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Model Mezzanine - 3rd times a charm


Baroclinic Zone

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I strongly approve of this message! :) Feel more confident if we can see a similar trend with the European models.

Note: I consider myself an adopted New Englander (not sure if that's an appropriate term?), as I look to intercept each and every blizzard event along the East Coast. Excited for those of you who live there all winter long; especially in SNE the last 3 winters! :)

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I strongly approve of this message! :) Feel more confident if we can see a similar trend with the European models.

Note: I consider myself an adopted New Englander (not sure if that's an appropriate term?), as I look to intercept each and every blizzard event along the East Coast. Excited for those of you who live there all winter long; especially in SNE the last 3 winters! :)

Actually, the GGEM lost it at 12z to the south, but now brought it back to where it was 24 hrs ago at 0z, just not the crazy blizzard it showed then.

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Would be congrats eastern areas once again ugh lol

I am hoping you can get something out of the mid-week event, as I can completely understand your frustration...being so close, yet so far. :( Selfishly, I must admit I wish to order the SNE special that's been on the menu the past 3 seasons.

That was a very significant deepening of the offshore low and NW shift closer to the BM...between the 12z and 00z runs. Wish we could just lock that in, right now.

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Actually, the GGEM lost it at 12z to the south, but now brought it back to where it was 24 hrs ago at 0z, just not the crazy blizzard it showed then.

I didn't realize that. Thanks for bringing that to my attention. First time I've checked the models in two days...since the severe weather outbreak here in NC. I'm all for this "crazy blizzard" thing you speak of! :)

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You know....sometimes I catch my mind venturing a bit to the naughty and promiscuous side in envisioning the notion of one, pants-tent of a system essentially normalizing seasonal snowfall in one fell swoop....after all of the angst.

Imagine that-

I don't think I'm getting 50"+ of snow in one fell swoop :(
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I didn't see him saying anything about that 6 days out. It wasn't a whiff per se. Still plenty of time.

I agree. Hasn't the trend this year been more towards the NW as we get closer to an event, 144 hours out? Don't anticipate this run of the EURO to verify verbatim, naturally. Still plenty of time for significant changes, as Scott stated.

I'm just encouraged to see increasing probabilities for a significant event along the MA and/or NE coastline. The 00z runs of the CMC and EURO provide a measured increase in confidence that we MAY get a memorable last hurrah to this season. Still too early to tell. As we all know, 6 days out is an eternity in model land, unfortunately!

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