CTWeatherFan Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 The Euro will inevitably be much drier on the overrunning snows. I don't know why but as a whole the Euro has a major dry bias the last few years I've definitely noticed that in the Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 The overrunning 1-4 inch snows are on just about all guidance. That piece is going to happen and I will eat my words about it being over As of now with current guidance, I highly doubt anybody in CT sees more than an inch(and that may be generous)...except maybe far southeast CT. Unless the Euro(highly doubt) shifts NW, and then later on we see more ticks northwest. I'm thinking maybe just flakes flying here and there is probably what happens here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 As of now with current guidance, I highly doubt anybody in CT sees more than an inch(and that may be generous)...except maybe far southeast CT. Unless the Euro(highly doubt) shifts NW, and then later on we see more ticks northwest. I'm thinking maybe just flakes flying here and there is probably what happens here. Almost all guidance gives a few inches close to I-90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 The coastal, itself won't be enough to get the job done for downstream UL ridge development. While the system is north of the Gulf, I really want to see the shortwave pump up heights, going forward, with a more classic miller B redevelopment. We've seen some really potent shortwaves track over that same region the over the past month, resulting in cutters. And a north/west trend as we've approached the event... I don't think it's asking for too much... We have a nice PNA ridge to work with and an arctic air mass in place. Now if only she could tap some of that Gulf moisture.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 We've seen some really potent shortwaves track over that same region the over the past month, resulting in cutters. And a north/west trend as we've approached the event... I don't think it's asking for too much... Tomorrow's deal seems to have went east in the final 72 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Tomorrow's deal seems to have went east in the final 72 hours Not on the GFS or Euro.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Euro not playing for Friday. Just some really light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Is this the first run the EURO has shown any snow (in the past 3-4 days) for Friday? If so is that a trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 What kind of temps are we looking at late next week/wknd for NNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 There may be a cstl front or OES type deal in SE MA too. Might be a small area that gets advisory snows if it worked out. Otherwise, it's probably not much of anything the way things are modeled. I suppose we still need to watch the system for small NW ticks...and that nrn stream vort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 The Euro is even worse for the GFS on tonight's system. Might as well be a cutter at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 As we've had to do and had success with all winter we'll toss the Euro snowfall idea as it just seems to struggle with Nw shield and amounts. Seems to always miss these small- medium sized events this winter. Even like 12-24 hours out. Shaping up to be a nice 2-4 inch event from about I-90 south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Is this the first run the EURO has shown any snow (in the past 3-4 days) for Friday? If so is that a trend? It was showing the weaker northern disturbance holding together more than previous runs. But the coastal itself didn't really trend any closer this run. Maybe a hair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Ukie is actually pretty bullish with the clipper next Sunday...Euro just has a bit of light snow for southern areas. GFS/GGEM are pretty much non-existent with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 As we've had to do and had success with all winter we'll toss the Euro snowfall idea as it just seems to struggle with Nw shield and amounts. Seems to always miss these small- medium sized events this winter. Even like 12-24 hours out. Shaping up to be a nice 2-4 inch event from about I-90 southlol. I thought the bus was back in the garage until October/ November? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Euro not playing for Friday. Just some really light snow. What's the qpf down here? Are there any public sites that show that for the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 I don't trust the EURO outside of 36-48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 What's the qpf down here? Are there any public sites that show that for the euro? QPF there isn't that high...maybe 2-3 tenths? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Euro ensembles look like advisory up to near PYM/CC canal area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Euro ensembles have mean QPF in SE MA into advisory levels...mean SLP trended NW from 00z as well. So there's probably some decent members in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 lol. I thought the bus was back in the garage until October/ November? lol he's in the garage, he's out of the garage. He tells people they need to move on this morning, and now he's calling for 1-4 inches this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 lol he's in the garage, he's out of the garage. He tells people they need to move on this morning, and now he's calling for 1-4 inches this afternoon. so dramatic, and they're not giving any more Oscars out for another year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 QPF there isn't that high...maybe 2-3 tenths? Thanks Will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Euro ensembles have mean QPF in SE MA into advisory levels...mean SLP trended NW from 00z as well. So there's probably some decent members in there. That's a good sign, I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Yeah it's coming to at least I-90 Srefs Nw too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 it's pretty amazing to see any Euro solution NOT have a BD in the D7 - 10 range... That's one uber warm stretch! oh wait - ha, was looking at an older run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 NAM seems well north of 12z run through 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Euro has 75-80 middle and end of next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 NAM seems well north of 12z run through 54 The primary is stronger, but the coastal should be a miss still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Euro has 75-80 middle and end of next weekThat is ridiculous. 16C up to NYC and 12C to BML with W-SW flow. That would be records for CON-MHT-ASH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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