MJO812 Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 makes sense given the warm airmass in place now-would expect the NAM to show less snow on coming 18z and 0z runs - edit-not on the 18z nam! Has 5-7 inches north of NYC! Lets hope the cold air holds on longer than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 euro with zip for most here and Nam 5-7 north with a 24 hour lead time-lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 euro with zip for most here and Nam 5-7 north with a 24 hour lead time-lol.0C line is in central nj while moderate precip over the area on nam. Looks like everyone starts off as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 NAM snow map probably looks interesting from ~ Rt.78 North in NJ for wave #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 22, 2016 Author Share Posted February 22, 2016 Personally I'd rather it be heavy rain but the crazy uncle NAM is spitting out a warning criteria event for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Personally I'd rather it be heavy rain but the crazy uncle NAM is spitting out a warning criteria event for the interior. Wow the precip is so heavy turns to snow even on LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Yup, that looks about right based on the NAM. Give me ~ 1.5" to get me to normal on the season and Im done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Current Surface http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/ Blue Dashed Lines 32F When over your locations..does not infer accumulating snowfall potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Need to see support from Other models. Nam has 3x the snow of any other model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 22, 2016 Author Share Posted February 22, 2016 The 18z RGEM is not on board for anything more than an inch or so well N&W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 GFS maybe an inch or two for Rt.78 North... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 22, 2016 Share Posted February 22, 2016 Looks like the NAM is still alone in it's thinking that we will get nailed up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Interesting sidenote/observation, 12z jma, eps at hour 72 shifted east quite a bit today... Dunno why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 As well as ecmwf, high pressure to north? Not saying anything about snow etc. Just model watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Cmc tried, navgem shifted as well. Little surprised things shifted.It's going to rain, a lot. When the GEFS mean consistently is spitting out over 1.50" LE area wide you know it's going to pour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Rgem is 1-3" for northern burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Rgem is 1-3" for northern burbs I think temps are going to be too marginal for anything more than an inch or so to accumulate. Unless we really get into some heavier rates but those appear to stay south and east of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 With how storms have shifted last minute basically, it's expected,but not east lol. Oh well when it rains it pours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Nams even further north and heavier precip, 4-5" for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Too bad this doesn't have much support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Nam says 850s are very cold north of NYC which is why it's popping out a good amount of snow... 2mt temps in low 30s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 850 during heavier precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Too bad this doesn't have much support I will take my dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Rap said nams out to lunch on temps, 850s are 0/-2, and 2mt temps are mid to upper 30s while some are 40..... Idk where the nams getting his cold from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Hrrr last run, looks like it was about to being snow into area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Nams also got an extended period of icing, from NNJ through NEPA, and parts of Hudson valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Nam shifted the low west like 500 miles lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Hrrr last run, looks like it was about to being snow into area? 850s are -4 Hudson valley 2mt temps are mid 30s, 32 line up to Albany Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 We would most likely see back end snows as the 2nd wave pulls away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 4K also say a general 1-3, with some spots seeing 4-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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