HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I wish there was a colder pool that we could work with. This season the southern stream just overwhelms us with warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 I wish there was a colder pool that we could work with. This season the southern stream just overwhelms us with warmthas far as snow goes but I think the Ageostrophic flow might be stronger than depicted as posted by Will and Scooter. That's a damn cold air mass in Eastern Canada with isoballaric sag all the way down to the low center. This could be quite the ice storm and you might just be on the southern fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 as far as snow goes but I think the Ageostrophic flow might be stronger than depicted as posted by Will and Scooter. That's a damn cold air mass in Eastern Canada with isoballaric sag all the way down to the low center. This could be quite the ice storm and you might just be on the southern fringe.very very roughly Dave, something like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Connecticut Appleman Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 We got our WWA - FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Advisory fetish rejoice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Thanks Steve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Snow by 2:00 sleet by 7:00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Some of the meso models really rip this evening. Those are the models that don't really weaken it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Some of the meso models really rip this evening. Those are the models that don't really weaken it.We better hope the NAM is still hitting the crack pipe. What's the BTV WRF or the WSI model show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 We better hope the NAM is still hitting the crack pipe. What's the BTV WRF or the WSI model show? RPM has a 4 spot near ORH, but if anything, it probably is more because the srfc temps are likely too warm as modeled. Reality is cooler. It wouldn't shock me if ORH was a sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I'll probably duck out of work early to make as much distance as I can before the snow. Too bad I need to come back in pre-dawn tomorrow. It might be a little slick. OT--it is now official that I'm staying on at Suffolk permanently. I'll now be in Boston a few days a week for the duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 RPM has a 4 spot near ORH, but if anything, it probably is more because the srfc temps are likely too warm as modeled. Reality is cooler. It wouldn't shock me if ORH was a sweet spot. Would anyone be shocked if ORH was a sweet spot? I'm most interested to see what Lunenburg scores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Lol what the sam hell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Someone is in for a surprise if some of these meso models verify. A few remain pretty bullish on amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 I'll probably duck out of work early to make as much distance as I can before the snow. Too bad I need to come back in pre-dawn tomorrow. It might be a little slick. OT--it is now official that I'm staying on at Suffolk permanently. I'll now be in Boston a few days a week for the duration. Congrats Mike, best of luck, got the generator working? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Someone is in for a surprise if some of these meso models verify. A few remain pretty bullish on amounts. has your chance of 2 inches risen above 0? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Someone is in for a surprise if some of these meso models verify. A few remain pretty bullish on amounts. Yeah . NAM has very strong lift just north of the 850 front. This could be something where CT and into interior SE MA could do fairly well in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 has your chance of 2 inches risen above 0? for TAN? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 for TAN? No. RGEM is not 0 just sayin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 RGEM is not 0 just sayin My bet is around 1" for TAN. Over by BOX they may see 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 11z currents Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Srefs one in each state, sorry no RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Looks like VT NH ME get some backlash snow hopefully front end and back end minimize the damage to ski slopes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Amazing how different the Euro is from mesos. Some of the mesos are close to warning criteria. I still think something like 2-3" is good for most of SNE away from the torch spots on the Cape and parts f the south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Amazing how different the Euro is from mesos. Some of the mesos are close to warning criteria. I still think something like 2-3" is good for most of SNE away from the torch spots on the Cape and parts f the south coast. RGEM wasn't too bad of a compromise. Some of the less bullish models weaken that batch of precip considerably as it nears the s coast around 00z. Might be tough to be bullish...but at the same time...it wouldn't shock me either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Amazing how different the Euro is from mesos. Some of the mesos are close to warning criteria. I still think something like 2-3" is good for most of SNE away from the torch spots on the Cape and parts f the south coast. Wow. Seems bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 RGEM wasn't too bad of a compromise. Some of the less bullish models weaken that batch of precip considerably as it nears the s coast around 00z. Might be tough to be bullish...but at the same time...it wouldn't shock me either.The defined warm front at 850 seems to be on most guidance now. Rgem is definitely a decent compromise. Like 2-3" for most. That's what I'm thinking. Probably most of that occurs in a 2-3 hour burst as the ML warm front lifts through. Just north of that probably sees some decent rates briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Some Meso stuff to keep an eye on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Nam has a big thump signal while the GFS has a meh look, Globals definitely not excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 upton not as impressed, says up to an 1" here. I guess they are discounting the nam lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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