thewxmann Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 LIX site got hit by lightening TWDR for the win You da real MVP... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Per Spann tweet, Reform, AL damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Another shower rotating NW of Fayette, AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Meso discussion out, sig tornado threat increasing from S MS to SW AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MississippiWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Are more supercells forecast to develop to the west of this main batch? Wondering what the hi-res models are showing for later this evening. As of now, my area (Hattiesburg) looks to be in the clear judging by radar. I'm noticing some thunderstorms develop back in Central Louisiana, but don't know if this is going to translate eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 The bulk of the action thus far has been north of a boundary. The tornadoes so far have occurred with little MLCAPE. I wonder how hard crap will hit the fan once we get storms south of that boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 SUMMARY...STRONG TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS SERN LA/SRN MS AND MOVING INTO SWRN AL. DISCUSSION...VERY RAPID INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND THE ENLARGEMENT OF THE HODOGRAPH IS EVIDENT FROM KMOB VAD DATA DURING THE PAST 2 HOURS /300 M2 PER S2 TO 700 M2 PER S2 0-3 KM SRH/. THIS INCREASE IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERIC FLOW HAS BEEN COINCIDENT WITH 1-2 MB PER HOUR PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE REGION AS STRONG MID-LEVEL DCVA OVERSPREADS THE MOISTENING/DESTABILIZING WARM SECTOR. RECENT SUBJECTIVE SURFACE MESOANALYSIS ALSO PLACES A DUAL MESOLOW STRUCTURE WITH THE MORE INTENSE SEVERE STORM CLUSTERS ACROSS SRN MS AND SERN LA. GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED FACTORS AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING OF THE WIND PROFILE...EXPECTING A COUPLE OF TORNADOES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS DOWNSTREAM OF THE AREAS WITH ONGOING SUPERCELLS. IF SEMI-DISCRETE UPDRAFTS CAN EVOLVE ON THE SRN PORTION OF THE LARGER CONVECTIVE COMPLEX...A HIGHER-END CORRIDOR OF POTENTIAL FOR A CYCLIC TORNADIC SUPERCELL CAPABLE OF SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES MAY OCCUR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 RELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 529 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0417 PM TORNADO 5 ENE BAXTERVILLE 31.13N 89.51W 02/23/2016 LAMAR MS EMERGENCY MNGR *** 1 FATAL *** MOBILE HOME WAS DESTROYED ON SONES ROAD WEST OF PURVIS. ONE FATALITY OCCURRED AT THIS LOCATION. TORNADO DEBRIS SIGNATURE OBSERVED IN DUAL-POL RADAR DATA AT THIS LOCATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MississippiWx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Are more supercells forecast to develop to the west of this main batch? Wondering what the hi-res models are showing for later this evening. As of now, my area (Hattiesburg) looks to be in the clear judging by radar. I'm noticing some thunderstorms develop back in Central Louisiana, but don't know if this is going to translate eastward. SuperStorm, You may be the one who can answer this question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 A cell that just came on shore southwest of Mobile, AL already had formed a hook. Just goes to show how favorable the environment is for such storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 535 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016 ALC129-MSC041-153-240015- /O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160224T0015Z/ WASHINGTON AL-WAYNE MS-GREENE MS- 535 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CST FOR NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE AND NORTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTIES... AT 534 PM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STATE LINE...OR 12 MILES NORTH OF LEAKESVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 SuperStorm, You may be the one who can answer this question. I'd say that the main tornado threat is probably halted to the time being. I'd be careful later this evening though as some cells could redevelop rather quickly Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 WALA Fox 10 reporting NWS-MOB indicates debris sig in the Tornado heading toward Stateline. http://www.fox10tv.com/category/291730/livestreaming-on-fox10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennyForYourThoughts Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 WALA Fox 10 reporting NWS-MOB indicates debris sig in the Tornado heading toward Stateline. http://www.fox10tv.com/category/291730/livestreaming-on-fox10 watching fox 10 too, so much better than wear3. Stay safe and thanks for your well wishes earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 That cell west of Mobile is going to have one heck of an envioremnt to work with as the LLJ ramps up. Ill be out for a bit but should be back by 01z or so. Yup, been watching that for a while. It grew a hook really fast once it hit land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0131 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0535 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL ALABAMA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 232335Z - 240130Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WITH POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS CENTRAL/EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING THE 01-04Z TIME FRAME. A WATCH LIKELY WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. DISCUSSION...A CONSOLIDATING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPEARS LIKELY TO STEADILY DEEPEN OVER NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH MID TO LATE EVENING AS A 100 KT CYCLONIC 500 MB JET STREAK NOSES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...TOWARD SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA. THIS LIKELY WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY CONSIDERABLE FURTHER STRENGTHENING OF SOUTHERLY 850 MB FLOW /50-70+ KT/ ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...INCLUDING MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE 01-04Z TIME FRAME. ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING PROBABLY WILL OFFSET ANY DIURNAL SURFACE COOLING...MAINTAINING AT LEAST WEAK BOUNDARY LAYER INSTABILITY AS STRONGEST MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION OVERSPREADS THE REGION. AN ORGANIZING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER NOW NEAR/EAST NORTHEAST OF HATTIESBURG MS MAY REFLECT THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS UPPER FORCING... WHICH MAY TRACK ACROSS THE SELMA AL AREA BY AROUND 01Z...AND AREAS NEAR/SOUTH OF BIRMINGHAM BY AROUND 03Z. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY BECOME INCREASINGLY PROMINENT WITH THIS ACTIVITY...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE. DISCRETE SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT MAY BE MOSTLY CONFINED TO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF A SELMA/BIRMINGHAM LINE...BUT PROBABLY WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A MORE SUBSTANTIVE THREAT FOR TORNADOES. THIS INCLUDES THE RISK FOR A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO...IN THE PRESENCE OF LARGE CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 A cell that just came on shore southwest of Mobile, AL already had formed a hook. Just goes to show how favorable the environment is for such storms.Noticed that too. Needs to be watched closely as its heading right for MOB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 548 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016 ALC129-MSC041-153-240015- /O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160224T0015Z/ WASHINGTON AL-WAYNE MS-GREENE MS- 548 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CST FOR NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE AND NORTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTIES... AT 547 PM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER STATE LINE...OR 13 MILES WEST OF CHATOM...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KENW0728 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Amazing what two weeks difference will do. Just moved to ATL metro after dealing with well below zero wind chills and now I'm watching for severe weather. Should be fun to watch it all roll in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Slidell office has lost primary communications. Lake Charles office now assuming responsibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Present conditions in SE LA according to HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 550 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 615 PM CST * AT 549 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HICKORY HILLS...OR 7 MILES WEST OF ESCATAWPA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MOSS POINT...ESCATAWPA...GAUTIER...WADE...BIG POINT...VANCLEAVE... HICKORY HILLS...HURLEY AND HELENA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 554 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN MOBILE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA... SOUTHEASTERN GEORGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 630 PM CST * AT 554 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER HURLEY...OR 13 MILES WEST OF REGIONAL AIRPORT IN WEST MOBILE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Present conditions in SE LA according to HRRR Oh my... Thats incredible for anytime of year... But February? geesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PGM Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 That supercell w of Mobile AL has a lot to work with as a discrete storm with nothing nearby to choke the RFD. That's probably going to drop a tornado soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 The storm near Quitman in Clarke county MS is spinning now as it heads into AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 556 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0338 PM TORNADO 5 NW CONVENT 30.07N 90.89W 02/23/2016 ST. JAMES LA EMERGENCY MNGR TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN AT THE SUGAR HILL RV PARK NW OF CONVENT. NUMBER OF INJURIES AND A POSSIBLE FATALITY. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND FIRST RESPONDERS ON SCENE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM... WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM... * UNTIL 700 PM CST * AT 600 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM LIKELY PRODUCING A TORNADO OVER WATER AND LARGE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 28 NM SOUTHWEST OF FAREWELL BUOY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 KNOTS. HRRR has this being a long tracked producer over FL/AL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PGM Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 HRRR and mesoanalysis are showing 500-1000j/kg cape across southern and eastern AL. The Mobile supercell will be in a very good environment for hours to come. On its current track it should be near Monroeville around 715 Central and Greenville at 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 With temperatures in the low to mid 40s through the North Carolina Piedmont and into upstate South Carolina and Georgia, and the 70s not far south, we can see a bit of a CAD signature. What, if any effect does that have on the severe parameters as they move into the area of that air mass? All the best to the folks experiencing the tornadoes and severe weather tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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