dan123 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Instantwxmaps graphics are too low resolution to be certain but that sounds fair. Use Tropical tidbits or pivotalweather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 It does look like the NAM attempts to transfer the low, which ends up screwing over this area in terms of QPF. Unless the other models do it, I won't be worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 RGEM through 24 looks fairly similar to the 0z NAM valid the same time. Sfc and H5. 985 mb east of Memphis at 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Feb 6, 2008 comes to mind, the morning portion. That was crazy beautiful. Moved here in November 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 What about my area? 8-10" a possibility as per this run? Here are the precip amounts from that band via wxbell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Hmmm, 00z RGEM keeps us predominately all snow on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Instantwxmaps graphics are too low resolution to be certain but that sounds fair. Pivotalweather has great graphics for precip. Zooms into Southern Ontario nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 985 mb east of Memphis at 36. Yeah, I edited my post above. Same location but a fair bit deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Pivotalweather has great graphics for precip. Zooms into Southern Ontario nicely. Thanks (you too Dan). I've seen them posted before but I figured they were pay maps. I'll check it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 What about my area? 8-10" a possibility as per this run? http://pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=NAM&p=accsnow&rh=2016022300&fh=loop&r=ne&dpdt= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 RGEM largely a miss here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Seriously this winter is crap. If it's going to continue, then I wish every day was like this past Saturday. At least we had windows open and got some Vitamin D. /rant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Seriously this winter is crap. If it's going to continue, then I wish every day was like this past Saturday. At least we had windows open and got some Vitamin D. /rant Yep. You'd think with as bloody mild as it's been, we could get a storm to track farther northwest, but nope....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 00Z RGEM notably east, but also notably strong. Will likely negate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 N. IN is gonna get smoked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 00Z RGEM notably east, but also notably strong. Will likely negate. We start as snow and rip for a bit but then we change over. Has the city at 10mm+ so it comes down good before the transition. London in a screwhole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Quite a difference between the SREF and the NAM here...00z NAM has about .2 qpf while the 21z SREF mean is a shade over 1" (the ARW camp in particular is pretty jacked). Don't really know what to make of that. Nice. Back up near 6" on the SREF. There is something very wrong with the maps on TT. It shows hours and hours of snow in NE IL on both NAM's, but no accumulation to show for it. Can't imagine its because the ground is warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Going to make a first call of 5-8" for here. For YYZ proper still too tricky but I'll run with 4-6" right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 We start as snow and rip for a bit but then we change over. Has the city at 10mm+ so it comes down good before the transition. London in a screwhole Detroit snow bullseye? Toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Going to make a first call of 5-8" for here. For YYZ proper still too tricky but I'll run with 4-6" right now. Yeah not too bad. I'll say 3-4" for YYZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Nice. Back up near 6" on the SREF. There is something very wrong with the maps on TT. It shows hours and hours of snow in NE IL on both NAM's, but no accumulation to show for it. Can't imagine its because the ground is warmer. I was just saying the same thing! The NAM maps are confusing me. Many areas on the western side get snow, but yet the accums. are squat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Detroit snow bullseye? Toss it. I wish you guys well, but honestly, the RGEM has sucked big time the last couple of events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I wish you guys well, but honestly, the RGEM has sucked big time the last couple of events. Weird looking thermals on the model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 Through 18 on the GFS, a slight tick to the south in TX. Tough to tell whether it's significant at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Seriously this winter is crap. If it's going to continue, then I wish every day was like this past Saturday. At least we had windows open and got some Vitamin D. /rant Take it to the crybaby board. We've had it pretty good until this winter. First flake hasn't even fallen. Storms don't always end up IYBY. Hike up your diaper and roll on. It's embarrassing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I was just saying the same thing! The NAM maps are confusing me. Many areas on the western side get snow, but yet the accums. are squat. Maybe it's virga? Whatever the reason for it showing fake snow on the map, we still have 48 hours to go yet. GFS looks like it is a tad farther NW. But it's not much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I wish you guys well, but honestly, the RGEM has sucked big time the last couple of events. Considering the current overall forecast consensus and what lurks in the wake of this storm (more below average cold air), a part of me is wishing this storm would just say **** it and cut over Green Bay. But at the same time, we're in a location where any slight change can yield great things. So I still don't want to throw in the towel just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Hmmm. Even a better/quicker phase on this run compared to the 18z run and pulling the srn stream ULL more northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Maybe it's virga? Whatever the reason for it showing fake snow on the map, we still have 48 hours to go yet. "fake snow" lol So it would actually show virga on the radar composite, but not count it as precip? I didn't realize the models would show that. Maybe it's just hours and hours of flurries. bahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Snow shield shifts west on 00z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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