UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 E1 pleeeeeeeeze! And of course that control map matters as I fully expect several weenies to be posting it to FB and Twitter shortly. If E-1 verified I'd never post on this forum again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 just out of curiosity are we allowed to post WxBell Maps ? And any other paid site maps ?Only if the map is out in public (FaceBook, Twitter, etc.). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Gfs has two lows and has the 2nd low ejecting near the benchmark. Rain to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Happy Hour with Uncle 18Z GFS -someone poured 100 proof into this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 12Z Euro For Tuesday 3/1- yeah that' s a Blizzard Really dude, it occurs after hour 96 and before hour 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 GFS delivers the goods, what a bomb. Flooding rains to heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Fine let us know how it works out for you on Wednesday going with the 12ZGFS and if it shows the same solution at 18Z hi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Happy Hour with Uncle 18Z GFS -someone poured 100 proof into this one Not shocking given the negative AO. Loving that high up north. Gefs was also good foe the area . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Really Dud - ain't happening anyways TUESDAY RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING THEN SNOW LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. WEDNESDAY PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW. HIGHS AROUND 30. Upton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Not shocking given the negative AO. Loving that high up north. Gefs was also good foe the area . The track shifted further south and east then 12Z taking it through the gulf states before coming up the peidmont and then off shore - I would be surprised if 0Z keeps the track that far south and east .............IF it does GFS might be leading the way on this one especally if the Euro starts trending towards it...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 2nd low gets shredded on gfs for march 4-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 2nd low gets shredded on gfs for march 4-5Isnt the Thursday low on the 18z gfs (2nd wave that blows up and changes to snow) the same one the Euro hangs back and ejects for Fri? Euro is showing its typical bias being slowwwwww moving the energy out. At least thats how Im reading it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Really Dud - ain't happening anyways TUESDAY RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING THEN SNOW LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. WEDNESDAY PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW. HIGHS AROUND 30. Lol seriously? He was talking about a model run verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Isnt the Thursday low on the 18z gfs (2nd wave that blows up and changes to snow) the same one the Euro hangs back and ejects for Fri? Euro is showing its typical bias being slowwwwww moving the energy out. At least thats how Im reading it. Im not even sure. These models are driving me crazy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Gefs all over the place for the 1st event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 26, 2016 Share Posted February 26, 2016 Closer look at the fantasy GFS, I mean 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Great snowstorm track on the 12Z EURO>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>for Chicago and northeast into Canada. LOL. Trace here over the next 240 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Great snowstorm track on the 12Z EURO>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>for Chicago and northeast into Canada. LOL. Trace here over the next 240 hours. Check the eps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Ukie with storm 1 Further south than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 GGEM has a SECS/ MECS with storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 06z GFS- close but no cigar 00 euro- miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 GGEM has a SECS/ MECS with storm 2 GGEM is way off imo, doesn't even have the storm timing down... Nearly 24+ hours slower than Gfs/euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Ukie with storm 1 Further south than 12z The Ukmet is still rain, even for southern New England. The CMC is an outlier, all on its own. It looks nothing at all like the Ukie, GFS or Euro. My guess is that this is a far interior, north and elevation snow only. The metro area may go from rain to wet snow and mix at the end as the 2nd storm pulls away. Given the time of year and climo, etc, and the fact that temps will not be all that cold, I doubt it amounts to much at all Edit: Typo, storm 2* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 The Ukmet is still rain, even for southern New England. The CMC is an outlier, all on its own. It looks nothing at all like the Ukie, GFS or Euro. My guess is that this is a far interior, north and elevation snow only. The metro area may go from rain to wet snow and mix at the end as the 3rd storm pulls away. Given the time of year and climo, etc, and the fact that temps will not be all that cold, I doubt it amounts to much at all Storm 3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 GGEM is way off imo, doesn't even have the storm timing down... Nearly 24+ hours slower than Gfs/euro Any solution is possible at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 So basically every model has the wed/thurs event as a cutter except the GFS..... And every model except the GGEM has the weekend storm OTS..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 So basically every model has the wed/thurs event as a cutter except the GFS..... And every model except the GGEM has the weekend storm OTS..... No. Ukie isnt a cutter and ggem is basically a cold front lol. Gfs is still south with storm 2 but I rather see it there anyway. Euro was better this run compared to 12z.It would be nice to see the models continue to push more south with the midweek storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 So basically every model has the wed/thurs event as a cutter except the GFS..... And every model except the GGEM has the weekend storm OTS..... ugh-we could whiff on both in a worst case scenario.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 So basically every model has the wed/thurs event as a cutter except the GFS..... And every model except the GGEM has the weekend storm OTS..... Next weekend's storm is trending OTS because the western ridge/+PNA is getting attacked by El Niño with the STJ crashing into California. The ridge deamplifies and there's a northern branch kicker dropping down right behind the storm. As a result it just gets moved along quickly with the fast, progressive flow and the shortwave can't slow down, dig and really strengthen, so it just goes OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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