BristowWx Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I have to lol at that I know the EPS is king but there is quite a bit going against accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Want to ask about this coastal front. 52 in ocean city and NYC while 72 in DC this afternoon. Is this supposed to linger into Sunday or be gone by then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Author Share Posted March 17, 2016 3/25/13 stuck to the streets in old town... The Monday before that one was cold out here too. We had sleet and snow that accumulated on streets in the middle of the afternoon. The 3/25 storm was about a 6" snow here. Actually skied at Timberline that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Author Share Posted March 17, 2016 Mid March of 1993 produced, in my opinion, the all time number one winter event ever with extreme consequences from Florida to Maine. Was it not Mt Mitchell that had 60" while one day earlier some sections of Florida were under10'of water and isolated 20'. I also think every state recorded 40mph sustained winds LOL...yeah don't get me started on that one. Most impressive weather event of my lifetime. 4" of snow in the Florida panhandle in the middle of March. Yeah, wonder when that happens again. Single digit temps in southern Alabama. Crazy stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I can't buy into the Euro solutions, not at all, not until GFS comes aboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Author Share Posted March 17, 2016 I can't buy into the Euro solutions, not at all, not until GFS comes aboard. This is very likely a tenuous position to cling to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 And it's in the process of transferring to the coastal. If only it was 2-3 weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Author Share Posted March 17, 2016 It looks like a much more potent system than 18z did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 And it's in the process of transferring to the coastal. If only it was 2-3 weeks ago. Isn't the nam a three season model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 The NAM is showing a potent coastal at the end of its run. In line with the trends today. Consensus is growing but late run NAM is the last model for fine details of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Looks like big changes coming on 00z GFS. ETA: Looked promising but its a crap run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Gfs continues to bounce around. It's on board but not on board. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 GFS is funky, western Maryland/Eastern WV Mountains get 4-7", Western Shore of Maryland, DC, NOVA (anywhere east of I-81, less than an inch of snow with isolated drizzle/flurries for 30 hours, and then someone north of Salisbury gets 6", then coastal Northeast gets hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 If the gfs shows a good hit @ 6z then 1 of the last 4 runs will be mostly right by default. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 GFS is funky, western Maryland/Eastern WV Mountains get 4-7", Western Shore of Maryland, DC, NOVA (anywhere east of I-81, less than an inch of snow with isolated drizzle/flurries for 30 hours, and then someone north of Salisbury gets 6", then coastal Northeast gets hit.Uh...Come again? How does that even happen? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 UK looks like a hit again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Mar 2001 was on CIPS today lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 CMC is OTS then curve left. Might be good for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 CMC is OTS then curve left. Might be good for SNE. Went from 20" on the 12z run to 5" on the 0z run for them. GGEM is such a great model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 UKIE held serve which means mostly like the Euro will hold serve tonight also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 GEFS mean ticked up to 3-4" at 0z from 1" at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 0z Euro, precip starts Sunday Morning as wet snow/cold rain, temps dropping by 3:00pm Sunday and precip picks up, good stuff is Sunday Afternoon and Evening. 4" for DC, 6" for Baltimore on StormVista Maps, so it's a good run.....temperatures are better when it matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Euro is colder this run. Surface temps stay below freezing when the heaviest precip comes through after 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Wow. I'm starting to believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 If I wasn't such a cheap SOB I would pony up $20 to reup weatherbell just to follow this storm. Hard to tell the low track with 24 hour panels but at hour 96 the low is in a great spot for our region. The 500's look better then the 12Z run and would probably argue for the closer approach to the coast that it is depicting. If the EPS follows suit with its op run I would not be surprised to see some of it's members spit out some ridiculous solutions for parts of our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 If I wasn't such a cheap SOB I would pony up $20 to reup weatherbell just to follow this storm. Hard to tell the low track with 24 hour panels but at hour 96 the low is in a great spot for our region. The 500's look better then the 12Z run and would probably argue for the closer approach to the coast that it is depicting. If the EPS follows suit with its op run I would not be surprised to see some of it's members spit out some ridiculous solutions for parts of our region. EPS looks good overall...4"+ mean for DC area, better to the NW and esp NE into eastern PA. Even a 2" mean down in Salisbury. Plenty of nice hits on the individual members- some have the best stuff right through the I-95 corridor, some NW, some SE. But also about 12 of the 51 with not much, or complete misses(too far SE/East OTS). eta- Control run looks very nice. Timing is good with most of the good stuff falling late Sunday into the AM Monday. Quite similar to the op. Glancing at the snow map, looks almost identical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 EPS looks good overall...4"+ mean for DC area, better to the NW and esp NE into eastern PA. Even a 2" mean down in Salisbury. Plenty of nice hits on the individual members- some have the best stuff right through the I-95 corridor, some NW, some SE. But also about 12 of the 51 with not much, or complete misses(too far SE/East OTS).I'll save you the money. 10" on Wxbell at DCA & BWI right up I95. 6-8" in your back yard and 8" at Iad.EDIT: I meant to respond to showmethesnow. Way too early. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 06z GFS gives us about the same as 0z. Still stubborn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I'll save you the money. 10" on Wxbell at DCA & BWI right up I95. 6-8" in your back yard and 8" at Iad. EDIT: I meant to respond to showmethesnow. Way too early. Lol lol. I actually cancelled my subscription a week ago, but it had already renewed so I have it till the 25th I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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