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Late Feb/March Med/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.sprd2.gif

prolonged -ao just in time for march

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Ensembles are pretty bullish on a nice Spring preview beyond day 10. Sure looks like we could score a few days in the 60s(maybe 70) d11-15. Going forward towards mid month the pattern could get decent again, but its pretty much full on Spring then- combine that  with the strong Nino and persistence of the WA ridge, and probably little chance of getting cold outside of a bombing low with an ideal track and timing.

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Might be one of those storms where the models don't get a good handle on it until later.

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