RyanDe680 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 over under for Hoosier 8"? over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Cook and Will need a warning I think. Advisory bordering those counties. HRRR following the RAP in low position. STL is going to get pounded by the deformation band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 It's showing 8-10"+ for nw Indiana smart ass We have a math major on our hands +4 simply means 4 more than the last run. a -4 would mean 4 less than the last run. pick your poison http://www.math.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 not backing down yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 NAM went warmer again at 18z. Not a lot of consistency here. I'll call for an inch tomorrow on the front end for Toronto. Could end up being nothing, and a smaller chance it could pile up to a couple or 3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 guys calm down. It's snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 End of the 24hr HRRR.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Cook and Will need a warning I think. Advisory bordering those counties. HRRR following the RAP in low position. STL is going to get pounded by the deformation band. That is a thing of beauty! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 guys calm down. It's snow. but i've got like 3 or 4 more wagon.jpegs to use Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 In a sweet spot 20 miles east of STL. Sometimes this isn't a good thing though. Whats your location in the STL area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 but i've got like 3 or 4 more wagon.jpegs to use you used that last one regularly last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 but i've got like 3 or 4 more wagon.jpegs to use lol referencing the little dmc/Ryan hoedown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 you used that last one regularly last year it was a good year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Who gets more snow? St. Louis or Chicago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 lol referencing the little dmc/Ryan hoedown +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Whats your location in the STL area? Belleville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Nice hit for Chicago on the NMM/ARW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Successive runs of the RPM also trending west. The 18z now showing 7-8" at ORD on ~1.2" liquid equivalent. Suspect there'll be blizzard conditions for a few hours throughout the city tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Looks like a LAF shutout on the HRRR now. Looking at this, you would think some warnings would need to be issued from St. Louis on east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 WSW out now for Cook. "1-7 inches" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 End of the 24hr HRRR.. hrrrx_ref_mc_25.png -RN for geos, +SN for mimilliman....toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 lol referencing the little dmc/Ryan hoedown lol +2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 DUPAGE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHEATON...OSWEGO...MORRIS312 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AMCST THURSDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AMWEDNESDAY TO 4 AM CST THURSDAY.* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLYWEDNESDAY MORNING...POSSIBLY BRIEFLY STARTING AS A MIX OF RAINOR SNOW.* MAIN IMPACT...WET SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHESLIKELY...HIGHEST IN THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE COUNTIES.SNOWFALL TOTALS COULD VARY SUBSTANTIALLY OVER SHORT DISTANCESWITH SOME AREAS WITHIN THE ADVISORY POTENTIALLY SEEING VERYLITTLE SNOW...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF THECOUNTIES.* OTHER IMPACTS...STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST TO 40 TO 45MPH AT TIMES. WHERE MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW OCCURS...THIS WILLCREATE A WIND WHIPPED SNOW THAT WILL CAUSE SHARP VISIBILITYREDUCTIONS MAKING TRAVEL QUITE HAZARDOUS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Looks like a LAF shutout on the HRRR now. Looking at this, you would think some warnings would need to be issued from St. Louis on east. WWA will not suffice IF this were to verify for the STL metro and areas East... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Yeah toss the HRRR precip types. Colder here than my Mimillman. Cut a couple degrees off of this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Wow really need to revise down my YYZ call. I'll go 2-4" now, mostly backend. West jumps are impressive. Is there a chance IN gets shut out? Looked like the sweet spot 12 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Tragic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Still have dewpoints in the upper teens here, all the models right now are saying that we should be in the mid to upper 20s for dewpoints. It is getting to the point where this might matter with respect to wet bulbing and evaporative cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Wow really need to revise down my YYZ call. I'll go 2-4" now, mostly backend. West jumps are impressive. Is there a chance IN gets shut out? Looked like the sweet spot 12 hours ago. I ran 18z NAM through BUFKIT. Still about 1/4" QPF of front end as snow or close to being snow. From the raw NCEP images, you wouldn't think that possible with the 850 line so far to the north. RGEM still on board as well. Best case scenario is somehow squeezing out 2-4" from the front-end, and 2-4" from the wraparound for a 4-8" storm total. I give that about 1 in 20 odds. More likely 1" or so on the front and 1-3" behind. Looks like Guelph's bit of elevation may pay dividends for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Low on the 20z RAP barely moves from 14-18 hours near KY/IL line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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