TugHillMatt Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Cyclone and I make it to about an inch on this run of the NAM. Better get the milk and bread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 First and final call: it will snow in Chicago this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 First and final call: it will snow in Chicago this week. Be more specific. How many flurries? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Cyclone and I make it to about an inch on this run of the NAM. Better get the milk and bread... We're heading the right direction. I would imagine the ice wouldn't last too long as the NE flow pushes out the warmer air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 NAM would be a major ice storm. Michigan barely stays snow this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 4km NAM pushed any ice or sleet out of MI pretty fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 GFS. Through 72 hours. Similar to the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Deff liking the trends tonight on the models for this storm system!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 I guess the key at this point is just build little by little. Can't afford another setback prior to when this system gets RAOB sampling for the Monday runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 FWIW the GFS has another system starting around 100 hrs and drops a couple inches on IL/IA/IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 FWIW the GFS has another system starting around 100 hrs and drops a couple inches on IL/IA/IN. Well, these two feet are now two inches. So by that forecast rationale, we are due a few tenths, haha. Trends are improving, but short of solid warning criteria snow I would call this the biggest letdown of the season. Euro was smoking some good stuff for a few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 FWIW the GFS has another system starting around 100 hrs and drops a couple inches on IL/IA/IN. 12z Euro had it with a widespread 4" for IL/IN/OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 28, 2016 Author Share Posted February 28, 2016 0z GEM looks pretty good for northern IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 0z GEM looks pretty good for northern IL Yeah, better than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 0Z GFS would be low end warning criteria around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 28, 2016 Author Share Posted February 28, 2016 Yeah, better than 12z Looks pretty nice aloft. 1002mb over Cincy then 997mb into western PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Looks pretty nice aloft. 1002mb over Cincy then 997mb into western PA. Pretty juicy run...dumps about 1" precip around here...not sure if all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 00z Ukie would probably be pretty decent as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 00z Ukie would probably be pretty decent as well. Seems like we are locking in on this one, it might waver a bit but with only 3 days until the snow, there probably won't be too radical of shifts. At least I'd be surprised if there were. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 12z Euro had it with a widespread 4" for IL/IN/OH. I've been referencing this possibility for a couple days now...still a little hard to say what for sure happens due to this system out in front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 That was a different system. No clue why the GFS tries to develop a different system with the same front. No kidding it's a different system. Someone else brought it up from the GFS and was stating that the Euro had it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Wow, did not expect the GGEM to improve that much. Hoosier gets buried again! System is neutral tilt at least as it enters IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Wow, did not expect the GGEM to improve that much. Hoosier gets buried again! System is neutral tilt at least as it enters IL. I don't think Hoosier will be moving back south after this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjk254 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 What would be the estimated winds with this possible event right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Wow, did not expect the GGEM to improve that much. Hoosier gets buried again! System is neutral tilt at least as it enters IL. Strange how some of these runs take a favorable track/look good at upper levels and vary greatly with snowfall. One of the models this afternoon looked great, and the accum map was miserable, and then this one blows up over Hoosier. Bring the euro back into the fold, get this thing to go negative tilt about 100 miles west and we will be in business. Edits for fat fingered mistyping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Wow, did not expect the GGEM to improve that much. Hoosier gets buried again! 2 double digit storms in less than a week with a complete meltdown in between...would be a first in my memory. Obviously too much variance in the critical details at this point to really make a good guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Big differences aloft between the GFS and GGEM at 72 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 What would be the estimated winds with this possible event right now? Probably not any windier than today. As of now the storm isn't strong enough to produce big winds. Noticing the lake enhancement possibility is likely with the GGEM. 15-18 hours of winds blowing off the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Can I seriously get more than 1 to 2 inches from a freakin system this year...seriously....urgh. Watching the SAME places south of us getting hit again...Yes, I know this is a rant...hoping for SOME encouraging words...Geos? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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