RCNYILWX Posted July 21, 2016 Share Posted July 21, 2016 gonna be difficult to get missed tonight. having terrible luck flying out of ORD lately....leave for SFO just before 4Z tonight. may be close.Agreed, we look to be in a good spot for this one based off orientation of shear vectors and propagation vectors and tremendous reservoir of instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted July 21, 2016 Share Posted July 21, 2016 I do not have words to describe the bad luck we have had this severe season. I'll save it for the complaint thread, but the Wisconsin storms do look interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted July 21, 2016 Share Posted July 21, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 21, 2016 Share Posted July 21, 2016 Janet, you must be expecting things to get really busy tonight after posting our usual procedures. 70 mph winds expected in warning for Waukesha and Racine counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted July 21, 2016 Share Posted July 21, 2016 RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 407 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 615 PM CDT THU JUL 21 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ILLINOIS EXTREME NORTHWEST INDIANA LAKE MICHIGAN * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT FROM 615 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...A BOWING THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO SURGE TO THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE CHICAGO AREA THROUGH LATE EVENING...WITH THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME LARGE HAIL. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS ALSO EXPECTED ON THE WEST FLANK OF THE ONGOING CLUSTER INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. THESE STORMS WILL SUBSEQUENTLY MOVE INTO NORTH CENTRAL/NORTHWEST ILLINOIS WITH AN ATTENDANT DAMAGING WIND/HAIL RISK INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 21, 2016 Share Posted July 21, 2016 LLJ is pointing right at the complex from Iowa into southern WI. PWs are well over 2" south of the complex. Extremely heavy rainfall is a given under the heaviest storms. Even minor training could lead to very significant rainfall amounts. Something to watch over the coming hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 21, 2016 Share Posted July 21, 2016 No doubt will have heavy rain/flooding issues with the high PWATS, favorable LLJ and previous OFB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Warning now for northern tier of LOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Construction damage at UW Madison per LSR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Parked downtown here in Woodstock. Shelf didn't look that great. Lot of action in the clouds behind it for a while before rain started and now just moderate rain. Winds kicked for a bit but really didn't get down to the surface. Really not all that spectacular. Holding out for a nice sunset now I suppose.Edit: Spoke too soon. Coming down in sheets along with vivid lightning now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 the line north of RFD is moving/developing almost SSW 2.04 PW on the DVN sounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Power out here for nearly two hours - pretty impressive line. Winds were blowing solid for over a half an hour - reminded me of a winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Light show has been nice too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Bow in Chicago metro looks pretty progressive. The better training setup, should one pan out, looks like it would set up farther west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Got a little humid in my living room this afternoon.Sent from my Nexus 5X using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 31 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Bow in Chicago metro looks pretty progressive. The better training setup, should one pan out, looks like it would set up farther west. Yeah, looks like RFD to DKB and west are going to get pounded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 3.4" reported near Madison WI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 6 minutes ago, Chinook said: 3.4" reported near Madison WI Yeah a good amount of street flooding in the area despite it being relatively dry recently, 25,000 without power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Some decent gusts here. I'd estimate some near 50 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Had max winds of 40-50mph here with the MCS. Decent shelf cloud as well. Unfortunately didn't have the DSLR, so a cell pic had to do... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 59 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Had max winds of 40-50mph here with the MCS. Decent shelf cloud as well. Unfortunately didn't have the DSLR, so a cell pic had to do... Still a nice shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 23, 2016 Share Posted July 23, 2016 The latest 4km NAM shows heavy rain/possible severe weather in western Minnesota tomorrow. There's some chance that the severe stuff happens in the Twin Cities. Pretty high CAPE, moderate SRH, and moderate effective shear should around the Twin Cities by late afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 23, 2016 Share Posted July 23, 2016 1 hour ago, Chinook said: The latest 4km NAM shows heavy rain/possible severe weather in western Minnesota tomorrow. There's some chance that the severe stuff happens in the Twin Cities. Pretty high CAPE, moderate SRH, and moderate effective shear should around the Twin Cities by late afternoon. Pretty tricky forecast tomorrow with the possibility of morning convection wreaking havoc with the afternoon/evening potential. 4K NAM looks sweet, but the bust potential is high. I've lost count how many times I've said that this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted July 23, 2016 Share Posted July 23, 2016 agreed on the late-day bust potential. but the cluster coming up from the west and SW near midday/early afternoon may get quite interesting. the current radar with the storms and the warm front running into this air mass will get rather interesting . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 23, 2016 Share Posted July 23, 2016 Pretty nice meso-vort showing up on DVN/MKE radars southwest of Madison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 23, 2016 Share Posted July 23, 2016 Another batch of storms heading into the metro after this morning's monsoon storms. T-storm warning just west of Mpls. New Flash Flood Warning just west of the Cities where 3-5" fell this morning. Had some minor flooding IMBY earlier so I'm a little concerned about this next round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted July 23, 2016 Share Posted July 23, 2016 Severe thunderstorm watch for most of N IL, extreme S Wisco, and east Iowa. I have a good feeling about this set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 23, 2016 Share Posted July 23, 2016 Tor warning just east of Independence IA now. I thought I saw a couplet on NWS velocity from Quad Cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 23, 2016 Share Posted July 23, 2016 environment over the area is primed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 23, 2016 Share Posted July 23, 2016 Gonna be an interesting evening for northern IL and Chicago metro. Am a little surprised that the hail risk is higher than damaging winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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