UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 GGEM will look nothing like 12z, initial wave is far weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Coco looks fairly familiar to gfs up to hour 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 GGEM way east of Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 GGEM is a coastal storm but warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Promising to see models shifting east again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 GGEM is still low end warning snows for interior Taking a closer look some interior like NEPA, NWNJ are possibly 6-10+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 850s crash as the GGEM develops... Close to a big storm yet again, but no cigar for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Ukie went east. Looks like GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 18z GEFS 00z GEFS The mean is definitely further east... Looks like more spread towards the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Euro is way west. Follows GFS with a detroit hit. Everyone in the northeast is warm and raining. Tune back in tomorrow for more solutions. Night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Eps took the low right over middle of long island, interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Gfs, now tracks through Chicago if not west of Chicago lol holy crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Morning AFD from mt holly nws supports the low cutting up the ohio valley. Our area gets flooded with warm temps and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 I think with these storms missing it is obvious spring is around the corner, lets hope for a nice dry and warm spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Another storm that misses the area. **** EL nino. Bring on La nina . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 The GFS ensembles have an almost classic look for a storm that bombs out as the trough goes negative. Unfortunately, at the time this is forecast to happen, blocking is not sufficiently in place to force everything eastward and a strong ridge is located over the northwestern Atlantic. As a result the system bombs out while tracking well west of the big East Coast cities. At 150 hours, the GFS forecasts the system to have a central pressure of 958 mb. The storm's track should result in a surge of warm air moving up the Eastern Seaboard with readings soaring perhaps into the 60s in Richmond and Washington, DC and 50s perhaps as far north as Boston. All in all, such an outcome increases the likelihood that New York City will have a positive temperature anomaly for February, even if the closing 2-3 days are colder than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 20, 2016 Author Share Posted February 20, 2016 Another storm that misses the area. **** EL nino. Bring on La nina .How is it missing the area? We should still see decent rains. It's not like you're going to end up high and dry like I've been in a lot of snowstorms while the coast got pounded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 How is it missing the area? We should still see decent rains. It's not like you're going to end up high and dry like I've been in a lot of snowstorms while the coast got pounded. Who makes money off of rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Who makes money off of rain?Umbrella manufacturers, duh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Who makes money off of rain? Meh. Rains 12 months out of the year here. Mostly when you don't want it to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Meh. Rains 12 months out of the year here. Mostly when you don't want it to. Agree. We get enough rain during the Spring, Summer and Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 King nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 ^^^ yea nam is weenie heaven for us snow lovers.. Still stuck on the 1st storm trying to be the main event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 ^^^ yea nam is weenie heaven for us snow lovers.. Still stuck on the 1st storm trying to be the main event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Ahhhh the glimmer of hope Nam Vs Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Honestly I am usually optimistic, but with the upcoming miss and with the LR looking a bit worse by the day I now feel that the 3 inches I need to make average is out of reach. Now i am hoping for a quick transition to spring. Not a terrible winter with 27 inches but the weather models have broken my spirit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Wasn't the NAM trying to sell us on a snow event for the Sunday night/Monday time period a couple of days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Wasn't the NAM trying to sell us on a snow event for the Sunday night/Monday time period a couple of days ago?Yeah it took it back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 WPC day 5 let the model mayhem.. swing back our way today Thursday Night 7pm from the ESRL http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/spag_f144_us.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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