WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Author Share Posted March 17, 2016 looks way faster than euro and not a very strong low But it is slowing........slowly....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Biggest GFS run of March Nope. That comes later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 GFS coming on board!? Hour 54 onward looks white... looks way faster than euro and not a very strong low 12z GFS looks better.. timing is different than Euro snow starts 18z Saturday into Sunday morning. Looks like a total whiff...flat wave. LOL GFS coming around slowly. Still looks a lot like its prior run, but it is slowing down. I think it's heading toward the European solution. An average of the GFS and Euro timing would be good, IMO. More precip at better hours. so, is it good, or bad? can't tell... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 PSUHoffman and WinterWxLuvr would like the GFS. For DC its meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Not bad. Euro still knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 GFS weenie clown map from TT not too shabby. Approximately 3-6 area wide? Running with a blend of this and Euro. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Still a different evolution and timing than the euro. Heaviest comes Saturday night/early Sunday morning though which is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 GFS weenie clown map from TT not too shabby. Approximately 3-6 area wide? Running with a blend of this and Euro. :-) probably more like 2 to 10, but you get the gist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 GFS has started it's crawl to the euro solution. Other than a probable wobble I totally expect the 12z euro run to be pretty similar in evolution to the 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 1.5" for DCA, 3" for Baltimore, 3-5" Northern Maryland on 12z GFS Instantweathermaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Still a different evolution and timing than the euro. Heaviest comes Saturday night/early Sunday morning though which is nice. I have to work in the elements both days this weekend. Should be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 GFS weenie clown map from TT not too shabby. Approximately 3-6 area wide? Running with a blend of this and Euro. :-) If you are going by 10:1 snow maps verbatim, thats about right. Per WeatherBell maps, looks like 3-6", with more widespread 7-8" amounts for S and Central NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 If you are going by 10:1 snow maps verbatim, thats about right. Per WeatherBell maps, looks like 3-6", with more widespread 7-8" amounts for S and Central NJ. Coolio. I gotcha. 12z Euro can't get here soon enough now. Love where this is going. My wife on the other hand about to beat me down with a snow shovel. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Someone has to have a "storm" thread itchy finger out there! I can see one after the Euro! Who will pull the trigger? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Author Share Posted March 17, 2016 so, is it good, or bad? can't tell... LOL I can't speak for others, but I think it looks like a move toward the European models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 1.5" for DCA, 3" for Baltimore, 3-5" Northern Maryland on 12z GFS Instantweathermaps Probably pretty realistic based on the run. WB map has 4" for DC, 5 for BWI, 5-7" north and NE. 6 at Dover. 1-3" most of S MD, lower shore. Of course none of this really matters lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Author Share Posted March 17, 2016 If you are going by 10:1 snow maps verbatim, thats about right. Per WeatherBell maps, looks like 3-6", with more widespread 7-8" amounts for S and Central NJ. And someone, a met, pointed out recently that snow ratios have more to do with the temps upstairs than the ones on the ground, so just because it's March doesn't mean we get 3:1 ratios or something silly like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 You all realize you'd be lucky to see a third of model output on the ground at any given time right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 And someone, a met, pointed out recently that snow ratios have more to do with the temps upstairs than the ones on the ground, so just because it's March doesn't mean we get 3:1 ratios or something silly like that. Even if it falls at night, with marginal surface temps, still going to need rates to get it done. If the Euro idea is correct(overall colder) I would think 7 or 8:1 is doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Storm thread http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/48060-march-1920-potential-winter-event/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Why are you all wasting your time on this bs storm when we could be tracking the 20-30" storm March 30-April 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 image.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 I am worried I might get fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Euro looks pretty sweet wed thru sat next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 2nd half of next week still looking great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 2nd half of next week still looking great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Man, the eps is very cold d14-15. 850 0c is south of us in early April. For a mean that's really impressive and I hope it's totally wrong. Unless we get April snow to go with it of course...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Heh, 18z gefs is the same. Seeing a d15 amplified pattern like that is really unusual. Very strong signal. Early April might suck. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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