NEG NAO Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Eps is further southeast with storm 1. Low now goes over NYC with some members go southeast of LI. Storm 2 is a little east but stronger and wetter than 0z eps. I don't know about anyone else but at 6 days out I want it to look like this considering how the northwest trend has worked out this season so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 18 GFS was a whole lot of nothing through day 8. 1/4 to 1/2 inch of rain through the cycle. Really an unimpressive model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 18 GFS was a whole lot of nothing through day 8. 1/4 to 1/2 inch of rain through the cycle. Really an unimpressive model run. GFS is all out of whack lately -trying to make the northern stream energy dominant at the end of the week -not allowing much to develop underneath it - did some crazy things yesterday with the upcoming Wednesday storm and finally caught up to Euro cutting idea today -but its still trying to hang back energy and develop a second system further south clipping the mid- atlantic coast with some frozen precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 18 GFS was a whole lot of nothing through day 8. 1/4 to 1/2 inch of rain through the cycle. Really an unimpressive model run. Good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 GFS is all out of whack lately -trying to make the northern stream energy dominant at the end of the week -not allowing much to develop underneath it - did some crazy things yesterday with the upcoming Wednesday storm and finally caught up to Euro cutting idea today -but its still trying to hang back energy and develop a second system further south clipping the mid- atlantic coast with some frozen precip I am not so sure. just my opinion. This may turn into not much. I think out best bet is the storm crashing into california around day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 The ukie also has 2 lows like the gfs. Euro also shifted east and the low is near nyc with the midweek storm. I think we have to keep an eye out to see if there are more shifts south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 The ukie also has 2 lows like the gfs. Euro also shifted east and the low is near nyc with the midweek storm. I think we have to keep an eye out to see if there are more shifts south and east From WPC EAST -- FROM THE PLAINS EASTWARD, MEAN TROUGH WILL SUPPORT NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WITH A COUPLE CHANCES OF RAIN/SNOW. LEAD SYSTEM TUE/WED WILL LIKELY EXIT THROUGH THE EASTERN LAKES AND ST LAWRENCE VALLEY -- RATHER THAN FARTHER SOUTH PER THE GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 From WPC EAST -- FROM THE PLAINS EASTWARD, MEAN TROUGH WILL SUPPORT NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WITH A COUPLE CHANCES OF RAIN/SNOW. LEAD SYSTEM TUE/WED WILL LIKELY EXIT THROUGH THE EASTERN LAKES AND ST LAWRENCE VALLEY -- RATHER THAN FARTHER SOUTH PER THE GFS So they are dismissing the gfs and ukie. Euro has been also trending east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Gfs still develops 2 lows. Rain to snow ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Gfs still develops 2 lows. Rain to snow ? Still only amounts to a dusting to a couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Gfs still develops 2 lows. Rain to snow ? looks a little wonky to my eyes. It does show a thump of snow as cold air rushed into to the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Gfs is 2 low scenario for mid week storm, no coastal for weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Looks like it goes over to heavy wet snow even in NYC for awhile late Wednesday? I wonder if GFS is on crack with this 2 low idea for Wednesday. I prefer what thew Euro is showing. Much colder Friday and much better potential to deliver something significant. GFS would probably be just an inch or two of wet snow on colder surfaces. Nothing too exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 GGEM is a decent rain event, cutter midweek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 GGEM has the coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 About 100-150 miles SE of Long Island, comes off the Carolinas, up the coast and moves Northeast off Delmarva, should be a big NE hit, I can't see qpf map yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 About 100-150 miles SE of Long Island, comes off the Carolinas, up the coast and moves Northeast off Delmarva, should be a big NE hit, I can't see qpf map yetThis is just a theory here, but does the cutter scenario for midweek help the coastal, or are those two systems independent of one another? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Beautiful hit on GGEM, better to the east into NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 NE crush job on GGEM, NENJ, Rockland county, westchester and NYC are all about 6-10" ish..... Long Island gets crushed 12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Sorry fellow hudson valley folks, the seasonal trend seems to wanna continue Too far south for first storm, too far north for second lmao.. Can't beat that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 http://models.weatherbell.com/cmc/2016022800/boston/cmc_snow_acc_boston_27.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Let's also keep in mind that it's the 150hr GGEM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Like that we have some wiggle room like to see it east if it's going to correct west like seasonal trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Euro has around 6 inches for NYC with more towards southern and central NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 A lot of GEFS members have 2 lows for the first storm with the 2nd low delivering some snow to the NYC area. No 2nd storm at all on the members. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 EPS moved the mean track further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 28, 2016 Share Posted February 28, 2016 GFS continues 2 low look, sloppy inch or so, preceding rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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