Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Well I'm not talking about the season.....that's another story. It would end it on a nice note though if we had a decent storm. I like the look later next week. Hopefully it holds. IMO the risk is not a cutter, it's OTS. Looks like the furnace comes rest of the month after the 10th. if next week doesn't happen. we done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Looks like the furnace comes rest of the month after the 10th. if next week doesn't happen. we donesays the guy who forecasted 70s Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Tough to tell. That thing needs to be a weak POS so the other one has room to develop. I don't want to see the ukie solution or we lose.The next one looked bad on the ukmet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 The next one looked bad on the ukmet? The ukie solution had a strong low at hr 144 north of us. If that is too strong, confluence would end up hurting us ironically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 The ukie solution had a strong low at hr 144 north of us. If that is too strong, confluence would end up hurting us ironically.We just can't get it right. And you don't think that changes over to snow at 126 or so for ORH west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 We just can't get it right. And you don't think that changes over to snow at 126 or so for ORH west?Maybe. It's sort of tough to extrapolate. Anyways, my previous post is no different in any other winters. Those are things we always deal with. But I like the look later next week and still need to watch mid week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Euro is a nice cut then whiff, with zero snow next ten days for many. "Play it again, Sam." Of course, we've had at least 3 cutters since the last whiff, so some balance is apt to be restored. (Wish I could lock in 06z gfs.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 "Play it again, Sam." Of course, we've had at least 3 cutters since the last whiff, so some balance is apt to be restored. (Wish I could lock in 06z gfs.) time of year for wagons north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Wednesday really doesn't have to tick much further south on the consensus of guidance to be a pretty significant system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Got 5 days to go it could happen but most storms this year have trended north or west ill go with the seasonal trend and say it wont happen Wednesday really doesn't have to tick much further south on the consensus of guidance to be a pretty significant system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Wednesday really doesn't have to tick much further south on the consensus of guidance to be a pretty significant system. I'll take a Wed. storm. I have no faith in some distant future setup that might pan out. Just get something servicable under 72hours. I can see why people along the southeast coast would be looking towards the next one. But Wed could still trend into a SNE snow event. And I also think there's enough room for another event on Sat, especially if Wed isn't really would up. Something like a 6z GFS solution shifted a bit east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Gfs may be too flat next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Gfs may be too flat next week.Maybe. Most of the GEFS are on the flatter side too though. EPS mean looks a bit flatter than 12z so I assume there's more members on the less amped side. I feel like eyewall saying this, but it just seems like we can't line up the stars for even a moderate event this season. It's just a lot of bad luck though. DCA, NYC, ROC, and FNT have all gotten some biggies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Euro is gonna come way east this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Euro is gonna come way east this weekend What ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Maybe. Most of the GEFS are on the flatter side too though. EPS mean looks a bit flatter than 12z so I assume there's more members on the less amped side. I feel like eyewall saying this, but it just seems like we can't line up the stars for even a moderate event this season. It's just a lot of bad luck though. DCA, NYC, ROC, and FNT have all gotten some biggies. Even TOL has had a nice 12-14" event . It is crazy though how hard it has been to get a moderate like 4-8" straight snow event in NNE this winter. My largest snow still hasn't been higher than 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 What ?Midweek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Where do you get those EPS maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Twitter. Ugly azz graphics too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Gfs looked more amped up from 6z For mid week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Gfs looked more amped up from 6z For mid week. Yep. Good hit for western NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Not the direction one would have hoped the ensuing model runs would take, since the pendulum swung back in favor of winter weather enthusiasts, yesterday. There's still hope ... the UKMET and GFS seem to favor things coming east, so all's not lost. We just didn't get a demonstrative agreement and more eastward focus. About half the 12 GEFs ensemble members look transitional, rain to snow ...or more winter-like in general, with coherent cyclogenesis more on the EC... That's definitely different this middle range than previous time-leads of interest, tho - Guess we bide time on this.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 And it will suppress the late week storm. Sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Twitter. Ugly azz graphics too. Looks like one of Mike V's internal graphics to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 And it will suppress the late week storm. Sweet. I don't like how the flow is becoming flat out west for the end of the week storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 I don't like how the flow is becoming flat out west for the end of the week storm. Much better looking this run compared to 6z. We can work on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 Looks like one of Mike V's internal graphics to me Yeah I hate those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 CMC is also ots. We are going to need help from the ridge out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 27, 2016 Share Posted February 27, 2016 CMC is also ots. We are going to need help from the ridge out west.What about the midweek storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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