White Gorilla Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 That's what many mets have been referencing... I'd give kudos to Larry C, and Bernie R.. If it comes true lolBernie R was today hinting at a solution that no model runs had painted yet. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Scary to say short term takes the overall win over long term this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 ^^^ yea I don't wanna go crazy here with the nam 4+ days out... But it's not a bad sign... I'd really love to see the GFS or euro jump on board with blocking and that H Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 ^^^ yea I don't wanna go crazy here with the nam 4+ days out... But it's not a bad sign... I'd really love to see the GFS or euro jump on board with blocking and that H The NAM last night was showing Sun/Mon as a moderate-heavy snow threat for interior areas last night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Here's you major difference Nam is faster to push the weaker initial wave OTS, the trailing energy is closer, and able to amp up as the initial weakens... It's also further south... Nam also has the H locked in over NE Your GfS same time frame, has a slower, trailing energy... That amplifies far too west, riding it northeast and west of the APPS, WELL inland, the H is also scooting east quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Strong Blocking developing on the 0Z NAM over Greenland - that would be a game changer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 ^^^ yea I don't wanna go crazy here with the nam 4+ days out... But it's not a bad sign... I'd really love to see the GFS or euro jump on board with blocking and that H The ridging in the west is also further east, which would allow it to amplify further east as well. Ridging around Greenland is more robust than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 The NAM last night was showing Sun/Mon as a moderate-heavy snow threat for interior areas last night... Nobody's saying its correct, just exploring the possibility of some blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 The ridging in the west is also further east, which would allow it to amplify further east as well. Ridging around Greenland is more robust than the GFS.The ridge axis orientation and amplitude out west will be very important. The positive PNA is on our side, but will need help from the Atlantic. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 +PNA/ -AO/ -NAO is what I see evolving, the high pressure building in Greenland is impressive, blocking is absolutely possible for next weeks event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 The DGEX extension of the NAM takes the low North as a cutter, essentially right along the Apps fwiw, which probably isn't much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Gfs, Greenland block?! I think I see it again at hour 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Hour 84, lows well south in gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Hour,96, no storm in area yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 GFS makes the 2nd low the main show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Vastly different setup again, storms way slower I do believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Still gonna be inland I believe, not nearly as drastic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Hour 114, well south of last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 I'm going say it's 500 miles south jest at that one hour alone.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Gfs is still an west apps runner... Just not Detroit... Def a nice jump back from the dark side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Way east on the GFS. Detroit special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Low tracks to Western NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Way east on the GFS. Detroit special. Are you surprised to see the GFS jump 400 miles in 6 hours? Lmao... It's a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Well at least it looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Means gfs, starting to get better handle on the placement of the high pressures and blocking etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Damn, GFS crushes Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Cmc, I do believe, Greenland block as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Op is a joke.. If gefs continue to trend cutter I'll be worried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Not much difference for us.....it went from taking the low almost over Detroit, to a snowstorm for Detroit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 At least we gained confidence today knowing that this will be a 1 wave kinda show... Number 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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