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Models Have Us On Northern Edge Of Snow 3/4/16


bluewave

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Utterly silly to just there hoping and praying seasonal trend West takes over. Each storm has specific atmospheric conditions that guide, its birth, track etc. When not a single major dependable model ( yes Im slapping down CRAS) is calling an MECS I wont sit there hoping for the best. Take an inch. Sit back and wait for the 70's next week to , hopefully, kickstart an early and warm spring I say #Realism

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Historically Newtown does well...far enough inland to delay or stop a changeover to sleet/rain

This is my second winter here and last year while it was cold and snowy late January through February, we still had a lot less than those east of here. But I have been told the years previously to me moving here were quite impressive.

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Gfs has a beast just offshore. Need the west trend of the winter to happen.

Is the WAR strong enough/far enough west to keep the storm west?  If not stop talking seasonal trend west.  That happened because the models kept underestimating the strength of the ridge.  When it was realized the storms would push west.  

 

Not just you Ant, everybody...  If my read on the situation is wrong forgive and ignore me :)

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