TugHillMatt Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 You know us too well. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 ARW and NMM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Now cast time! Good luck all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Updated meso analysis and pressure falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 SPLIT THEDIFFERENCE BETWEEN THESE TWO CAMPS WITH A 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF BLEND Agree and in other words mke wouldn't have to worry much for an advisory much even to the se corner if it wasn't for timing and wind maybe making things w/e for a brief time. For headlines You need to be south of the border for this one imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 SLP looks to be on course to head just a hair east of Paducah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 i obviously don't know where paducah is or able to project and read the maps. im just not seeing the hair east of paducah thing. anyways I have to go to bed this time lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 So, what time should I start freaking out? Don't like the way things are sounding atm. Select few people making it seem like it's wagons east? .-. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 SLP looks to be on course to head just a hair east of Paducah. I don't think it is going to move NNW from its current location, that would really be shocking. It will probably continue moving NNE like it has all afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 i obviously don't know where paducah is or able to project and read the maps. im just not seeing the hair east of paducah thing. anyways I have to go to bed this time lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjk254 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Todd Holsten of IWX said the low should go to Toledo in his update 15 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I don't think it is going to move NNW from its current location, that would really be shocking. It will probably continue moving NNE like it has all afternoon. The L on that map is just east of Paducah and that's where the high-res model take it. It would be NNE from its currently location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 i don't know much, or if its wagons east per see but I would be a lot more optimistic right now of a bump in your favor if i was on the east side than west of the battle line. north side of chicago i'd be a little freaked if it was my backyard. not thinking bust by any means but i just don't see any good surprise coming either. GOOD NIGHT..Can't wait in a way until its good night and over with this one lol. 5 days of tracking for a coating maybe lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Good luck to the peeps in the snow swath. I'm expecting to see lots of pics tomorrow and Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 guess i just see if moving more east south east of it then a hair from it. my eyes hurt and map skills stink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 FWIW Euro is still E of most (not all) of the models with the snow swath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 EURO at 0 hours has the low too far southeast of where it crossed MS. It was closer to Vicksburg, and NW of Jackson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 yeah the euro has my freaked out thoughts if your to the n/nw in mind with that map. I just smell some stink but it's prob just that last min jitters but i dont know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Not snow related or anything, but Ohio is looking halfway decent for some isolated low-topped hailers tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 990 mb at 6z, so continued steady deepening. Question over the next several hours is how much more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Might as well pull an all nighter UMB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 no no all nighter. now if we had even slightly built upon the 18z gfs at 0z then maybe lol. Heck i would have been tickled to have the 18z verify. im afraid to see what 6z gfs looks like..going to take that inch away to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I don't think it is going to move NNW from its current location, that would really be shocking. It will probably continue moving NNE like it has all afternoon. I somehow missed this post but that's my reading of it too what you said. If i thought close to paducah was in play i wouldn't be half as freaked for northern Illinois and burbs of chicago - and would even be halfway optimistic in to wi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Updated meso. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 After mostly all rain earlier, more and more snow starting to show up as the storm pulls in colder air and cools dynamically. Widespread light to near moderate snows through southern MO now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 And I guess when youre on the far edges of this sick gradient to the NW splitting hairs over 10 to 30 miles means more than if you're well in to the meat of the good stuff like say Hoosier and others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Latest HRRR made me lose all hope, haha. Keeps all the snow S of the city, but a nice hit for EC and S Illinois, NC Indiana, and maybe parts of Michigan. Wish you all the best of cement! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Latest HRRR made me lose all hope, haha. Keeps all the snow S of the city, but a nice hit for EC and S Illinois, NC Indiana, and maybe parts of Michigan. Wish you all the best of cement! The main part of the storm wasn't supposed to get into NE IL until rush hour. The deformation band is predicted to pivot back westward later. As long as the low gets up to Evansville, Chicago is still very much in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Maybe Rodger Smith has some geos like power to save you. j/k Hopefully you all can at least get the NWS map to work out at least and work from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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