Connecticut Appleman Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Fade to black. This one is over for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 GFS crushes SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 GFS crushes SE MA. Tough for me to buy it, although euro ensembles gave the cape advisory snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Lol gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Lol gfsWhat? It's not that different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Ed Vallee @EdValleeWx 32m32 minutes ago Need to watch DC to Boston Friday. Many Euro Ensemble members deliver some snow. 15/51 (29%) give Cape Cod 6+" snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Ed Vallee @EdValleeWx 32m32 minutes ago Need to watch DC to Boston Friday. Many Euro Ensemble members deliver some snow. 15/51 (29%) give Cape Cod 6+" snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 The PAC, she roars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 GFS jumps on board GGEM keeps going SE lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2016 Author Share Posted March 2, 2016 OVERVIEW...02/00Z GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO HAVE SOME ISSUES REGARDING THE TRACK OF A COASTAL STORM MOVING OFFSHORE FROM THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE LATEST GFS SOLUTION IS ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...BUT IS PRETTY SPOT ON WITH THE GEFS ENSEMBLE MEAN. ONLY SAW A HANDFUL OF GEFS MEMBERS WITH A SOLUTION FARTHER NORTH. WHILE THE MAJORITY OF THE DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE SUITE FAVORS A STORM TRACK WELL TO OUR SOUTH...CANNOT COMPLETELY SHUT THE DOOR ON A MORE NORTHWARD SHIFT. EVEN THE CANADIAN...WHICH WAS THE FARTHEST NORTH THIS TIME YESTERDAY...AS TAKEN A MORE SOUTHERN TRACK...IN LINE WITH THE REST OF THE GUIDANCE. WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR THE MORE SOUTHERLY CONSENSUS TRACK FOR THIS FORECAST. EXPECTING THE ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM TO BE BETTER SAMPLED. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A NARROWER GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...AND GREATER CONFIDENCE...WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANTICIPATING MORE OF A GLANCING BLOW WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 That makes ALB 0 for 18 on the season. Didn't even get half way to an advisory snowfall. The entire season's snowfall would not even quality for a warning. That is absolutely, positively incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 That is absolutely, positively incredible. ALB still in the single digits for snowfall? Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 ALB still in the single digits for snowfall? Wow Close. 10.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 On life support right now, but I did notice the GEFS slowly trying to bring back the clipper over the last several runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Close. 10.3" A lot of that was sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2016 Author Share Posted March 2, 2016 A lot of that was sleet fake snow too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 fake snow too? And fake cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Snow event on GFS for 3/11. I think it was showing 70s a couple days ago for that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Classic overrunning wave with good high in Canada...something we couldn't buy all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Classic overrunning wave with good high in Canada...something we couldn't buy all winter. Think it has any legs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Think it has any legs? Nah, not yet...ensembles have shown the general pattern there, but it's something that needs good timing, so I wouldn't really consider it seriously for another 3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Nice red herring warm-up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 GEFS and GGEM all have some sort of overrunning, whether it be cold rain, mix, or snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 GEFS and GGEM all have some sort of overrunning, whether it be cold rain, mix, or snow. Ukie only goes to 144...but it looks like it would have it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Ukie only goes to 144...but it looks like it would have it too. Would love to lock in the GFS. That was tasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 GEFS and GGEM all have some sort of overrunning, whether it be cold rain, mix, or snow. GGEM had a nice snowstorm for CNE/NNE at 00z in that time frame. Still has the overrunning but a bit warmer at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 This is just for NNE you guys are talking about right? Nada for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Gfs was nice for us This is just for NNE you guys are talking about right? Nada for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Close. 10.3" That's a BS number. They should be below 10". They reported an erroneous 1.5" on Feb. 9 that was really closer to a coating. My theory is someone included the snow from the day before in the 2/9 total. I've contacted the NWS office about it and they said they would contact the airport observer to verify. It's a trivial thing so I doubt anybody would ever look into it. In truth, several of the many <1" snow events this season reported at the airport seemed a bit high, but who ever worries about a few tenths? Local observers report about 8" for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2016 Author Share Posted March 4, 2016 Would love to lock in the GFS. That was tasty. Storm looked like it was going to cut than hit a freakin brick wall and got shunted S of us. CMC nasomuch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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