Hoosier Posted November 18, 2016 Share Posted November 18, 2016 Moisture return has been better than progged today, with a tongue of 60 degree dewpoints making it as far north as I-80 or so. Overall setup still looks questionable but the slight risk is probably warranted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted November 18, 2016 Share Posted November 18, 2016 Svr warning for 70 mph winds for Tippecanoe county and LAF area till 5 p.m. Eastern time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 18, 2016 Share Posted November 18, 2016 16 minutes ago, Indystorm said: Svr warning for 70 mph winds for Tippecanoe county and LAF area till 5 p.m. Eastern time. New warning now farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 18, 2016 Share Posted November 18, 2016 51 mph gust at LAF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 KJXN 190011Z 26039G69KT 1 3/4SM +TSRA SQ FEW007 BKN040 16/13 A2985 RMK AO2 PK WND 25069/0011 LTG DSNT ALQDS RAB10 TSB06 PRESRR P0030 T01560128 $ 79mph gust at Jackson, also looking to my west and northwest it is nonstop lightning mostly CG too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 724 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... WASHTENAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN... SOUTHERN SHIAWASSEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN... NORTHERN LENAWEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN... LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN... * UNTIL 830 PM EST * AT 723 PM EST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR LESLIE TO NEAR ADDISON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 80 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. Wasn't expecting severe weather here tonight, quite the surprise to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Is that legit? Wow. Quote ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EST FOR WASHTENAW...SOUTHERN SHIAWASSEE...NORTHEASTERN LENAWEE AND LIVINGSTON COUNTIES... AT 732 PM EST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR MORRICE TO PINCKNEY TO CLINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 115 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR... HARTLAND AND BANCROFT AROUND 740 PM EST. YPSILANTI AND DIXBORO AROUND 745 PM EST. SALEM AROUND 750 PM EST. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE BRIGHTON...PINCKNEY...HARTLAND...PERRY...LAINGSBURG...TECUMSEH... YPSILANTI...ANN ARBOR...DEXTER AND SALINE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Just got blasted. power out. Probably 60 to 70 mph winds. Posting on LTE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Roof damage. Damnit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Mesoanalysis has a pocket of 500 J/kg MUCAPE in MI. Over 20 severe reports thus far... we were probably pretty close to getting a raging/more widespread severe weather event if instability was a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 2 minutes ago, IthielZ said: Is that legit? Wow. Nah they updated it to 65mph, that is more reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Mesoanalysis has a pocket of 500 J/kg MUCAPE in MI. Over 20 severe reports thus far... we were probably pretty close to getting a raging/more widespread severe weather event if instability was a bit better. Yeah imagine if we had double that instability. 5 minutes ago, Jonger said: Roof damage. Damnit. Yikes, shingles off or worse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 I'll find out in a bit. I can hear flapping from an aluminum facing and have shingles in my driveway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Not happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Damn must have really came in on your area, especially to peel back those shingles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Dang Jon, it must have been a good blow there. I didn't catch anything over 40 on my Kestral while out spotting. I did see some tree damage in an area where winds probably surpassed 50. One heck of a lightning show though. In fact, a barn got struck and burned to the ground. You guys are right about the instability, it could have been quite an outbreak. I always worry about these late fall, wrapping up storms. Sometimes I worry too much. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Lots of lightning, lots of flickering lights but the power stayed on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Gee... who's weather station isn't reporting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Station died at 7:22 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Airport here was 39 gusts to 59. No power issues thankfully. Second year in a row November produce the best storm.of the year imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 $2800 deductible down the drain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 Only notable severe event in my town and it happens Nov 19th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 19, 2016 Share Posted November 19, 2016 The Livingston county war memorial was JUST missed by a falling tree, thankfully. http://whmi.com/news/article/27114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 Plenty of uncertainty in the exact system evolution early next week, but might have to watch for at least an isolated severe threat in advance of the low. Instability is weak (and actually the GFS is currently showing a pocket of about 300-500 J/kg SBCAPE, which isn't awful for that model at this distance) but wind fields aren't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 Was looking at the tornado reports for 2016 and didn't realize how much of a down year it has been overall (less than 850 confirmed tornadoes through August), though not so much in our subforum. In fact, IL and IN each have near/over 40, accounting for about 10% of the nationwide total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 26, 2016 Share Posted November 26, 2016 00z NAM builds some instability into central IL/IN Monday night into Tuesday morning (SBCAPE 500+ J/kg), but generally looks like it's behind the best forcing in an area with questionable wind profiles aloft. I guess I will continue to watch because there's nothing else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 DVN finished 2016 with 29 tornadoes. 4 of them were EF-2s. http://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapJournal/index.html?appid=53317ca85b214f8787543d9a28f98a9c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 50 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: DVN finished 2016 with 29 tornadoes. 4 of them were EF-2s. http://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapJournal/index.html?appid=53317ca85b214f8787543d9a28f98a9c I looked up stats for LOT and it looks like there were 17. 15 of them occurred on June 22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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