ThePhotoGuy Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 Storm was pretty Meh. Heavy rain and some thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 Rain shower and some thunder. Just on the edge of the "storm" but the clouds where the heavier stuff is look more menacing then the radar presents the storm to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 I love when the atmosphere is really ripe like it is today when you can literally just sit and watch the convection happen in front of you... the clouds appear to be slowly boiling... just awesome Sent from my XT1254 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 More thunder. Rain starting to get harder again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 More thunder. Rain starting to get harder again. And now a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. Nothing severe though. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND... * UNTIL 630 PM EDT * AT 540 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SEVERNA PARK...OR NEAR RIVIERA BEACH...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGING WINDS WILL CAUSE SOME TREES AND LARGE BRANCHES TO FALL. THIS COULD INJURE THOSE OUTDOORS...AS WELL AS DAMAGE HOMES AND VEHICLES. ROADWAYS MAY BECOME BLOCKED BY DOWNED TREES. LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. UNSECURED LIGHT OBJECTS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SEVERN...RIVIERA BEACH...SILLERY BAY...GIBSON ISLAND...FORT SMALLWOOD STATE PARK...BODKIN POINT...PINEHURST...GLEN BURNIE... SEVERNA PARK...ODENTON...PASADENA...ARNOLD...LAKE SHORE... FERNDALE...FORT MEADE...SOUTH GATE...GREEN HAVEN...MILLERSVILLE... CAPE ST. CLAIRE AND GAMBRILLS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 Not a drop here. Sun & clouds 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 No thunder, no wind, two-minute shower. Couldn't even pull some Mid-Atlantic severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 2, 2016 Share Posted July 2, 2016 sneaky severe late Monday into Monday night? LWX AFD makes quick mention of it via deep layer shear profiles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 2, 2016 Share Posted July 2, 2016 sneaky severe late Monday into Monday night? LWX AFD makes quick mention of it via deep layer shear profiles Anytime we get a variation/combo of shear, EML, lapse rates, we do well. Screw the rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 2, 2016 Share Posted July 2, 2016 Out of town and haven't looked at guidance. Are you saying that could be present or are you saying screw this potential until we get that combo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 2, 2016 Share Posted July 2, 2016 Out of town and haven't looked at guidance. Are you saying that could be present or are you saying screw this potential until we get that combo? Screw the potential until we get that combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 2, 2016 Share Posted July 2, 2016 Screw the potential until we get that combo. I guess see you in 2020 them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2016 Share Posted July 3, 2016 12z NAM still likes something Mon evening into Monday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted July 3, 2016 Share Posted July 3, 2016 it looks like mostly widespread heavy showers with maybe some thunder too. Shear is ok, but sfc-based cape values are generally under 1000 unless you go well south of DC. So I wouldn't totally rule out isolated severe mainly south of DC, but it's hard to get excited about this. 12z NAM still likes something Mon evening into Monday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 3, 2016 Share Posted July 3, 2016 Doesn't look like any significant warmth on the long range GFS. We flirt with the 588 dm and +20 @ 850 respectively for a day or two, but nothing like the epic warmth that KA outlooked back in spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 3, 2016 Share Posted July 3, 2016 it looks like mostly widespread heavy showers with maybe some thunder too. Shear is ok, but sfc-based cape values are generally under 1000 unless you go well south of DC. So I wouldn't totally rule out isolated severe mainly south of DC, but it's hard to get excited about this. I'm out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 3, 2016 Share Posted July 3, 2016 CIPS from 12z has at least some suggestion of an increase in severe potential by the last panel which in this case is hour 132. Long way out, though - and it's nothing extreme. We remain bored for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 Day 4 outlook has a 15% area touching Garrett Co, MD. SPC seems to also mention Mid-Atlantic for Day 5 tho no area is outlooked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 12z CIPS spits out a little pocket of enhanced severe potential around hour 60 in our sector. If you click the southeast sector it has a big severe indication at hour 84 from OH into our area - hr 84 looks a lot less impressive when using the box centered on our area, though. Grasping... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 LWX did make quick mention of chance of strong to severe storms Friday and Saturday in their afternoon AFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 hai there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 If that verifies I'm going to buy Ian's meal at the meet up.*Verifies = 70+mph wind gust IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Your money is safe. I could have bet 58mph and my money would probably still be safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 I could have bet 40mph and my money would probably still be safe Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Well if nothing else the NAM seems to sort of like Fri PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 Tiny EMLish look on the NAM. If it weren't the NAM 4k, I'd be interested. That isn't to say someone along I-81 won't get a good wind or hail report tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 New Day 2 looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 You get a 15% and you get a 15% and YOU get a 15%..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 Derecho 2016 incoming. 115mph winds and minivan sized hail to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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