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Model Mezzanine - 3rd times a charm


Baroclinic Zone

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just think ... in so many decades the inevitability of GW would put a stop to any winters at all for this latitude - could be worse.   

 

that could be a really interesting gradient set up later this week.  the 12z GFS shows the boundary stuck for 24 hours across southern vt/nh, with fresh polar air into the N ...  meanwhile, Mass struggles to hold onto a west wind and lingering warmth.  Almost has a ice-storm look for cne. 

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  On 3/7/2016 at 6:23 PM, CT Rain said:

Euro is a blue bomb for parts of VT/NH/ME

Yeah it kept the 00z solution.

Here it's got 6" at MVL, 7" for Dryslot in LEW, and 9" for LCI, with 10" MWN.

Wish I could see between H85-H7. It's 0C or lower up here at H85 which would lead me to think elevation event, as SFC holds in the 32-35F range for a large part of it.

Wet too with a 24-hour total of 1.0" up here ranging to 1.5-2.0" from RUT south through the Berks and then over into SNH.

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  On 3/7/2016 at 6:26 PM, powderfreak said:

Yeah it kept the 00z solution.

Here it's got 6" at MVL, 7" for Dryslot in LEW, and 9" for LCI, with 10" MWN.

Wish I could see between H85-H7. It's 0C or lower up here at H85 which would lead me to think elevation event, as SFC holds in the 32-35F range for a large part of it.

 

It did shift north a bit from 0z, Oh boy, Where was this a month ago................... :(

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  On 3/7/2016 at 3:25 PM, CTValleySnowMan said:

The GFS projecting tbe EPO will drop sharply negative around March 15.

 

It also has the PNA heading quite positive as well.  However, I was looking at some weekly sfc temp anomaly charts and they have us still above-average temp wise with no signs of any cooler anomalies until the first week of April or so. 

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  On 3/7/2016 at 6:28 PM, dryslot said:

It did shift north a bit from 0z, Oh boy, Where was this a month ago................... :(

It's nice to look at but I think this teases most of us, with maybe a like Jay Peak or S. Quebec to Pittsburgh to Rangley line getting something worthwhile.

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  On 3/7/2016 at 6:36 PM, powderfreak said:

It's nice to look at but I think this teases most of us, with maybe a like Jay Peak or S. Quebec to Pittsburgh to Rangley line getting something worthwhile.

 

Those areas could still use it, Don't need it down this way now

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  On 3/7/2016 at 6:28 PM, dryslot said:

It did shift north a bit from 0z, Oh boy, Where was this a month ago................... :(

 

Not quite s bombastic as the 06z run.  Plenty of time for it to devolve into a nice 35F rain event while Moosehead gets buried (too late for the sledders.)

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  On 3/7/2016 at 6:57 PM, tamarack said:

Not quite s bombastic as the 06z run.  Plenty of time for it to devolve into a nice 35F rain event while Moosehead gets buried (too late for the sledders.)

 

Still decent riding up north, Lets just keep it up there.......................... :)

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