chase_stormz Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 The pivot and destroy on the RAP/HRRR is pure model porn. Just be careful not to get too wrapped up. Pay attention to that f-gen band out in C. Missouri. It's going to end up being important in the end. Absolutely agree! Just gorgeous to see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 It's just that every post you make is about you and only you. You couldn't care less about what will actually happen with the system regarding everywhere else.Guess what, almost every person on here is guilty of that. You care more about your local areas effects than others. So do I. Suck it up and take it to a PM instead of clogging up the threadAnd that pivot in Illinois on the short ranges is beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I dont get what everyone finds so funny, this is an extremely complex system and a little change could make or break your total. Everybody already knows this though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 How well did the 22z RAP and 21z HRRR initialize? At 23z, the lowest pressure I could find at an ob site is 995.9 mb (29.41") at Greenwood, MS. All fwiw... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Guess what, almost every person on here is guilty of that. You care more about your local areas effects than others. So do I. Suck it up and take it to a PM instead of clogging up the thread And that pivot in Illinois on the short ranges is beautiful. No one does it to the extent that you do.... time to maybe open up your eyes and realize what you're doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 This storm has brought out the rage in people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 This storm has brought out the rage in people Just sick of people posting nonsense because they're mad the weather didn't go their way. They need to get over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M4XiMuS Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Although I'm not close to a professional, the f-gen band is the band where the heaviest snow will fall and the totals under that band will be significantly higher.Understood. I guess I was confusing his reference to the f-gen band with that small precip line currently pushing across MO. Hence my question/confusion... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btcs31 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Lurker here. Just wanted to say it's been fun following along with this one. I'm on the IN/IL border just off I-80 so looking good for tomorrow. As posted earlier I think this one is going to catch people in the Chicago area by surprise. Everyone I've talked to down here thinks this is a 3" nuisance deal. Good luck to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Just sick of people posting nonsense because they're mad the weather didn't go their way. Get over it. I'm down with you. In the end, who cares. . I just wanted to use that picture of the Rock too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 How well did the 22z RAP and 21z HRRR initialize? At 23z, the lowest pressure I could find at an ob site is 995.9 mb (29.41") at Greenwood, MS. All fwiw... 21z RAP actually low weak for 23z which it has a 998mb low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Just as an FYI, the RAP and HRRR performed terribly with the 2/16 OV storm. Their usual NW biases and lower level thermal profiles were very evident. LR Rap bullseyed CMH with 8-10" of snow, we ended up with 2-3". End of range HRRR bullseyed SE Ohio with 10", they received 1". This is a different storm based on SLP strength, but very very similar with respect to thermal profiles. I'm pulling for everyone in the path to get snow, but be wary of the long range for the high-res models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Lurker here. Just wanted to say it's been fun following along with this one. I'm on the IN/IL border just off I-80 so looking good for tomorrow. As posted earlier I think this one is going to catch people in the Chicago area by surprise. Everyone I've talked to down here thinks this is a 3" nuisance deal. Good luck to all! you're in a great area for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I'm down with you. In the end, who cares. . I just wanted to use that picture of the Rock too Exactly! Ohhhh, I didn't mean to tell YOU to "get over it," I was telling that to the people who post the nonsense. Anyways, back to weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Lurker here. Just wanted to say it's been fun following along with this one. I'm on the IN/IL border just off I-80 so looking good for tomorrow. As posted earlier I think this one is going to catch people in the Chicago area by surprise. Everyone I've talked to down here thinks this is a 3" nuisance deal. Good luck to all! Wow, we're close. Encountered the same thing as you early in the day but it seems like awareness is growing now. Been trying to do my part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 NWS Chicago really has to update their Weather Story if they want to raise awareness... still shows 1-2" by me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Latest meso. Still shows the low stuck at the same pressure. Either it starts to strengthen in a few hours or it may start east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 and the beat go's on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Latest meso. Still shows the low stuck at the same pressure. Either it starts to strengthen in a few hours or it may start east. Just dropped to a 996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 That looks sweet Thundersnow. Current surface. Low is heading towards Memphis. End of RAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 For the novices on this board, such as myself, can you expound on why the f-gen band currently pushing across MO is so important? Will it play a role in saturating the lower levels? Or the opposite? Appreciate the education! Most of the progs that set up further west involve that f-gen band by expanding it and merging with the deformation precip shield later tonight and early tomorrow morning. If it peters out or stays weak, that's probably a sign that the eastern solutions are right. And yes, it will help with low level saturation as it slogs its way east, provided it's still there come morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 hrrrx_ref_chicago_25.png Could you post a 2m temperature map. Just curious to see what it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btcs31 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Wow, we're close. Encountered the same thing as you early in the day but it seems like awareness is growing now. Been trying to do my part. I'm a bit west over in Munster so yeah pretty close! Curious to see what the TV mets say this evening. Should be enough confidence for the area now to go into hype mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 This version of the HRRR has temps cooling under the deformation band. With dewpoints like this, surface temps should cool off nicely. The IP and ZR don't make sense though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Man Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Lurker here... How is the Champaign-Urbana area looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Guess what, almost every person on here is guilty of that. You care more about your local areas effects than others. So do I. Suck it up and take it to a PM instead of clogging up the thread And that pivot in Illinois on the short ranges is beautiful. No one has been doing it nearly as badly as you all winter. Most actually talk in generalities instead of IMBY all day long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Is LOT doing an AFD? Looking forward to hearing more from them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Wow, that HRRR is deep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Is LOT doing an AFD? Looking forward to hearing more from them It's out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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