swamplover56 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 On 3/17/2016 at 11:46 PM, PB GFI said: I like 6 + KNYC will adjust as we get closer. 12 just N and W 18 in NWNJ. KNYC is tricky because over an inch of liquid should fall , I am just not sure how that will get measured in the park. Between compression / melting and the error prone individuals there I will take the low number until we get closer in. There are EPS members that would flip this for a while. Thank you for such a blunt prediction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/17/2016 at 10:06 PM, SnoSki14 said: SnoSki14, on 17 Mar 2016 - 6:06 PM, said:I'm not losing sleep over this. If it misses then it misses no big deal, I was in full spring mode before this threat popped and it'll be in the 70s a few days later anyway. It'll be a big deal if it misses. I might snap if it does at this point. ( note: I was out of town for the late January blizzard...only 7 day period I wasn't home this winter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 As of now I think this ends up somewhere between the 12z EPS mean/18z gfs op weighing then 75/25. Something close to the 12z Ukie track. OBX to ACK to the Gulf of Maine. This guess is not based in science. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 1:01 AM, Rjay said: This guess is not based in science. We need to write a code so that every post in our forum ends with this sentence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 1:07 AM, BxEngine said: We need to write a code so that every post in our forum ends with this sentence. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 1:28 AM, Pamela said: Probably the last snowstorm I will ever experience in Port Jefferson...as, after 22 years there...I'm likely re-locating to The Black Hills over the summer. Like as in South Dakota? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 The sad thing is even if we do get the storm whether its 12 inches, 6 inches or somewhere in between it will be gone before I get back from vacation which on another note is why I am sure it will happen; I will be out of town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 When does the mam run at oz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 3:02 AM, swamplover56 said: When does the mam run at oz? After Tony has a few drinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 1:28 AM, Pamela said: Probably the last snowstorm I will ever experience in Port Jefferson...as, after 22 years there...I'm likely re-locating to The Black Hills over the summer. Well umm, yeah. Most Long Islanders age out and head south. You know it's cold as sht there right? C'mon back and visit us here on the board and let us know how it goes and how to contact you, the Black Hills are high on my hit list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Any updates on the MAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 It needs to warm up especially if there's no snow coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 I need an update on the MAM. I wonder what it spews out the morning after St. Patrick's Day. Hopefully not corned beef or green beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 I'll just leave this here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 2:19 PM, Stormlover74 said: I'll just leave this here It has to be wrong because the bullseye isn't over NYC or LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 2:19 PM, Stormlover74 said: I'll just leave this here That's very bullish, over a foot here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 2:30 PM, JerseyWx said: That's very bullish, over a foot here? Keep in mind his first guess was 3-6 in nyc for the blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 2:33 PM, Stormlover74 said: Keep in mind his first guess was 3-6 in nyc for the blizzard That was a great first guess, NYC was on the Northern edge until the last 24hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 2:33 PM, Stormlover74 said: Keep in mind his first guess was 3-6 in nyc for the blizzard Yeah, I'd imagine he's going to knock down those totals a bit. Seems like he saw the Euro or something yesterday and used that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 2:51 PM, JerseyWx said: Yeah, I'd imagine he's going to knock down those totals a bit. Seems like he saw the Euro or something yesterday and used that. Yeah I believe he made that map last night but only available to his paid subscribers. He just posted it to fb a little while ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 2:30 PM, JerseyWx said: That's very bullish, over a foot here? This has as much of a chance of verifying as a #16 beating a #1. Every model trend over the last 12-hours has been away from any significant event outside of the snow capital of the NE (Long Island). I'll be happy if I see an inch on the grass and my deck, the plow guys can continue to put away their equipment around here. Sure Long Island will cash in on a mid-April event as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 2:54 PM, Keith O said: This has as much of a chance of verifying as a #16 beating a #1. Every model trend over the last 12-hours has been away from any significant event outside of the snow capital of the NE (Long Island). I'll be happy if I see an inch on the grass and my deck, the plow guys can continue to put away their equipment around here. Sure Long Island will cash in on a mid-April event as well. Unfortunately it probably won't work out in our favor. But I'd still like to see more model runs before really giving up on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 2:19 PM, Stormlover74 said: I'll just leave this here That man will live and die by the euro.. That model used to be good. WTH happened to it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 3:59 PM, snywx said: That man will live and die by the euro.. That model used to be good. WTH happened to it? FWIW, he stated when he posted it that it did not take into account last nights Euro and would adjust it after today's Euro. The time stamp on the map shows this too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 4:09 PM, IrishRob17 said: FWIW, he stated when he posted it that it did not take into account last nights Euro and would adjust it after today's Euro. The time stamp on the map shows this too. I almost fell out of my chair. Can't believe he still uses the Euro model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Makes sense then, because like others said it's easy to tell he used yesterday's Euro. I guess Weather Underground uses it too lol. Yesterday afternoon it had 8-12" with heavy snow possible, now it's down to 1-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 4:09 PM, IrishRob17 said: FWIW, he stated when he posted it that it did not take into account last nights Euro and would adjust it after today's Euro. The time stamp on the map shows this too. Yeah but regardless that euro run was within 72 hrs of the event. I mean not too long ago thats when it was locked in. Now its lost till 12 hrs of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 3:59 PM, snywx said: That man will live and die by the euro.. That model used to be good. WTH happened to it? They kept upgrading it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 not only him bastardi said earlier he thinks the storm will come back west.. he said did the gfs pull a coup on the euro... dr g on wpix 11 also lives and dies with the euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 GFS says we try to do this mess all over again in about 12 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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