Brian5671 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 The GGEM is a night time event 2 to 4 it is, correct, but GFS is a bit later, say 2-3am start and ends Friday eve-that puts alot of it during daylight hours. Bleh unless we get get moderate rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 too bad, we're missing a biggie here- models deepen the storm too late and the track is ENE instead of NE-positively tilted trough doing its dirty work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 too bad, we're missing a biggie here- models deepen the storm too late and the track is ENE instead of NE-positively tilted trough doing its dirty work I think it's a miracle that we are even discussing a 2"-4" event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 I think it's a miracle that we are even discussing a 2"-4" event. that it is-I would take that as it looks like our last shot. GFS is an inferno next week and beyond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 And the navgem completely bails on everything lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 that it is-I would take that as it looks like our last shot. GFS is an inferno next week and beyond I think we are going to see a bunch of SE flow and rainy days so I'm not sure it's going to be as mild as everyone thinks, certainly above normal but maybe not many sunny 65+ days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 And the navgem completely bails on everything lol after all those big solutions-what a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 I think we are going to see a bunch of SE flow and rainy days so I'm not sure it's going to be as mild as everyone thinks, certainly above normal but maybe not many sunny 65+ days Someone else brought up back door concerns as well, so would agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 And the navgem completely bails on everything lol Still, it's similar to other guidance now and you'd expect it to be southeast of the other models with the main low. The overrunning it more or less shows nothing which I would expect but it's still somewhat more north with the main coastal than I would expect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 I think we are going to see a bunch of SE flow and rainy days so I'm not sure it's going to be as mild as everyone thinks, certainly above normal but maybe not many sunny 65+ days Not what a lot of people want to hear but the pattern screams well above average rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Still, it's similar to other guidance now and you'd expect it to be southeast of the other models with the main low. The overrunning it more or less shows nothing which I would expect but it's still somewhat more north with the main coastal than I would expect I haven't really seen it exhibit a SE bias this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 I haven't really seen it exhibit a SE bias this year. It has a bias of just not being very good, yet people flocked to it yesterday when the GFS and ECMWF were both OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 It has a bias of just not being very good, yet people flocked to it yesterday when the GFS and ECMWF were both OTS. All the models have that "bias" at 120 hours. Both camps have moved towards each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 GEFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Looks a nudge closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 It keeps nudging west lol baby steps,don't think I've seen such small shifts before in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Euro no good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Euro no good?Another 10 mins I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Euro no good? People typically like to let it run first before describing it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Euro is still really far south with the coastal. Outlier right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 People typically like to let it run first before describing it? No they don't.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Euro no good?Sticking to its guns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Remember when the euro had a snowstorm for us a few days ago for friday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 GFS and NAM can say all they want, till Euro shifts Im not buying the Koolaid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Remember when the euro had a snowstorm for us a few days ago for friday lol Euro has performed horribly as of late. It's best to look at a combination of all models and not trust anything more than a few days out...including temperatures, since people were predicting a backloaded winter so how reliable is longer range forecasting anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Remember when the euro had a snowstorm for us a few days ago for friday lol It's not an outlier , most of the models are too far south and east with the coastal. It's the overrunning from the ULL that the models are disagreeing on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 It's not an outlier , most of the models are too far south and east with the coastal. It's the overrunning from the ULL that the models are disagreeing on. The Euro has overrunning, it's just insanely dry which it seemingly always is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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