IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Lots of hail reports from the DC crew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Yeah another tornado just confirmed. Let's see if the lines hold together for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Any time of the year!!! There are some INSANE SUPER CELLS DOWN THERE RIGHT NOW I don't think I have ever seen a tornado warning that big anywhere And even DC is about to rocked!!! Just read that NWS Raleigh has issued 19 tornado warnings for their CWA today. Some of the tornado warned storms just south of DC did not appear to have rotation based on radar, but clearly strong winds and hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Yeah another tornado just confirmed. Let's see if the lines hold together for our area. Forget the line. Look at that cell in the Delaware bay moving straight up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Forget the line. Look at that cell in the Delaware bay moving straight up this wayAre instability parameters similar in NJ and NYC area fur these cells to remain as potent? Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Are instability parameters similar in NJ and NYC area fur these cells to remain as potent? Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Well dewpoints have gone from 40 to 60 in a couple of hoursSent from my VS986 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Well dewpoints have gone from 40 to 60 in a couple of hours Sent from my VS986 using Tapatalk That is incredibly muggy for February Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Are instability parameters similar in NJ and NYC area fur these cells to remain as potent? Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Not as impressive, but still up there. Looks like there's a window of a few hours before things settle down. That storm in south Jersey is impressive and racing north. The line over the MA seems to be bowing a bit, but I don't know how far it will make it towards our area before weakening as it seems to be moving NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Not as impressive, but still up there. Looks like there's a window of a few hours before things settle down. That storm in south Jersey is impressive and racing north. The line over the MA seems to be bowing a bit, but I don't know how far it will make it towards our area before weakening as it seems to be moving NNE. It was moving more to the NE but is moving straight north now likely headed for western jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 It was moving more to the NE but is moving straight north now likely headed for western jerseyHeaded right for my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 24, 2016 Author Share Posted February 24, 2016 The LLJ actually increases over the next 3 to 4 hrs as in moves from the Delmarva NE to our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 It was moving more to the NE but is moving straight north now likely headed for western jersey Moving N at 65 mph! Looks like 60+ mph winds on radar. Winds looked even stronger when it was over Delaware. Moving over the cooler water might have weakened it a bit. Headed right for my backyard. Let us know what happens if it does hit your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 The LLJ actually increases over the next 3 to 4 hrs as in moves from the Delmarva NE to our area. A.png B.png Wow this is unreal for February. Hopefully that line survives as it moves north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Wow this is unreal for February. Hopefully that line survives as it moves north.Don't want to hear about any damage to anyone's property. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Headed right for my backyard. That line is nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 24, 2016 Author Share Posted February 24, 2016 Wow this is unreal for February. Hopefully that line survives as it moves north. We will be getting our watch soon. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0152 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0546 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN PA...NRN NJ...SERN NY...AND CT CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 242346Z - 250145Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...A BAND OF STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS. A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO MAY BE POSSIBLE AS WELL. WW ISSUANCE IS LIKELY. DISCUSSION...THE LATEST REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS PUSHING EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN PA. TEMPS TO THE EAST OF THIS LINE HAVE RISEN INTO THE LOWER 60S ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NRN NJ...AS INCREASING SLY FLOW SUPPORTS POLEWARD THERMAL/MOISTURE ADVECTION. AS THIS OCCURS...THE NEAR-SFC STABLE LAYER SHOULD WEAKEN SUFFICIENTLY IN SPOTS...SUCH THAT INCREASINGLY FORCED CONVECTION WILL LIKELY FAVOR POCKETS OF WIND DAMAGE...DEPENDENT UPON HOW FAR NORTH THIS DESTABILIZATION OCCURS. FURTHERMORE...VWP DATA TO THE EAST OF THIS LINE SAMPLE VERY STRONG SLY FLOW /APPROX 65-75 KTS/ AROUND 1-3 KM ABOVE THE SFC...SUGGESTING A POTENTIAL WIND THREAT. AS SUCH...THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS MAY INCREASE ACROSS THE MCD AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...CONSIDERING THE PRESENCE OF AMPLE SRH AS INDICATED BY KDIX VWP DATA. WW ISSUANCE IS LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. ..PICCA/CORFIDI.. 02/24/2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 It's probably not going to be a tor watch, but still the threat of straight line winds is very real. High res seems to be indicating that the core of the line will pass just NW of 95. Going to be a very close call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 1-2" per hour rates with the convection blowing through NJ right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Getting lightning now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 We have a legit severe weather threat and the best rains fall tonight. That line in PA is quite firece. It's up to 60 here in northern NJ so the warm front has cleared. No reason to think the severe threat won't advance northward. Extremely impressive for February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 That line over Pa would be impressive in June. I doubt it makes it past the city in its current state as water temps are way cold for severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stockmanjr Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Getting lightning now Lightning strike just outside my building in midtown east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Some thunder and lightning here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 That line over Pa would be impressive in June. I doubt it makes it past the city in its current state as water temps are way cold for severeAll the high res have it passing NW of NYC proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Thunder here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Something trying to spin up over Lancaster county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Wow incredible downpour now in Bridgewater area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Something trying to spin up over Lancaster county. Definitely some rotation on radar. EDIT: tor warned now. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE PA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EASTERN LANCASTER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA... * UNTIL 745 PM EST * AT 721 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER QUARRYVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... NEW HOLLAND...GAP...STRASBURG...QUARRYVILLE...PARADISE... CHURCHTOWN...TERRE HILL...KIRKWOOD...WHITE HORSE...BOWMANSVILLE... GOODVILLE...CHRISTIANA...GORDONVILLE...BLUE BALL...INTERCOURSE... BUCK...GEORGETOWN...FIVEPOINTVILLE AND ATGLEN. THIS INCLUDES THE PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE FROM MILE MARKERS 289 TO 295. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Just went Tor warned. That's an area of PA susceptible to tornadoes too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Thunder here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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