MJO812 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 There seems to be strong consensus that Sunday morning will be cold and very wet. Of course it could change, and I hope it does, but I have to start preparing. Having trained for the race, it will be a very bitter pill to have that come on the heels of a warm and dry stretch. Also, my wife will give me hell and tell me I shouldn't run it. Good luck. I give you credit. I hate running. Would the city snow if it moved a little east from that position? It would most likely have to be a bombing low near the benchmark . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Why are you crying over a day 6 model run?says the one who first posted it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 says the one who first posted it Big difference between posting it and taking it verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 12z GFS is much flatter, at this rate, the storm may end up sliding South and OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Sloppy, a bit further East and much weaker. Way to much confluence initially squashes everything and keeps things rather meh. The area gets brushed by light precip on Sunday which could be in the form of snow with accumulations mostly restricted to SNJ and Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Sloppy, a bit further East and much weaker. Way to much confluence initially squashes everything and keeps things rather meh. The area gets brushed by light precip on Sunday which could be in the form of snow with accumulations mostly restricted to SNJ and Long Island. It looks like it gains strength near SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 It looks like it gains strength near SNE. Yup, Boston and coastal SNE get crushed. Eastern Suffolk does well too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Yup, Boston and coastal SNE get crushed. Eastern Suffolk does well too. Doubt it. Looks like an ORH and elevation special. Coast will have slop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Big rainstorm on ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 In my opinion this will only trend colder! Still about a week from now so plenty of time for this to trend stronger and colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Ukie doesn't even have a storm http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=120&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Doubt it. Looks like an ORH and elevation special. Coast will have slop.You need to be interior and have elevation for this one. Even in southern New England. Central and Northern New England best shot imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Euro is great for inland areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Euro is great for inland areas Maps? Whopping 0.30" today, not exactly a deluge as some were indicating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 This is rain changing to snow for NYC Metro on the Euro - similarities to the March 19 -21 , 1958 storm - that storm had marginal temps to work with just like this storm but was very intense like this storm which could generate more cold air at all levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Totally disagree. I think many will get more rain tonight than expected.how did this work out? you're the metfan of rainstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Hate the High position, but I guess if the ULL slows down & closes off to the SE we could see some magic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Euro crushes interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 AllSnow: the model that my team and I are creating will be called MAM aka most accurate model. It goes operational June 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 AllSnow: the model that my team and I are creating will be called MAM aka most reliable model. It goes operational June 2016 Amazing! Can't wait to see the finally product. the weather community is not going to know what hit them.I think the name MRM makes more sense, you can have that for free tony. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Amazing! Can't wait to see the finally product. the weather community is not going to know what hit themthanks man the budget is small close to 40 thousand but we're doing what we love. Hopefully it is as reliable as we hope it will be.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 thanks man the budget is small close to 40 thousand but we're doing what we love. Hopefully it is as reliable as we hope it will be. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk This will probably set the euro behind decades! Let's rename it to the MRM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 This will probably set the euro behind decades! Let's rename it to the MRMi mean name is not important if it's not accurate. We're literally using all the other models and satellite imagery combined with water vapor loops to come up with a forecast. But the name is MAM for most accurate model. I made a type earlier. We'll see what happens but I'm excitedSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 i mean name is not important if it's not accurate. We're literally using all the other models and satellite imagery combined with water vapor loops to come up with a forecast. But the name is MAM for most accurate model. I made a type earlier. We'll see what happens but I'm excited Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Sprinkle a little 4dvar in their so we have the MAM on roids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 thanks man the budget is small close to 40 thousand but we're doing what we love. Hopefully it is as reliable as we hope it will be. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Wait what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 AllSnow: the model that my team and I are creating will be called MAM aka most accurate model. It goes operational June 2016 Do us a favor and be the first to program a model with artificial intelligence so it can correct its own mistakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Maps? Whopping 0.30" today, not exactly a deluge as some were indicating. Been pouring off and on at work in SW Siffolk today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Been pouring off and on at work in SW Siffolk today Youre finally back to work you malingerer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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