UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 Ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 It was way faster actually, definitely coming around to the Euro idea, precip shut off around 13Z Monday in the metro vs closer to 18Z last run. Remember too that models usually overdo QPF on fast moving systems so this thing will likely end up drier as time goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Nam still looks nice but bl is warm. 850s are fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 Gfs wants nothing to do with this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Gfs wants nothing to do with this eventYou have to admire its tenacity.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Amazing storm on the GFS. It reaches 961 mb over the Hudson Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Posted this in another thread: "Fwiw re:Sunday night, I think by the looks of things the 18z NAM started making a move towards the GFS/Euro. It is much faster moving the precip out, hardly even a noteworthy event on 18Z IMO. I expect 0z NAM to continue more of a subtle move towards the other guidance." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Posted this in another thread: "Fwiw re:Sunday night, I think by the looks of things the 18z NAM started making a move towards the GFS/Euro. It is much faster moving the precip out, hardly even a noteworthy event on 18Z IMO. I expect 0z NAM to continue more of a subtle move towards the other guidance." I'm checking right now myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 NAM caving to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 NAM caving to the GFS.So nada basically? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Nam follows the Gfs. Lets see how the other models look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 So nada basically?Yeah....though some suggested earlier that a weaker more suppressed system bodes well for the midweek system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Big key,that high north of great lakes... that high I do think will be important all week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 quick shot of rain on the NAM-QPF only .10-.25 Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 FYI, look at the nam placement of midweek storm! Still early bit good sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Yeah....though some suggested earlier that a weaker more suppressed system bodes well for the midweek system. How so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Yeah....though some suggested earlier that a weaker more suppressed system bodes well for the midweek system.How so? Is it because it doesn't attack the cold source as much or does it allow more energy to be available for the trailing wave? Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 How so? Is it because it doesn't attack the cold source as much or does it allow more energy to be available for the trailing wave? Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk I'm going back over posts from earlier and asking around myself....I honestly don't have the answer for this. I'm thinking it has to do with not blowing the Sunday pm slp up and keeping the confluence/baroclinic zone more favorable for the Tuesday system. The blown up Sunday slp in prior runs also seemed to pull the HP away faster too fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 How so? Is it because it doesn't attack the cold source as much or does it allow more energy to be available for the trailing wave? Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk I feel like the stronger the initial wave, the future south and east the baroclinic zone will be for the next wave. I'm not a fan of either of the upcoming threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 The extent and placement of the northern High will be crucial as a cold source. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Euro has a dusting to an inch for NYC and LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 This is no longer a threat. A couple of teases from the NAM and some short range models was all this ever was. Barring a sudden 250 mile shift north this one is toast. Now our eyes shift to midweek, where according the the last run of the GFS all we need is a mere 800 mile shift east and we are in the bulls eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Euro still has some snow tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Euro still has some snow tomorrow nightYou mean it's been consistent with a dusting to an inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 You mean it's been consistent with a dusting to an inch? Yes lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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