go. Nice hit. Let's track that Euro over the next few days and see what it does. Euro seems to be the breadwinner thus far this winter with the basic location of the main snowbands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 NAVGEM is similar to the EURO. So the GEFS/NAVGEM/EURO all have similar low paths right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Main snow axis ends up north of here. Bank on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 There is not a better setup for NW Ohio snowfalls than lows like these right here Yes but every single possible snowstorm trends -away- from being a big snowstorm at Toledo. As I am sure you know, snowstorms were always trying to avoid me while I was in Toledo. At least you've got today's 12z Euro on your side. Good thing I live out West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Hmmm, hour 240 on the Euro looks interesting for folks down here in central Ohio. Anyone have access to snow maps for that event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2016 Author Share Posted February 25, 2016 Main snow axis ends up north of here. Bank on it. troll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Only 105 hours before the low kicks out in Colorado, so it's not like we're looking at something more than a week out. Just to compared the EURO's accuracy 5 days and under. It had this departing storm's low almost in the exact same spot near Louisville on the 0z run on Saturday night. Even the day before it had it running up the Ohio River. So, for what that is worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 The Euro also showed the GHD III low moving from Central TX to Central IL a few days before that storm. That didn't exactly happen. FWIW. Classic Euro and others vs GFS battle shaping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Main snow axis ends up north of here. Bank on it. Alek Approved.Maybe you should add:" bank clock on it" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 The Euro also showed the GHD III low moving from Central TX to Central IL a few days before that storm. That didn't exactly happen. FWIW. Classic Euro and others vs GFS battle shaping up. At least we have a cold air dome; at least right now, on the models behind it. EURO had the low going across N IL on most runs. It never really went south of Hoosier 2-3 days out. In the end it passed within 15 miles or here. Edit: 4 days out it had it going over SBN to the Thumb. Seems like the GFS and EURO have one "off" run where they shift west or east, but then come right back to where they were before within 50 miles or so. If the keeps on shows this solution run after run, then I can get excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 EPS looks real good for Chi metro to DET for Tuesday. Low tracks similar to the op at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Main snow axis ends up north of here. Bank on it. Possible, but any reason? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2016 Author Share Posted February 25, 2016 Euro mean track runs from about Woodward, OK to STL/SPI to srn Indiana south of Indy and into OH. Euro control looks like a strong/wetter version of the op run. 998mb over STL then 993mb into western OH, passing right over Indy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2016 Author Share Posted February 25, 2016 Possible, but any reason? No just let him be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Part of me is rooting for ice as it would be pretty neat to pull off a meteorlogical hat trick in the same winter (big snow, big sleet, big ice) but tough to turn down big snow. Overall the ice setup looks so-so at this relatively long lead...some pros and some cons in terms of something significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 JMA FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Looks like the high on the Canadian/US border will help usher in the cold air. Coupled with the Low scooping gulf moisture sitting in NE OK looks to be a good mix for a juiced system with a decent cold air component.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 JMA FTW. Lmao ...epic looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Pretty cool to think that some of us will be approaching or breaking highs this weekend in the 50s to near 60F, followed by this potential snowstorm a few days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Pretty cool to think that some of us will be approaching or breaking highs this weekend in the 50s to near 60F, followed by this potential snowstorm a few days later. Welcome to the winter of 2015-2016 lol. We broke a record high Saturday when we reached 70 degrees, 4 days later we were under a blizzard warning lol. This sucker does have potential, signal is there for sure. Already have 1.25" of rain forecasted next week, coupled with the melting snow, gonna be a muddy week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Euro mean track runs from about Woodward, OK to STL/SPI to srn Indiana south of Indy and into OH. Euro control looks like a strong/wetter version of the op run. 998mb over STL then 993mb into western OH, passing right over Indy. On the individuals, good clustering near and just north of the ensemble mean sfc low track, which are tracks that would likely entail good hits for the Chicago metro into southern WI and lower MI. Only only a few members that are close to as far north as operational GFS. The GEFS has a similar mean track, but much more spread among the individuals vs. the EPS and also only a few as far north as op run. The GEPS is a mess as usual. Good news is that the typically most skillful ENS has best signal for a decent or better event somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 What we have so far with the GFS and EURO SLP tracks. EURO is a classic La Junta, CO low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Possible, but any reason? Reason: To troll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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