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2/24/16 Severe Thunderstorm Potential


bluewave

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Tornado watch extended

 

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 28

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

731 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

NJC019-023-025-027-029-035-037-041-PAC025-077-089-095-250400-

/O.EXA.KPHI.TO.A.0028.000000T0000Z-160225T0400Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED TORNADO WATCH 28 TO

INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING

IN NEW JERSEY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY

MONMOUTH

IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY

HUNTERDON MIDDLESEX MORRIS

SOMERSET SUSSEX WARREN

IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY

OCEAN

IN PENNSYLVANIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES

IN EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA

LEHIGH NORTHAMPTON

IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA

CARBON MONROE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...

BLAIRSTOWN...EAST BRUNSWICK...EASTON...EDISON...FLEMINGTON...

FREEHOLD...JIM THORPE...MORRISTOWN...NEW BRUNSWICK...NEWTON...

NORTH BRUNSWICK TOWNSHIP...PERTH AMBOY...SAYREVILLE...SOMERSET...

STROUDSBURG AND TOMS RIVER.

$

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mcd0152.gif

 

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0152
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0546 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN PA...NRN NJ...SERN NY...AND CT

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 242346Z - 250145Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A BAND OF STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PUSH EAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING
DAMAGING WINDS. A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO MAY BE POSSIBLE AS WELL. WW
ISSUANCE IS LIKELY.

DISCUSSION...THE LATEST REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC DEPICTS A
CONSOLIDATING BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS PUSHING EASTWARD ACROSS
CENTRAL/EASTERN PA. TEMPS TO THE EAST OF THIS LINE HAVE RISEN INTO
THE LOWER 60S ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NRN NJ...AS INCREASING SLY
FLOW SUPPORTS POLEWARD THERMAL/MOISTURE ADVECTION. AS THIS
OCCURS...THE NEAR-SFC STABLE LAYER SHOULD WEAKEN SUFFICIENTLY IN
SPOTS...SUCH THAT INCREASINGLY FORCED CONVECTION WILL LIKELY FAVOR
POCKETS OF WIND DAMAGE...DEPENDENT UPON HOW FAR NORTH THIS
DESTABILIZATION OCCURS. FURTHERMORE...VWP DATA TO THE EAST OF THIS
LINE SAMPLE VERY STRONG SLY FLOW /APPROX 65-75 KTS/ AROUND 1-3 KM
ABOVE THE SFC...SUGGESTING A POTENTIAL WIND THREAT. AS SUCH...THE
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS MAY INCREASE ACROSS THE MCD AREA OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...CONSIDERING THE PRESENCE OF AMPLE SRH AS INDICATED BY
KDIX VWP DATA. WW ISSUANCE IS LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 30
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
740 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY
SOUTHERN NEW YORK
COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 740 PM
UNTIL 200 AM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH COULD CONTAIN
DAMAGING SURFACE WINDS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO...WILL MOVE FROM WEST
TO EAST ACROSS NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...THE NYC AREA...AND PARTS OF
CONNECTICUT LATER TONIGHT.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES EAST OF
POUGHKEEPSIE NEW YORK TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF ISLIP NEW YORK. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 30

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

740 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT

NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY

SOUTHERN NEW YORK

COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 740 PM

UNTIL 200 AM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS

TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE

A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH COULD CONTAIN

DAMAGING SURFACE WINDS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO...WILL MOVE FROM WEST

TO EAST ACROSS NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...THE NYC AREA...AND PARTS OF

CONNECTICUT LATER TONIGHT.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES EAST OF

POUGHKEEPSIE NEW YORK TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF ISLIP NEW YORK. FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

 

Unreal . 

 

As good as if I were following 6 to 12 . 

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