Solak Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 AT 834 AM EST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD NORTHWEST OF WALHALLA. A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF WALHALLA...OR NEAR OCONEE STATE PARK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... OCONEE STATE PARK AND MOUNTAIN REST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I wouldn't be surprised to see a tornado develop in those 2 cells located in that line going through Northeast, Georgia. The lower cell over gwinnett county looks like it's getting some rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 They upped tornado probs and lowered wind. They thought last night more of a line segment with less tornado threat now they're leaning more towards more individual cells thus less widespread wind damage but more tornadoes. Also around 70 degrees down near the coast where the high temp was only supposed to be 72-74... Ok, that makes sense. I appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Ok, that makes sense. I appreciate it. No problem! I suspect they'll wait at 12:30-1 and may pull the trigger on a high risk if conditions unfold as the HRRR shows... I have a feeling this could be very bad from Raleigh and points east. A few hours of sun will put areas into low and mid 70s and with the dynamics aloft that's going to cause some major supercells to form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 It only takes 2-3 long lived cyclic tornadic super cells crossing central and eastern NC to make this a historic event..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Looks like they moved the moderate risk area further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Looks like they moved the enhanced risk area further east. Don't worry it will come west at 12:30 I almost would bet on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Don't worry it will come west at 12:30 I almost would bet on it. The track of the low on the Nam looked that way to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Don't worry it will come west at 12:30 I almost would bet on it. The funny thing is Wake was in the moderate risk earlier this morning. Not sure why they moved it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Today in NC, severity will be highly dependent on the sun and heating prior to storms. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 The funny thing is Wake was in the moderate risk earlier.I know it's very strange to me. Go to the spc day one outlook page and under the picture they have the cities in the different risks.... For the mod risk they have ALL Virginia cities listed.... That's so dumb to me. Nc is staring a big tornado day in the face and they don't even mention one NC city being in the mod risk??Btw the 13z HRRR.... Cape values skyrocketing above 2300 and its not isolated it's over central and nc April 2011 anyone?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSU_Pi Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I know it's very strange to me. Go to the spc day one outlook page and under the picture they have the cities in the different risks.... For the mod risk they have ALL Virginia cities listed.... That's so dumb to me. Nc is staring a big tornado day in the face and they don't even mention one NC city being in the mod risk?? Btw the 13z HRRR.... Cape values skyrocketing above 2300 and its not isolated it's over central and nc They list them in descending order by population. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 GSO is still locked in the wedge. That has helped them avoid severe weather many times. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Down in Jacksonville for the day. Sun peaking through the deck as the rain lightens. What do most think down this way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 They list them in descending order by population. Yeah I came to that conclusion but that's EXTREMELY misleading to any public eyes wander in around... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I know it's very strange to me. Go to the spc day one outlook page and under the picture they have the cities in the different risks.... For the mod risk they have ALL Virginia cities listed.... That's so dumb to me. Nc is staring a big tornado day in the face and they don't even mention one NC city being in the mod risk?? Btw the 13z HRRR.... Cape values skyrocketing above 2300 and its not isolated it's over central and nc April 2011 anyone?? image.pngimage.png And I think the back and forth is going to confuse people and they will let their guard down. Already saw people comment on WRAL's facebook page it looks like a bust because of the change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I know it's very strange to me. Go to the spc day one outlook page and under the picture they have the cities in the different risks.... For the mod risk they have ALL Virginia cities listed.... That's so dumb to me. Nc is staring a big tornado day in the face and they don't even mention one NC city being in the mod risk?? Btw the 13z HRRR.... Cape values skyrocketing above 2300 and its not isolated it's over central and nc I think they just list in order the highest population cities in each risk area. The parts of NC in the moderate area aren't nearly as densely populated. They should change it so that it always lists cities in all parts of the risk area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 warm front passed through CLT around 7AM. Sun is out with blue skies now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Sun out in Columbia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stump Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 And I think the back and forth is going to confuse people and they will let their guard down. Already saw people comment on WRAL's facebook page it looks like a bust because of the change. I think a lot of people are not taking this seriously. Wayne County Schools are letting out at 11. Other counties more in the bulls eye are not flinching. Me? I just walked though and took pics of expensive items in my house....just in case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 The fog just literally evaporated here and the south/southeast wind is suddenly noticeable too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I think a lot of people are not taking this seriously. Wayne County Schools are letting out at 11. Other counties more in the bulls eye are not flinching. Me? I just walked though and took pics of expensive items in my house....just in case. From what I say HRRR was pretty good yesterday... And it's trending better and better (worse and worse?) as the event gets closer. That's a sign this is going to be a bad day. HRRR's trends mean everything if it's backing off watch out for a bust but if it's trending stronger watch out for a big day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 As of 9am low to mid 60 dew points have reached Raleigh and points south and east. So there you have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 As of 9am low to mid 60 dew points have reached Raleigh and points south and east. So there you have it. 60 here with a DP of 60, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmh90 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Temp of 65.7 with a dew point of 64 in Washington, NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Durham is releasing earlier than their scheduled early release. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Still socked in with clouds and fog in downtown Raleigh, although the density of the fog has lessened greatly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Columbia sc working and sun popping in and out of clouds. 68 with dp of 66. Pressure is down to 29.58 according to weather underground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 As of 9am low to mid 60 dew points have reached Raleigh and points south and east. So there you have it. Stage is most certainly set, now we just wait and see how it plays out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stump Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Wilson County schools to release at 10:30am per local report. 66.2 in Kenly with Dew point of 66... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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