Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,608
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

Severe Potential Feb 23-24


rolltide_130

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

70 over 68 here gusting into the 30's.........starting to feel a lot like April 2011 minus the haze from all the pollen, it was cloudy that morning too until 10-12 then it cleared out to filtered sunshine.....the winds where stronger though gusting well into the 50's before the storms ever got here so I doubt we get that bad this time around but I have no doubt we see mature long lasting tornadic supercells today...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

70 over 68 here gusting into the 30's.........starting to feel a lot like April 2011 minus the haze from all the pollen, it was cloudy that morning too until 10-12 then it cleared out to filtered sunshine.....the winds where stronger though gusting well into the 50's before the storms ever got here so I doubt we get that bad this time around but I have no doubt we see mature long lasting tornadic supercells today...

 

It does seem to be very similar. Already clearing to the west in Greensboro. I think the rain this morning will just increase the instability for this afternoon.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1048 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN BLADEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
NORTHEASTERN ROBESON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 1130 AM EST

* AT 1048 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED
OVER BARKER TEN MILE...OR NEAR LUMBERTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LUMBERTON...ST. PAULS...SMITHS...WHITE OAK...HOWELLSVILLE...TOLARSVILLE...
ROBESON COMMUNITY COLLEGE...TOBERMORY...AMMON...HESTERTOWN...JEROME...
DUART...BARKER TEN MILE...PARKTON...TAR HEEL AND SOUTHEASTERN REGIONAL
MEDICAL CENTER.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 95 IN NORTH CAROLINA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 17
AND 38.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

[an error occurred while processing this directive] mcd0141.gif

 

SUMMARY...AT LEAST SOME TORNADO RISK SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE

THROUGH LATE MORNING/MIDDAY...INITIALLY ACROSS THE WESTERN/UPSTATE

PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS. ONE OR MORE TORNADO WATCHES ARE LIKELY

ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION BY MIDDAY FOR WHAT COULD BE A REGIONAL

TORNADO OUTBREAK THIS AFTERNOON. REGARDING THE 1630Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK

UPDATE...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE PEAK SEVERE PROBABILITIES

/INCLUDING STRONG TORNADO RISK/ ARE LIKELY TO BE SHIFTED WESTWARD

ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF NC/SOUTHERN VA.

DISCUSSION...A DEEP CYCLONE CURRENTLY FEATURING A 986 MB SURFACE LOW

OVER THE TN VALLEY/LOWER OH RIVER VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT

NORTHEASTWARD...WITH A STRENGTHENING CYCLONIC MID/UPPER-LEVEL JET

EXTENDING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES/CAROLINAS. IN THE WAKE OF

THICKER CLOUD COVER/CONVECTION CURRENTLY ACROSS THE COASTAL

PLAIN...ADDITIONAL BANDS OF SEMI-DISCRETE CONVECTION HAVE BEGIN TO

INCREASE ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF NC/SC. WITH DIMINISHING CLOUD

COVER IN THE PRESENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT...THIS CONVECTION

SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY MATURE/INTENSIFY AND BECOME

INCREASINGLY SURFACE-BASED AS IT OTHERWISE RACES NORTHEASTWARD

WITHIN A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. ACCORDINGLY...AT LEAST SOME

TORNADO RISK COULD EXIST LATE THIS MORNING ACROSS WESTERN/UPSTATE

AREAS...WITH A MORE CERTAIN/ROBUST TORNADO RISK...INCLUDING THE

POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES...DEVELOPING ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF

NC INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL VA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BE

NEAR AND SOUTHEAST OF THE ERODING WEDGE FRONT/EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT

WHERE ROBUST LOW-LEVEL/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR STRONG

TORNADOES.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I get your point but still, our area will most likely see the least impact from this.

As I said earlier, it was too early to assume anything.  The wedge has eroded I am now at 62º with sunshine. I have a gut feeling there will be plenty of severe weather to go around.

 

SUMMARY...AT LEAST SOME TORNADO RISK SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE

THROUGH LATE MORNING/MIDDAY...INITIALLY ACROSS THE WESTERN/UPSTATE

PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS. ONE OR MORE TORNADO WATCHES ARE LIKELY

ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION BY MIDDAY FOR WHAT COULD BE A REGIONAL

TORNADO OUTBREAK THIS AFTERNOON. REGARDING THE 1630Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK

UPDATE...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE PEAK SEVERE PROBABILITIES

/INCLUDING STRONG TORNADO RISK/ ARE LIKELY TO BE SHIFTED WESTWARD

ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF NC/SOUTHERN VA.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tornado Watch posted:

 

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 26
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MOST OF NORTH CAROLINA
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1115 AM UNTIL
700 PM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...TWO AREAS OF SEVERE STORMS SHOULD EVOLVE NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PRIMARY AREA OF STORMS WITHIN A QUASI-LINEAR
BAND SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE PIEDMONT WITH TORNADOES AND DAMAGING
WINDS AS THE MAIN HAZARDS. A SECONDARY AREA OF SPORADIC TORNADO/WIND
POTENTIAL MAY PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE COASTAL PLAIN IN SOUTHERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES WEST OF GREENSBORO NORTH
CAROLINA TO 40 MILES EAST OF FLORENCE SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...