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Models Have Us On Northern Edge Of Snow 3/4/16


bluewave

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Looks like about an inch here on top of cars it's barely accumulated anywhere on pavement though. Nice light snow that barely bothers anyone? I wonder what Saturday nights clipper brings? This was definitely an over achiever considering this thing was supposed to barely give us snow showers just last night!

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Satellite is going to look gorgeous later.

 

1008 MB LOW IS LOCATED NR 32N77W AT 06Z. SFC OBS SHOWING GALE
FORCE WINDS TO THE NE OF THE LOW...WITH BUOYS IN THE REGION
SHOWING GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE. 00Z GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO BE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN SHOWING THIS SYSTEM RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING
TODAY AND TONIGHT AS IT MOVES NE OVER THE WARMER WATERS OF THE
GULF STREAM. GFS/ECMWF/UKMET ALL INDICATE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
DEVELOPING ON THE WRN SIDE OF THE LOW BY 18Z TODAY...WITH THE
ECMWF HINTING AT THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EVEN
EARLIER IN THE W AND SW QUAD BY 12Z TODAY. STILL LOOKS LIKE MAX
WINDS WILL REACH NEAR 75 KT IN THE W AND SW QUAD OF THE LOW LATER
TODAY AND CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT...WITH THE GFS EVEN SHOWING AN
80 KT WIND AT 30M LATER TODAY. ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES NOTED
BETWEEN THE GFS/UKMET/ECMWF WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THAT THE GFS IS A
TAD BIT FASTER WITH THE LOW...BY ABOUT 3 HOURS. FOR THE WIND
GRIDS...WANT TO KEEP CONTINUNITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST SO
WILL KEEP PREVIOUS FORECAST GRIDS THROUGH 00Z SAT...THEN
INCORPORATE THE 00Z GFS THEREAFTER. AS THE GFS IS A TAD BIT FASTER
THAN UKMET/ECMWF AND EVEN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...WILL SLOW DOWN
00Z GFS BY 3 HOURS BEGINNING 03Z SAT. A CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST IS TO ALLOW HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO CONTINUE AS THE LOW
MOVES NE ACROSS THE NRN NT2 WATERS TONIGHT INTO SAT. THIS IS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH GFS/UKMET/ECMWF SOLUTIONS. LOW MOVES E OF THE
AREA SAT...WITH GALES EXITING THE AREA BY 21Z SAT.

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