mitchnick Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Euro looked good to me. Big storm just a touch too far east. Better than the 0z run. Ensembles will probably be more on board. Euro has been snow-happy for us in this range ever since the blizzard with very little to show for it. It's nice to see the Ukie is close, but again, I feel like we've done this dance a lot since 1/24 in the 4 day+ range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 cips Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Euro is a Richmond to Salisbury event verbatim. 5-7". 1-3 NW of that. So.. we know this isnt going to be the way it plays out- Euro has given a bunch of digital snow to Salisbury this winter. No it's not. This is a terrible time of year to use snowmaps. It's in the 40s here when it starts precipitating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Euro has been snow-happy for us in this range ever since the blizzard with very little to show for it. It's nice to see the Ukie is close, but again, I feel like we've done this dance a lot since 1/24 in the 4 day+ range. It's obviously a long shot. We'll be inside of 5 days tomorrow. If ops and ens start converging on the idea that we have "a chance" then it would be a fun final track regardless. I'd be totally happy with just watching snow fall for a while and maybe be heavy enough for a period to paste things a little in spite of above freezing surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 No it's not. This is a terrible time of year to use snowmaps. It's in the 40s here when it starts precipitating. I know what the reality is. In my following post I said if it played out like that, those areas would likely see a r-s mix and maybe a coating. But snow maps are fun. Weenies love the snow maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 It's only fitting that we get fringed out here one final time this season before the fringing of T-storms begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Euro ens more on board. lol. PSU approves for sure. Areas north and west may actually get a nice pasting out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Euro ens more on board. lol. PSU approves for sure. Areas north and west may actually get a nice pasting out of this. Im concerned about them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Im concerned about them. All on Parrs Ridge should be doing early preparations to shelter in place. A dangerous pummeling may be on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Euro ens more on board. lol. PSU approves for sure. Areas north and west may actually get a nice pasting out of this. lol even DCA on the mean at Day 6 is 1.5"... control is a bit nicer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 lol even DCA on the mean at Day 6 is 1.5"... control is a bit nicer It's not going to snow for us Yoda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 I count around 20 members (~40%) that give DCA around 2 inches of snow or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 It's not going to snow for us Yoda. Beware the Ides of March... er... the EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Just what we need, another 18hrs of white rain, maybe I can top February 9th for the biggest waste of snow this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Euro ens more on board. lol. PSU approves for sure. Areas north and west may actually get a nice pasting out of this. I approve of this message that I approve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 It's not going to snow for us Yoda. I give the chances of snow in DC about the same as the likelihood of metro shutting down for 29 hours straight during a work week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 lol even DCA on the mean at Day 6 is 1.5"... control is a bit nicerHot Dog! We always get snow when that happens. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Just what we need, another 18hrs of white rain, maybe I can top February 9th for the biggest waste of snow this winter.Atleast you had a storm that totaled more than my annual total. My area has been screwed the past three winters. This storm looks to continue the trend, but I'm already onto golf and yard work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 I give the chances of snow in DC about the same as the likelihood of metro shutting down for 29 hours straight during a work week It's not going to snow for us leesburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 GFS still much faster with the storm then the EURO or GGEM. ETA: UKMET in that camp too. The slower models actually dig the shortwave enough to get me excited. The GFS look sucks and gives the storm no chance to bomb until it's northeast of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Im concerned about them. They had a bad winter. Just awful. They deserve this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 They had a bad winter. Just awful. They deserve this oneyour sympathy makes our plight a little easier to take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 I look forward to slant stick measurements, guesses post compaction and reports of heavy snow with 3/4 mile vis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted March 16, 2016 Share Posted March 16, 2016 I look forward to slant stick measurements, guesses post compaction and reports of heavy snow with 3/4 mile vis. I'll be guesstimating the Clarksburg massive totals from here in SE Asia, using weatherbug cams as my measuring tool so I'm sure to add at least 12" to my season totals. Woo hoo! :^P To legitimize this very weak post, here's an IMBY ob: 59F, cloudy a with a ESE wind of 6mph off of the South China Sea in Hanoi, Vietnam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 16, 2016 Share Posted March 16, 2016 Dropped my subscription to weatherbell a few days ago so only have access to the crappy 24 hour panels and the eps mean. But looking at the 500's and the surface reflection it doesn't look too promising as it wants to keep the low too far off the coast. Maybe the individual members tell a different story? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 16, 2016 Share Posted March 16, 2016 Dropped my subscription to weatherbell a few days ago so only have access to the crappy 24 hour panels and the eps mean. But looking at the 500's and the surface reflection it doesn't look too promising as it wants to keep the low too far off the coast. Maybe the individual members tell a different story? Not really. Thats pretty much the story. A few nice hits in the mix but the mean is down from 12z, most notably over the NW areas, with the exception being the far western highlands. Better further up the coast...most of NJ into SNE is 2-3". eta- if the low were to get its act together a bit closer to the coast, it would probably be rain for most during the day Sunday, and maybe change to snow at night? Its hard to envision this being more than a light event at this point though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 16, 2016 Share Posted March 16, 2016 50 and a few showers looks like a good call atm for mby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 16, 2016 Share Posted March 16, 2016 DT b humping the euro on FB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 16, 2016 Share Posted March 16, 2016 DT b humping the euro on FB hopefully it was consensual. although he might argue the Euro was throwing it out there, giving the right signals, teasing him, yada, yada...heard it all before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 16, 2016 Share Posted March 16, 2016 Day 5 is when the euro has been locking in lately. It teases us with a run or two day 6+ but once it's locked in inside 120 hrs it's been game over. So this probably isn't coming back. With the exception of the blizzard we have had two dominant storm tracks, cutting to our west or sliding just a bit too far ots. This fits right in. Had the northern stream phased in like earlier runs showed it would have cut. It didn't so it slides east ots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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