snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2016 Author Share Posted February 24, 2016 Actually started as a bit of a -ZR/SN mixture here in London. Shant last long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Snow really accumulated quickly. Everything is covered already. Nice initial band. Changeover is nigh, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2016 Author Share Posted February 24, 2016 Snow really accumulated quickly. Everything is covered already. Nice initial band. Changeover is nigh, however. Looks like it's RA/ZR as close as Oakville, but the wetbulbing process will retard the advance of the changeover somewhat. I don't think the snow changes over until at least 10-11am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 12Z HRRR pushes back changeover a little bit. Every hour counts Note that the HRRR has an "ice" category in it's p-type, but I've found that usually is just snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Definitely pingers mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2016 Author Share Posted February 24, 2016 12Z HRRR pushes back changeover a little bit. Every hour counts Note that the HRRR has an "ice" category in it's p-type, but I've found that usually is just snow. Per MTO cams, looks like Burlington/Hamilton area is changing back to snow. Good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Spoke too soon? Just changed to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Snow really picking up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Had some pingers to start. Otherwise, heavy snow with temperatures dropping from 33 to 31 IMBY. Around 1.5" near the Taylor/Dearborn Heights border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2016 Author Share Posted February 24, 2016 Spoke too soon? Just changed to rain Check out KC radar. It's just that little lull in the returns where you turn over to -FZDZ. It's ripping upstream. You're in good shape for the next couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michigander Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Blackrock you will like this update from our friends to the north (APN/Gaylord NWS): NAM (model) IS MORE AGGRESSIVE IN PUSHING THE POTENTIAL BAND OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL FURTHER NW INTO N CENTRAL AND POSSIBLY AS FAR AS NW LWR MICHIGAN. IN CONTRAST…THE ECMWF (European Model) TENDS TO KEEP THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL ACROSS NE LWR MICHIGAN. A COMPARISON OF UPSTREAM RADAR DATA VS. THESE TWO MODELS SUGGESTS THE NAM ACTUALLY HAS A BETTER HANDLE ON THE HEAVIEST RAIN/SNOW BAND CURRENTLY IMPACTING SRN MISSOURI AND NRN ARKANSAS ALONG THE NW EDGE OF DEEP MOISTURE AND STRONG 700-500 MB FGEN. HOWEVER…THE ECMWF HAS BEEN MORE CONSISTENT RUN TO RUN IN LEADING UP TO THIS EVENT. IN COORDINATION WITH GRR AND OUR SHORT TERM FORECASTER…WILL GO WITH A COMPROMISE OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS. THUS…HAVE PUSHED HIGHER SNOW AMOUNTS FURTHER NW INTO OUR CWA…ESPECIALLY FOR TONIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2016 Author Share Posted February 24, 2016 Looks like no 13z update from SPC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Snow has begun here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Check out KC radar. It's just that little lull in the returns where you turn over to -FZDZ. It's ripping upstream. You're in good shape for the next couple of hours. Exactly. Still uncertain as to when the exact changeover will occur but looks like 11am-2pm is the consensus. Should be a fun morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michigander Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Per Bill Steffen (local to GRR): "The wind at Gary IN at 8 am was north at 35 mph with a gust to 51 mph. 16,000+ without power in the St. Louis area as snow blasts the region." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I actually may get in on the action for this storm a little was expecting the brunt to stay well south but looking like a solid 4-8" of cement. Congratz to the folk down south someone is going to be pushing a foot with blizzard like conditions maybe even a little thundersnow??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 12Z HRRR looking good for KOKK. 9z SREF mean just shy of 10 inches. Could this be a sleeper event for here??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Started out as all IP/ZR here unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Started out as ice pellets when I left home. Was snow by the time I reached the Scarborough RT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michigander Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I actually may get in on the action for this storm a little was expecting the brunt to stay well south but looking like a solid 4-8" of cement. Congratz to the folk down south someone is going to be pushing a foot with blizzard like conditions maybe even a little thundersnow??? I wouldn't be surprised if Gaylord to Alpena is in the bullseye the way this thing is trending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Pouring heavy snow currently falling in downtown Toronto after a brief period of ice pellets/freezing drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 CC radar data indicating all snow across TO-Mississauga-Oakville corridor. Mixing is occurring once you get SW of Burlington(along and west of the escarpment). The mixing line is pretty stagnant at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2016 Author Share Posted February 24, 2016 Started out as all IP/ZR here unfortunately. I gotta think there's a warm layer aloft that'll bulb down and let you switch back to snow for awhile. Although, if it's still a mixed bag after an hour of precip, maybe not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Surface low has hardly moved out of southern Il. for the last 6 hours from radar trends. Seems to be drifting slowly into western KY as it deepens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2016 Author Share Posted February 24, 2016 Pouring heavy snow currently falling in downtown Toronto after a brief period of ice pellets/freezing drizzle. Seeing it on CP24. Those are massive flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky333 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Mix of light snow and ice here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Seeing it on CP24. Those are massive flakes. Flakes are pretty decent sized here but visibility is still pretty good. I'd say visibilities are 3/4 to 1 SM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Flakes are pretty decent sized here but visibility is still pretty good. I'd say visibilities are 3/4 to 1 SM. Are you downtown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Changeover line really close... right out on Lake Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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