Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Why not. GFS has been fairly consistent on a wave coming ashore the Pac NW then crossing the Rockies, amplifying and digging into the plains and eventually becoming a fairly impressive system. Also a decent signal on the Euro mean and ensemble members Add the 0z GEM to showing the storm too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Potential is certainly there. The 00z GFS was epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 A storm like this would turn this winter from a "zero" to a "hero" real quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2016 Author Share Posted February 25, 2016 Potential is certainly there. The 00z GFS was epic. GEM might even be more epic with 3" of QPF here and 2ft amounts as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 GEM looks like it snows for hours and hours on end. Looking at TT, the model is skipping around from 130 to 168 to 192, and it's still snowing at 192. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Dat baroclinic zone... This is a big, big dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 GEM is less of a big dog, start's off as a decent ice storm across areas east of Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Good vibes and a share the wealth with this one. I want everyone to win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 GEM might even be more epic with 3" of QPF here and 2ft amounts as well Wow Too bad it's still 6 days out. There's the usual phasing questions but imo, the H5 setup seems fairly straightforward initially, so I think there's reason to be optimistic that this won't just dissolve into something piddly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 lol http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfs&site=kord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 lol http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfs&site=kord 8" in 3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 lol http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfs&site=kord Haha 8.7" in 3 hours. We don't get those kind of rates in this part of the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Welp I'll be in Florida for this one... Enjoy your gigantically massive biggest of big dogs guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Haha 8.7" in 3 hours. We don't get those kind of rates in this part of the county. I've seen that in a few LES events here. Rare definitely. 2.9"/hour. I think maybe the New Years blizzard of 99 and GHD I came close too. These late winter storms usually carry a lot of juice. Good lord that's a lot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 I've seen that in a few LES events here. Rare definitely. 2.9"/hour. I think maybe the New Years blizzard of 99 and GHD I came close too. These late winter storms usually carry a lot of juice. Good lord that's a lot of snow. Well, t-snow started the thread, so we may as well lock it in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Well, t-snow started the thread, so we may as well lock it in Got my fingers crossed. And this is only 10:1. Nearly everything west of Lake Michigan is from this one storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Maybe this one can shift south. Of course with my luck it will shift too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 8" in 3 hours. Verbatim, would be Chicago's biggest storm of all time with 24.8 inches. If only it weren't 6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 This would be really awesome if it was under 100 hours out. The start of it is about 6 days away. Hopefully the EURO will latch on tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Maybe this one can shift south. Of course with my luck it will shift too far south. It bears watching. But who knows - could be congrats MSP or DCA. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Not going to really get invested into this for at least 3 days. Really don't want to set myself up for disappointment again. The cobb output gives KTOL 0.96" of freezing rain followed by 11" of snow. That would cripple the city for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 I'll be eaten alive for this post, so sorry in advance. I could see this cutting further west for a Iowa special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Teleconnections don't look to change a whole lot through the 2nd - at least right now doesn't look like it. +PNA, -AO, +NAO. --- Saw the new avatar Cyclone, I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 This would be really awesome if it was under 100 hours out. The start of it is about 6 days away. Hopefully the EURO will latch on tonight. Man, can you imagine if we were within 18hrs and the HRRR was showing something like this? Verbatim this would be the heaviest snow event of all time for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Man, can you imagine if we were within 18hrs and the HRRR was showing something like this? Verbatim this would be the heaviest snow event of all time for this area.I wouldn't mind a GHD 2 model redux where the models kept strengthening and strengthening in the days leading up and still underestimated totals. The next 7-10 days certainly have more potential than most of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Man, can you imagine if we were within 18hrs and the HRRR was showing something like this? Verbatim this would be the heaviest snow event of all time for this area. I'd be bouncing off the walls if we were that close. lol I'll be siked if things hold steady and were looking at similar maps on Sunday. EURO has the low, but it craps it out as it heads east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 I'd be bouncing off the walls if we were that close. lol I'll be siked if things hold steady and were looking at similar maps on Sunday. EURO has the low, but it craps it out as it heads east. Identical to GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Identical to GEFS Similar low position at least. It's a start I guess. With a sharp baroclinic zone, I would expect a stronger solution. Wait a sec... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Euro at least backed off of the cutoff low nonsense and trended toward the GFS, clearly though it looks like it will be late to the party again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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