H2Otown_WX Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Euro looks to have a couple of inches of snow before mix in SNE, especially just inland. What's the time frame on that Scott? I have to commute to and from work tomorrow evening and I'm nervous about the drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 What's the time frame on that Scott? I have to commute to and from work tomorrow evening and I'm nervous about the drive. Eh, if it did happen, maybe like 5-6pm through 10pm or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Euro looks to have a couple of inches of snow before mix in SNE, especially just inland.live by the Euro die by the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Euro has some backside upslope, not much but 2-4" which is something all the other cutters have been missing this season. Just need enough to make it white again after the rain haha. Front end looks good for 2-3" for parts of SNE/CNE and maybe 1-2" then some ice and rain up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 live by the Euro die by the Euro Agreed. Only model worth watching at this point. GFS/GGEM just aren't in the same league.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Agreed. Only model worth watching at this point. GFS/GGEM just aren't in the same league..lol it was a joke. I posted NAM output yesterday, Scott pulled a Kevin and acted like it was a forecast and posted live by the Nam die by the Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Its decision time for Mother Nature. We are rolling with 1982-83 and '56-57 right now in the basement of winters. Time to decide where we go from here...do we go '82-83 this spring or does this winter "bet the streak" and just crap out like '56-'57. But even 56-57 had a 15-inch event in early March, so have to assume we get a decent storm at some point here. decision_time.png Wow that must have been one hell of a blizzard in April 83!! Do you have any info on that? I do not like seeing storms close to the coast in the long range. The WAR has been under forecast all winter. I would think it has to do with above normal water temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 lol it was a joke. I posted NAM output yesterday, Scott pulled a Kevin and acted like it was a forecast and posted live by the Nam die by the Nam Haha whoosh on me. I still stand by the statement though. Go with the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Wow that must have been one hell of a blizzard in April 83!! Do you have any info on that? I do not like seeing storms close to the coast in the long range. The WAR has been under forecast all winter. I would think it has to do with above normal water temps I'll have to check later. There were some big systems that spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Wow that must have been one hell of a blizzard in April 83!! Do you have any info on that? I do not like seeing storms close to the coast in the long range. The WAR has been under forecast all winter. I would think it has to do with above normal water temps I'll have to check later. There were some big systems that spring. http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-35E39CCF-6605-4EFD-8A95-ECF61BE900DC.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Wow that must have been one hell of a blizzard in April 83!! Do you have any info on that? I do not like seeing storms close to the coast in the long range. The WAR has been under forecast all winter. I would think it has to do with above normal water temps Don't know about Mansfield, but in Ft. Kent I measured 18"+ total from storms on March 28-29, April 4, and April 11, at my 540' elev. home. In the woods NW of Allagash Village, those 3 events dumped 30-40" at 1000-1500' elev. (Then mid April had a week with about 6" of warm rain, though on roads and bridges.) Love that gfs at about hr 252 - promising a two-footer instead of the usual (failed) one-footer. Congrats CLE is probably more likely this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-35E39CCF-6605-4EFD-8A95-ECF61BE900DC.pdf Nice thanks. 42.9" for the month of April not to shabby!!! 15" was the max storm though. Let's hope El Niño climo rocks the mountains in March and April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 It's not that rare. FZRA intensity is based on liquid equivalent rates...not ice accretion. IOW it's the same as regular rain. +DZ/+FZDZ is different. Drizzle intensity is based on visibility like snow. So you would need a vis of <= 1/4SM to have +FZDZ. oh you can get fantastic fall rates below freezing... i can recall a couple of times in the plains there was lightning flashes/thunder every couple of minutes at 27 F with heavy rain coming down at a 45 deg angle pointed S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 lol it was a joke. I posted NAM output yesterday, Scott pulled a Kevin and acted like it was a forecast and posted live by the Nam die by the Nam Live by the joke, die by the joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Live by the joke, die by the joke Just like this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Euro day 10 looks amazing *ducks and hides Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Live by the joke, die by the joke Live by GGW, die by GGW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Live by GGW, die by GGW. live by the EPS die by the EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Just like this winter No melt yet but your warming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 No melt yet but your warming up. He like 75% of us have nothing to melt and after Wed 99% of us baring blown snow and 2k elevation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 He like 75% of us have nothing to melt and after Wed 99% of us baring blown snow and 2k elevation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 No melt yet but your warming up. I'm not going to melt, Its been over for a while now He like 75% of us have nothing to melt and after Wed 99% of us baring blown snow and 2k elevation Even the piles that are left and the shaded areas should be gone this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2016 Author Share Posted February 22, 2016 He like 75% of us have nothing to melt and after Wed 99% of us baring blown snow and 2k elevation How's the drought monitor looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2016 Author Share Posted February 22, 2016 18z NAM thumper dumper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 18z NAM thumper dumper. as the saying goes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2016 Author Share Posted February 22, 2016 as the saying goes... wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 wut? Live by the.....oh nevermind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 That's like 4-6" though for a good chunk of SNE on the NAM...a 36 hour forecast and nobody believes it. I will say, wouldn't be surprised at like 2-3" though...Euro ensembles kind of liked the idea too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2016 Author Share Posted February 22, 2016 Live by the.....oh nevermind. NAM was in the Christmas mood. Snow here, snow there, snow everywhere! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 That's like 4-6" though for a good chunk of SNE on the NAM...a 36 hour forecast and nobody believes it. I will say, wouldn't be surprised at like 2-3" though...Euro ensembles kind of liked the idea too. Yea just saw the ens, interesting mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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