White Gorilla Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 You are correct, we are now transitioning from fall into spring.Yup. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 4K NAM calling Al Michaels-- http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam4km®ion=neus&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2016022112&fh=60&xpos=0&ypos=211 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 4K NAM calling Al Michaels-- Sref had the same outcome at 3z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Accumulations through 60 hours and still snowing. We obviously need more guidance that's in agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Accumulations through 60 hours and still snowing. We obviously need more guidance that's in agreement. I agree about the need for more guidance to support such a scenario. This would be nice event, but it seems very unlikely (<20% chance) given the current pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 21, 2016 Author Share Posted February 21, 2016 Models agree on the first wave performing well but only the NAM has it cold enough for significant snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Models agree on the first wave performing well but only the NAM has it cold enough for significant snow. Lets hope the other models start showing something similiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 4K NAM calling Al Michaels-- http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam4km®ion=neus&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2016022112&fh=60&xpos=0&ypos=211 Just clicked on , more like Vin Scully ala Kirk Gibson. I will pass for now on that solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Euro mean also has about an inch of snow for the coast before the changeover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 21, 2016 Author Share Posted February 21, 2016 Lets hope the other models start showing something similiarOdds are this is going to over perform moisture wise. As someone said earlier, the moisture feed is very robust. The ensembles are very moist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Euro mean also has about an inch of snow for the coast before the changeover Slop on the front is worlds apart from a warning event in CNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Cmc snowmap from wxbell has a few inches from NYC northward with midweek storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Cmc snowmap from wxbell has a few inches from NYC northward with midweek storm.that looks better than a few inches and now that we have two models on board I'm interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Ukmet has wave number 1 also but it looks crazy warm. Nothing like 4K nam and CMC we wait for euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Ukie looks really warm for some reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Ukie looks really warm for some reason Likely the large feed of moisture coming up from the Caribbean along the GS. That Al Michaels scenario needs to be more of a Jesus scenario for us to get any type of frozen precip, especially on the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Likely the large feed of moisture coming up from the Caribbean along the GS. That Al Michaels scenario needs to be more of a Jesus scenario for us to get any type of frozen precip, especially on the island. Gfs ggem and hi res nam show at least 1-2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Gfs ggem and hi res nam show at least 1-2 inchesfor what time period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 for what time period? This storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 tuesday late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 What did the Euro show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 What did the Euro show?cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 What did the Euro show?Probably rain and warmth since it's been quiet. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Euro supposedly lacks anything significant on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 18Z 4k nam keeps the faith http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam4km®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016022118&fh=51&xpos=0&ypos=271 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Accumulations through 60 hours and still snowing. We obviously need more guidance that's in agreement. anyone believe this is possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Evil NAM, toying with our emotions. Sent from my SM-G360T using Tapatalk Might be on to something. ggem is the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Evil NAM, toying with our emotions. Sent from my SM-G360T using Tapatalk Big M I thought that was my Job... Is that HP prog at 1035mb from the OPC going to cut it for the Metro? http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Atl_tab.shtml CAD signal? http://www.theweatherprediction.com/weatherpapers/050/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 21, 2016 Share Posted February 21, 2016 Track the Canadian High and the freeze line loop http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/analysis/surface/index.php?type=ecan-tpsl-24 You don't need some Atari Model Weather Pong to help you out track this small snow threat by yourself from the loop above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 The GFS says NAM what are you smoking? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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