MJO812 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Eps doesnt have a cutter like the gfs does at 210 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 It never really gets down to our latitude...I hate to call it a cutter. North runner. Fortunately, those tend not to produce downpours or pull tropic warmth into NNE, but merely add to the meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Euro ensembles keep forming this big low near the benchmark around D9...but it's a weird evolution...like after some overrunning wave in front of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Euro Day 7 would be the icing on the cake for the northern half of New England, lol. But congrats that run to SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 The 12z euro long range is very serviceable if it can hold. Not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Euro Day 7 would be the icing on the cake for the northern half of New England, lol. But congrats that run to SNE. Oh greeeeat. What does it do? Where's a good place to access the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Oh greeeeat. What does it do? Where's a good place to access the Euro? Gives a 6-10" snowstorm for SNE while powderfreak looks at a cloud deck to his south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Gives a 6-10" snowstorm for SNE while powderfreak looks at a cloud deck to his south Aaaah! Thanks. I'm watching things more anxiously than usual (Xanax anyone?). My dad and my brother are visiting from Italy in 1 week, and I was really hoping there would be SOME snow while they're here. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Gives a 6-10" snowstorm for SNE while powderfreak looks at a cloud deck to his south Would add variety. This month has been mainly cutters; need some whiffs to balance that out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Gives a 6-10" snowstorm for SNE while powderfreak looks at a cloud deck to his southHaha here to Dryslot have virga from the cirrus as you have snow up to thy knickers.At least all of us in NNE could sing kumbya to comfort each other. I think Tamarack is right, would add variety to this current pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Would add variety. This month has been mainly cutters; need some whiffs to balance that out. Well we did whiff on Monday's system (it had a couple days where it looked like it could be a nice advisory redeveloper S of LI....but then trended into a flat whiff) But yeah, we're kind of due for another whiff SE on a bigger storm. Haven't had a big one miss SE since Feb 8 (we did get snow from that, but the storm was about 400-500 miles offshore) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Is thus the same storm that the gfs keeps showing as a cutter? Well we did whiff on Monday's system (it had a couple days where it looked like it could be a nice advisory redeveloper S of LI....but then trended into a flat whiff) But yeah, we're kind of due for another whiff SE on a bigger storm. Haven't had a big one miss SE since Feb 8 (we did get snow from that, but the storm was about 400-500 miles offshore) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Is thus the same storm that the gfs keeps showing as a cutter? Yeah. The D7 Euro snowstorm for SNE is a cutter like today on the GFS. Hence, the lack of discussion here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Yeah. The D7 Euro snowstorm for SNE is a cutter like today on the GFS. Hence, the lack of discussion here.EURO upgrade absolutely crushes. 12-18 especially N of Pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 EURO upgrade absolutely crushes. 12-18 especially N of Pike Is this an over runny-nose ( over running) storm kinda like the GFS depicts except it being further south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Is this an over runny-nose ( over running) storm kinda like the GFS depicts except it being further south?very high PWAT air over a cold dome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Interesting how the euro ensembles sort of have the overrunning, but develop a coastal after it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Interesting how the euro ensembles sort of have the overrunning, but develop a coastal after it. What mechanism shunts this to our south and forces redevelopment? Stout HP, a sneaky Scooter streak? Otherwise, this will cut to DET again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 What mechanism shunts this to our south and forces redevelopment? Stout HP, a sneaky Scooter streak? Otherwise, this will cut to DET again. The PV lobe conveniently is north of us. Basically, it would be a well timed s/w that had confluence to our north. To say this is low confidence is an understatement. However, these aren't uncommon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 The PV lobe conveniently is north of us. Basically, it would be a well timed s/w that had confluence to our north. To say this is low confidence is an understatement. However, these aren't uncommon. Yeah these happen all the time in our low-blocking Nina patterns (many of those Dec '07 and '08 systems did that)...hopefully this one works out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 very high PWAT air over a cold dome Can't go wrong with that if it were to materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Wow, GFS is a weenies dream. Snowy after next week. No warmup in sight after next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Wow, GFS is a weenies dream. Snowstorm after snowstorm. No warmup in sight after next week. Do you live in Ottawa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Euro now has a lakes cutter for next week. SMH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Euro now has a lakes cutter for next week. SMH. Shocking ¬¬ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cja1987 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Euro now has a lakes cutter for next week. SMH. ECMWF caves to the GFS again, only this winter. GFS is not a snowy scenario either, not sure where you are getting that in your prior post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 ECMWF caves to the GFS again, only this winter. GFS is not a snowy scenario either, not sure where you are getting that in your prior post. I just changed it. Only Maine gets it good then they even switches to rain. GGEM,GFS and now Euro show another lakes cutter. GEFS and GGEM ensembles are a lot further south with the low than the op runs. Lets hope it trends further south and colder but as of right now, it looks like todays storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 Ill gladly take a repeat of today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 ECMWF caves to the GFS again, only this winter. GFS is not a snowy scenario either, not sure where you are getting that in your prior post.Always a hoot when you have Snow88 doing model analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted February 25, 2016 Share Posted February 25, 2016 OK, towel thrown-in. Melt complete. This winter was BS. Was basically a MA winter. Boo. Hiss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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