ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2016 Share Posted March 7, 2016 Tell us how well the winter threats on the ENS have worked out/performed over the last 15-20 days Probably a lot closer to reality than a made-up severe wx threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2016 Share Posted March 7, 2016 Probably a lot closer to reality than a made-up severe wx threat. I salute you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 7, 2016 Share Posted March 7, 2016 Looking at the forecast for the global indices such as NAO, AO, PNA, EPO, and WPO you would expect a different pattern regime across the US for this period, however, we see a major east coast ridge...what would be the cause of this? Does it have to do with the cut-off type low off the SE coast and the trough in the west? (I was trying to post an image from the Amwx model site off the 500mb height anomalies for 240 HR from today's 12z run) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2016 Share Posted March 7, 2016 Tell us how well the winter threats on the ENS have worked out/performed over the last 15-20 days It's a decent late season look. Nothing verbatim, but something that's caught my attention for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2016 Share Posted March 7, 2016 I'm gonna call a big not happening on any cold or winter pattern/ threat . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2016 Share Posted March 7, 2016 There is nothing verbatim. We already said that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2016 Share Posted March 7, 2016 Perfect timing on the NNE snow threat and LR chill down, we ski Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 Most of the major teleconnectors look good for mid month: ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Public/gbates/reforecast2/teleconn/4panel.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 Well there goes that threat, lol. It disgusts me to even look at model runs anymore even the more reliable EURO has thrown up all over itself several times this year including this weeks threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 Perfect timing on the NNE snow threat and LR chill down, we ski Look again, lol?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 Euro fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 Euro fail. We're shocked. Crazy that a few folks bought in on the Euro ENS yesterday..Shut em down up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 Euro ens are still pretty cold after about the 20th. Next week could pretty awful with a lot of onshore flow and sneaky highs N of Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 Aesthetically that synopsis on Saturday looks really sweet though ... particularly west and north of I-95. Wind field should be very light, and with 900 to 850 mb temperatures still +5 to +2 C and low RH under azure blue sky...it's going to probably run up into the low 60s and feel pretty spectacular out of doors in that sort of medium. Kind of sneaky under the radar nice weather there. We're sort of pre-occupied with this mid week ridge amplitude ...but post it's denting down in the N arc later Friday into Saturday, that may actually be better. Also, machine guidance will bust a click or two or three cool at this time of year and that type of set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 I'm gonna call a big not happening on any cold or winter pattern/ threat . Agree-"it's" been coming since mid Feb and verification has been one hell of a torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 Agree-"it's" been coming since mid Feb and verification has been one hell of a torch Not really... unless "any" warmer than normal is considered so insulting that we have to dress it up in torching epicosity... It's been warmer than normal, but there's also been cold around... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 Not really... unless "any" warmer than normal is considered so insulting that we have to dress it up in torching epicosity... It's been warmer than normal, but there's also been cold around... First week of March was actually below normal temps (which was advertised by guidance fairly well)...but you wouldn't know it based on the torch rhetoric. Probably it is mostly because we didn't materialize a good snow event out of it, so it's viewed as some anti-winter warm pattern rather than what it actually was...a week of cooler temps where we missed two storm threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 First week of March was actually below normal temps (which was advertised by guidance fairly well)...but you wouldn't know it based on the torch rhetoric. Probably it is mostly because we didn't materialize a good snow event out of it, so it's viewed as some anti-winter warm pattern rather than what it actually was...a week of cooler temps where we missed two storm threats. Fair point. No snow makes it less memorable. But we also did have 2 very warm stretches in Late Feb centered around the 2 last weekends of the month and several cutters which brought well above normal temps...it's easier to remember that than a snowless stretch of minus -3 weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 First week of March was actually below normal temps (which was advertised by guidance fairly well)...but you wouldn't know it based on the torch rhetoric. Probably it is mostly because we didn't materialize a good snow event out of it, so it's viewed as some anti-winter warm pattern rather than what it actually was...a week of cooler temps where we missed two storm threats. Yeah, Thurs./Friday of last week were impressive in terms of departures. High was like 30 I think in Woburn on Friday which was impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2016 Share Posted March 9, 2016 First week of March was actually below normal temps (which was advertised by guidance fairly well)...but you wouldn't know it based on the torch rhetoric. Probably it is mostly because we didn't materialize a good snow event out of it, so it's viewed as some anti-winter warm pattern rather than what it actually was...a week of cooler temps where we missed two storm threats. #2010ed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2016 Share Posted March 9, 2016 Well there goes that threat, lol. It disgusts me to even look at model runs anymore even the more reliable EURO has thrown up all over itself several times this year including this weeks threat. Why do you bother? I quit nearly three weeks ago....getting ready for my fantasy baseball draft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2016 Share Posted March 9, 2016 Why do you bother? I quit nearly three weeks ago....getting ready for my fantasy baseball draft. he lives in NNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2016 Share Posted March 9, 2016 he lives in NNE? Yeah, Southern Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 9, 2016 Author Share Posted March 9, 2016 Yeah, Southern Maine Southern Maine/ NNE. What's the difference, a hundred miles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2016 Share Posted March 9, 2016 Southern Maine/ NNE. What's the difference, a hundred miles? From Biddeford to Fort Kent is 331 mi so as far as weather goes, It's a huge difference, Call it what you want but snow chances are definitely higher in Northern Maine then where he is at this time of year and especially this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 9, 2016 Author Share Posted March 9, 2016 From Biddeford to Fort Kent is 331 mi so as far as weather goes, It's a huge difference, Call it what you want but snow chances are definitely higher in Northern Maine then where he is at this time of year and especially this winter Whoosh. I don't consider Biddeford, ME to be NNE.. Lakes Region N is NNE to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2016 Share Posted March 9, 2016 Whoosh. I don't consider Biddeford, ME to be NNE.. Lakes Region N is NNE to me.I guess most consider all of Maine as NNE though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peteradiator Posted March 9, 2016 Share Posted March 9, 2016 In conway nh, ive had 5inches on the ground for 2.5 months now. We have had warm days but nothing way out of the ordinary. In the huge 09/10 snow year, incredibly, I had 46 inches of snow on the ground at xmas. The following week, we lost every inch of it. The fact that after that loss, less than a month later, I was measuring 49inches back on the ground was astounding. I often think about what it would have been like if the melt out never happened. 80+ inches of snow on the ground. Would have been awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 9, 2016 Share Posted March 9, 2016 I guess most consider all of Maine as NNE though. To the Boston population NNE is N of Portsmouth and WNE is W of Framingham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 9, 2016 Share Posted March 9, 2016 In conway nh, ive had 5inches on the ground for 2.5 months now. We have had warm days but nothing way out of the ordinary. In the huge 09/10 snow year, incredibly, I had 46 inches of snow on the ground at xmas. The following week, we lost every inch of it. The fact that after that loss, less than a month later, I was measuring 49inches back on the ground was astounding. I often think about what it would have been like if the melt out never happened. 80+ inches of snow on the ground. Would have been awesome I didn't know that was such a good snow year in nne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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