ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Wow. Seems bullish. Maybe. Might weaken as it hits the dry high to the northeast. Either way it's really just a stat padder as whatever falls will largely be gone by storms end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Maybe. Might weaken as it hits the dry high to the northeast. Either way it's really just a stat padder as whatever falls will largely be gone by storms end. As modeled by Mesos its a rush hour mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Probably won't happen this way but a closer look at the NAM has light mixed precip breaking out and as dark approaches really blitzes right at rush hour and drops surface temps to freezing in NCT NMASS. That would be a road disaster as depicted by 6Z, of course new Nam incoming so its all an effort in futility 33/27 here in SECT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Probably won't happen this way but a closer look at the NAM has light mixed precip breaking out and as dark approaches really blitzes right at rush hour and drops surface temps to freezing in NCT NMASS. That would be a road disaster as depicted by 6Z, of course new Nam incoming so its all an effort in futility 33/27 here in SECT 12z nam looks pretty good for a decent push before the flip to liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 12z nam looks pretty good for a decent push before the flip to liquid. Yea I 91 corridor disaster on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Geez 4 K thumps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 That Litchfield hills CT Hippy Valley MPM area is in for it on the NAM, burst of very heavy snow to extended freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 This could be one of those storms where towns like Shelton and the elevated areas near srn CT do fairly well. Seems like models really weaken this as it heads NE from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfenn1117 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 This could be one of those storms where towns like Shelton and the elevated areas near srn CT do fairly well. Seems like models really weaken this as it heads NE from there. SWCT special again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 That Litchfield hills CT Hippy Valley MPM area is in for it on the NAM, burst of very heavy snow to extended freezing rain Steve, what does timing look like? I need to drive to Newton and back today. TIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 This could be one of those storms where towns like Shelton and the elevated areas near srn CT do fairly well. Seems like models really weaken this as it heads NE from there. RAP really likes NCT ORH county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Geez 4 K thumps Both Nammy's are meh for TAN. Not as good as prior runs. As expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Steve, what does timing look like? I need to drive to Newton and back today. TIA. NAM says 3-ish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 This could be one of those storms where towns like Shelton and the elevated areas near srn CT do fairly well. Seems like models really weaken this as it heads NE from there. yea, seems like a N of merritt pkwy type of deal. once you get 25miles away from 95 into the hilly areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Enjoy guys On Sunday,Scott told me that the front end thump was false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 SWCT special again? Well not necessarily. Just an example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Enjoy guys On Sunday,Scott told me that the front end thump was false For NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 NAM says 3-ish? HRRR says 4-5pm so 3-5pm in WMA seems reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 For NYC. Should have said that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Chris HRRR doesn't get you above freezing for 24 hrs, IDK how good it is but you know your glen, BDL could be 45 while you are 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Maple syrup producers won't like the Nam suite FRZRN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Should have said that Well that was actually in reference to the widespread WSW the GEM gave us....lol. But truth be told...this trended a little more to a front end snow to mix than, say, globals had a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 New rgem looks super-meh through 24 for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 This could be one of those storms where towns like Shelton and the elevated areas near srn CT do fairly well. Seems like models really weaken this as it heads NE from there. Even the HRRR has this hitting a brick wall outside of SW CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Even the HRRR has this hitting a brick wall outside of SW CT ARW was unimpressed as well. Don't think there is any guidance showing 4+ totals for SNE (at least south of the northern MA border or outside the berks) other than the NAM/NMM. Tossed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Even the HRRR has this hitting a brick wall outside of SW CT I know it. Would think it makes it into srn areas though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I know it. Would think it makes it into srn areas though. Yeah I think that's a pretty good bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 New rgem looks super-meh through 24 for SNE Are we looking at the same rGEM? wasn't it always 2-3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Stick a fork in her for SNE. 1 inch or so tops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Maybe. Might weaken as it hits the dry high to the northeast. Either way it's really just a stat padder as whatever falls will largely be gone by storms end. Or totally as temps/dews tomorrow night hit 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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