IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Here we go MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0149NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0206 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHERN VA/DC METRO ANDMD/DE/NJ/SOUTHEAST PACONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELYVALID 242006Z - 242100ZPROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENTSUMMARY...UPDATING AN EARLIER MESOSCALE DISCUSSION /145/...A TORNADOWATCH WILL BE ISSUED SOON ACROSS NORTHERN VA/DC METRO AND PORTIONSOF MD/DE INTO NJ/SOUTHEAST PA. THE TORNADO RISK WILL CONTINUE WILLGRADUALLY INCREASE/SPREAD NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGIONTHROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.DISCUSSION...THE NEAR-SURFACE FRONTAL WEDGE CONTINUES TO ABATE/SHIFTNORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A WARM FRONT EFFECTIVELY EXTENDINGFROM THE DELMARVA PENINSULA SOUTHWESTWARD TO SOUTH-CENTRAL VA. ASADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION OCCURS WITHIN A HIGHLY SHEAREDENVIRONMENT...THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE/SPREADNORTH-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. THISINCLUDES THE POSSIBILITY OF A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO ESPECIALLYACROSS VA AND POSSIBLY INTERIOR MD PORTIONS OF THE WATCH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Here we go MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0149 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0206 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHERN VA/DC METRO AND MD/DE/NJ/SOUTHEAST PA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 242006Z - 242100Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT SUMMARY...UPDATING AN EARLIER MESOSCALE DISCUSSION /145/...A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SOON ACROSS NORTHERN VA/DC METRO AND PORTIONS OF MD/DE INTO NJ/SOUTHEAST PA. THE TORNADO RISK WILL CONTINUE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE/SPREAD NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. DISCUSSION...THE NEAR-SURFACE FRONTAL WEDGE CONTINUES TO ABATE/SHIFT NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A WARM FRONT EFFECTIVELY EXTENDING FROM THE DELMARVA PENINSULA SOUTHWESTWARD TO SOUTH-CENTRAL VA. AS ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION OCCURS WITHIN A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE/SPREAD NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. THIS INCLUDES THE POSSIBILITY OF A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO ESPECIALLY ACROSS VA AND POSSIBLY INTERIOR MD PORTIONS OF THE WATCH. Wow!!! I would have to think that's unprecedented that far north in February. We should rock and roll later!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 SW CT jackpot on the RAP and HRRR. Quiet here for the moment as we're in a lull. Up to 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Tornado watch up for Philly and S NJ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDTORNADO WATCH NUMBER 28NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK320 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OFDISTRICT OF COLUMBIADELAWARECENTRAL AND EASTERN MARYLANDSOUTHERN NEW JERSEYSOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIANORTHERN VIRGINIACOASTAL WATERS* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PMUNTIL 1100 PM EST.* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLESCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELYSUMMARY...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL QUICKLY PROGRESSNORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING.DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS.THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTEMILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OFPHILADELPHIA PENNSYLVANIA TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF PATUXENTRIVER MARYLAND. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THEASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FORTORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCHAREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FORTHREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTSAND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.&&OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 26...WW 27...AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAILSURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WINDGUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I would think that the tornado threat will continue to advance NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 24, 2016 Author Share Posted February 24, 2016 Wow!!! I would have to think that's unprecedented that far north in February. We should rock and roll later!!! Yeah, its the only tornado watch that I can remember this close to us in February. The only other DJF TOR Watch I believe this close to the region was back on 12/01/06. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20061201 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Currently 5 TOR warnings in VA and a few in NC, mostly associated with the actual squall line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Another boring storm, not even decent rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Another boring storm, not even decent rainsWe have a legit severe weather threat and the best rains fall tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Warm front thru here as temp up 7 degrees past 15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Have picked up 0.75" of rain so far today. Temp 47 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Dense fog here now. Warm front must be overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYGiantsFan99 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 do you think the warm front will make it through nenj in time for storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Another boring storm, not even decent rains A tornado watch so close to our region in February does not strike me as boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Temp now up to 57 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Almost this entire line is TOR warned currently http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AKQ&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Models swing that line across here between 10PM and 2AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Wow. In VA. on twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Looks like there might be a secondary surface low over the mid-atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Even the 18z GFS is over an inch in most places additional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Wow. In VA. on twitter That's pretty insane looking although we've seen fakes before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 The 21z HRRR is still printing out an additional 2-3" of rain just to the NW of the NJ TPK and then up into the LHV and CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I am just in disbelief that tornadic conditions are right on our doorstep in late February. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Wow. In VA. on twitter Didn't this same area get buried during the blizzard? Wow, a blizzard and tornado a month from each other. That's more like what happens in the Plains. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Didn't this same area get buried during the blizzard? Wow, a blizzard and tornado a month from each other. That's more like what happens in the Plains. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Three confirmed dead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Three confirmed deadThat's terrible Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I imagine one of the more impressive lines you'll ever see over North Carolina and Virginia, especially considering its February. Several tornado warned storms currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I imagine one of the more impressive lines you'll ever see over North Carolina and Virginia considering its February. Several tornado warned storms currently. Any time of the year!!! There are some INSANE SUPER CELLS DOWN THERE RIGHT NOW I don't think I have ever seen a tornado warning that big anywhere And even DC is about to rocked!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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