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Potential major winter storm - Feb 24-25 PART II


snowstormcanuck

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DTX updated their AFD and synopsis.

 

http://www.weather.gov/crh/weatherstory?sid=dtx&embed=#.Vs3JUtKFOyU

 

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
941 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

.UPDATE...

3 HR PRESSURE FALLS FROM LATEST LAPS DATA SHOWS MAX HEIGHT FALL
CENTER OVER OR JUST SOUTH OF CLEVELAND OHIO.  WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW
LOCKED IN NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...AND BASED ON
OBSERVATIONS (DTW/ADG) WITHIN THE BATTLEGROUND OF THE TIGHT LOW
LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE...COLDER/SNOWIER SOLUTION...VIA 00Z EURO
SEEMS TO BE THE WAY TO GO...AND WE HAVE UPGRADED WESTERN LENAWEE
TO WARNING. AMOUNTS WERE ALSO INCREASED ACROSS WASHTENAW
COUNTY...AS WELL AS FAR WESTERN WAYNE COUNTY. IT WILL BE REAL
CLOSE TO WARNING FOR WESTERN WAYNE...BUT ELECTED TO HOLD ONTO
HIGH END ADVISORY. THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEAVIEST SNOW WILL
FOCUS IN ON THE NORTH HALF OF THE CWA WITH DEFORMATION...AND
EXPECTED A SWATH OF 10 TO 14 INCHES...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW BECOMING ISSUE TONIGHT AS SURFACE/LOW LEVEL WINDS FLIP AROUND
TO NORTH/NORTHWEST AND TEMPERATURES DROP SOLIDLY BELOW FREEZING.

&&
 

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started as rain here, then went to sleet, mixed briefly with snow, then back to sleet and rain, now sleet and snow. Everything but the kitchen sink. The ground is white, but JUST to my west it is a lot more. Aggravating but honestly I expected nothing but rain today. The deformation will be the main show here, and it looks pretty decent attm.

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Yikes.. How's Evansville benchmark working out.. This one could make up some for the ghd sleet storm in Indiana. Does Detroit beat Chicago now lol. Silence from Chicago posters is probably unfortunate of the am developments.. O well good luck down there and to the rest in the storm as well

 

Yeah doesn't matter much now. The low crossed about 25 miles east of EVV. About where the GFS had it.

 

Band is still heading west, so we'll see.

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Blizzard to near blizzard conditions here KCMI rural areas are a complete whiteout. Snow finally starting to accumulate on pavement and roads are going downhill fast. Temperature is 31.8 degrees.

Are we going to be able to swing 6-10" from this thing?

Congrats on the blizzard headlines! Enjoy

Wind is really picking up here.

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