RU848789 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 There euro is not 1-2 from this system, that would be combined from both this system and the clipper. And with temps in the 30s and March sun i wouldn't expect anyone in and around the city to be looking at any accumulating snow that's nice to look at. Roads/sidewalks will likely be wet and maybe a coating or a little more on table tops grassy surfaces. If this was early Jan with temps in the 20s it would be nice to whiten up the ground and a nice light mood snow, but this time of year with these temps... we're talking white rain = not fun Disagree, assuming the snow mostly falls from midnight to 8 am, when it will be at or below 32F for everyone, as far as I've seen - with those temps and no indirect sunlight, whatever falls should accumulate, except on treated surfaces. Once the sun is up a bit in the sky, I completely agree that light snowfall simply won't accumulate. Splitting hairs if we get <0.1" LE, but I'm still hoping to see an inch or so of snow at dawn (and I'll be up before then, just checking, as usual). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Nam doesn't give NYC anything. Gives south central Jersey 1-3. Some areas of the mid atlantic are getting snow right now and are under a WSW. 18z NAM almost got the .10 line up to NYC. Just a shade south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 18z NAM almost got the .10 line up to NYC. Just a shade south. Yeah. Not sure what he saw. 18z is the wettest run yet. The consensus is about .10" into White Plains, NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 3, 2016 Author Share Posted March 3, 2016 The visible satellite is going to look amazing tomorrow. I hope there are no cruise ships that are going to try and punch through those hurricane winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 The visible satellite is going to look amazing tomorrow. I hope there are no cruise ships that are going to try and punch through those hurricane winds. hires_btop_ne_29.png hires_gust_ne_28.png Fully expecting one of the best swells in Long Island history. This storm makes 3/11/03 look like a baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 NAM bumped the coastal N and W.....too little too late.Yep but it gives zero accumulation, north and west of NYC, dry air in place and developing coastal robbing qpf and energy from the overrunning and causing subsidence on the west side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Yeah. Not sure what he saw. 18z is the wettest run yet. The consensus is about .10" into White Plains, NY. snowmap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 The 18z RGEM was slightly better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Talk about a close call. It's amazing how wrapped up this gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 This storm could have dropped a widespread 4-5" of rain with gusts to hurricane strength, perhaps even more if it had hugged the coast. That's what's so disappointing about missing this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 The 18z RGEM was slightly better.Look at how crazy low the dewpoints are just north and west of the city. Talk about dry air. Not that we were ever in this game but I'm starting to doubt more than flurries up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 As others have said, the windfield on this storm is going to be outrageous. I can not remember anything like this in recent times during Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 I think I said this yesterday, this last storm jest won't go down easily... right when you are ready to call it done deal,it does the west jog.. jeez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Look at how crazy low the dewpoints are just north and west of the city. Talk about dry air. Not that we were ever in this game but I'm starting to doubt more than flurries up here I think an inch or so is possible just about everywhere but the short term high res are not encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 I think I said this yesterday, this last storm jest won't go down easily... right when you are ready to call it done deal,it does the west jog.. jeez. Honestly, if this storm had made a landfall on Long Island you probably would have been blown off the map, so be thankful for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 This storm could have dropped a widespread 4-5" of rain with gusts to hurricane strength, perhaps even more if it had hugged the coast. That's what's so disappointing about missing this storm.Or 2 plus feet of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 The GFS is ever so lightly further NW but it's just impossible to make up that much ground this late in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Or 2 plus feet of snow I don't see it. Any of the model runs which had this close to the coast had rain well inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Honestly, if this storm had made a landfall on Long Island you probably would have been blown off the map, so be thankful for that. Extreme winds now that I would of loved! Overtime! Overtime!overtime! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 This was the best run we had. Didn't even hug the coast and it was still mostly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 This was the best run we had. Didn't even hug the coast and it was still mostly rain. This was the 2nd low that the GFS had with the 1st low ( cutter ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 What didn't you understand? What rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 I think we can officially declare this one dead now half inch to an inch for NYC with slightly more to the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 What rain? If this storm had hugged the coast it could have produced 4-5" of rain in places along with gusts to hurricane force. One hell of a noreaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Doesn't take much to make things dicy. 1 inch or 1 foot. If something falling from the sky, it affects you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 half inch to an inch for NYC with slightly more to the south He lives in Rockland County which won't see as much as the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 GFS barely gives me .5". Depends on location that run. Worst then 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 I miss this image Remember when the Euro control had a MECS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Nice sucker hole for NNJ, typical. NYC gets about half a inch, with more to the e and s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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