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The Last Hurrah for Winter? Late Winter/Early Spring Banter


dmillz25

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precipitation has been above average so far this winter...Dec/Jan/Feb were above average...March is dry so far...we might get to normal before the month ends...

precipitation for el nino winters...

winter......Dec.....Jan.....Feb.....Mar.....Dec/Feb.....Dec/Mar...

2015-16...4.72"...4.41"...4.40"...0.25".......13.53".......13.78" as of 3/9

2014-15...6.04"...5.23"...2.04"...4.00".......13.31".......17.31"

2009-10...7.27"...2.08"...6.69"..10.69"......16.04".......26.73"

2006-07...2.15"...3.64"...1.99"...5.35".........7.78".......13.03"

2004-05...3.71"...4.67"...3.04"...4.89".......11.42".......15.31"

2002-03...4.06"...2.30"...4.56"...4.57".......10.92".......15.49"

1997-98...4.27"...5.20"...5.81"...5.08".......15.28".......20.33"

1994-95...2.90"...3.75"...3.13"...1.26".........9.78".......11.04"

1991-92...4.26"...1.68"...1.87"...4.08".........7.81".......11.89"

1987-88...2.17"...3.64"...3.91"...5.27".........9.72".......14.99"

1986-87...6.16"...5.81"...1.01"...4.93".......12.98".......17.91"

1982-83...1.47"...5.01"...3.22"..10.54".........9.70"......20.24"

1979-80...2.69"...1.72"...1.04"..10.41".........5.45"......15.86"

1977-78...5.06"...8.27"...1.59"...2.73".......14.92".......17.65"

1976-77...2.29"...2.25"...2.51"...7.41".........7.05".......12.46"

1972-73...6.09"...4.53"...4.55"...3.60".......15.17".......18.77"

1969-70...7.07"...0.66"...4.52"...4.18".......12.25".......16.43"

1968-69...4.15"...1.10"...3.05"...3.73".........8.30".......12.03"

1965-66...1.72"...2.63"...4.96"...0.94".........9.31".......10.25"

1963-64...2.31"...4.62"...2.93"...2.57".........9.86".......12.43"

1958-59...1.25"...2.34"...1.69"...3.77".........5.28".........9.05"

1957-58...5.26"...3.79"...2.98"...3.19".......12.03".......15.22"

1953-54...4.42"...1.65"...1.81"...3.25".........7.88".......11.13"

1951-52...4.28"...4.55"...1.38"...4.00".......10.21".......14.21"

average...3.58"...3.50"...3.27"...3.96".......10.35".......14.31"

...................................................................................................

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Portions of LA already reached the Euro 20 inch call in just two days.

 

20.97" reported in the #Monroe area by a @CoCoRaHS observer over the past 2 days-- pretty amazing! #lawx #flood pic.twitter.com/1yGEY4OfFK

 

-11.2 SD at 500 mb is off the charts.

 

attachicon.gif500H-1.gif

With no end in sight. I'd just like to experience this IMBY one time.

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Winter is over. See here. ( He's a jinx )
 
Henry Marquisity
"Enjoy the warmth...cold shot coming 18th to 23rd which may bring late season snowstorm with it in the East!"

 

Even the day ten Euro which has the trough sliding East just gives the area a lot of rain. It's the trough currently over the Southern Plains sliding East and reloading over time. 

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I will take a heavy rainstorm. This boring weather sucks.

00z GEPS mean is indicating above average rainfall in the East post day 10 which fits pretty well into the GFS/Euro thinking of things becoming active post day 6 East of the Apps. At some point the trough is going to be sliding Eastward and the moisture will come with it.

 

gem-ens_apcpna7d_us_10.png

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There is no real cold shot. A transient ridge with no cold air anywhere is not a snow chance.

It's the type of scenario that would have a perfect track, cold 850s but surface temps in the 40s and 50s. There is no cold air anywhere and with the heat we are currently experiencing, the water temps will have risen to the mid 40s by then.

 

You would need major elevation to have a chance and by major, I mean where a tiny percentage of people live.

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There is no real cold shot. A transient ridge with no cold air anywhere is not a snow chance.

It's the type of scenario that would have a perfect track, cold 850s but surface temps in the 40s and 50s. There is no cold air anywhere and with the heat we are currently experiencing, the water temps will have risen to the mid 40s by then.

You would need major elevation to have a chance and by major, I mean where a tiny percentage of people live.

Not only that but soon we will have the equivalent of a September sun
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There is no real cold shot. A transient ridge with no cold air anywhere is not a snow chance.

It's the type of scenario that would have a perfect track, cold 850s but surface temps in the 40s and 50s. There is no cold air anywhere and with the heat we are currently experiencing, the water temps will have risen to the mid 40s by then.

 

You would need major elevation to have a chance and by major, I mean where a tiny percentage of people live.

that's if it comes at all....the "cooldown" is still 10 days out.  Plenty of time for it to be muted or disappear altogether.

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